Spectrum Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
NCSU -8.5✓ NCSU covered by 1.5
NCSU -8.5✓ NCSU covered by 1.5Closing total144.5Over by 41.5
 PITT | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 13-19 | Record | 19-12 |
| 16-16 | ATS | 14-17 |
| 18-14 | O/U | 19-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PITT 71–78 NCSU · ✓ NCSU (71%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 50 | 38 | 88 |
| NCSU | 51 | 47 | 98 |
1st half: PITT 50, NCSU 51 (NCSU by 1). The model had NCSU by 3.7 and a total of 69.6 (actual 101).
Team stats
| PITT | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-49 57% | Field goals | 31-51 61% |
| 12-27 44% | 3-pointers | 13-23 57% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 23-27 85% |
| 23 6 off | Rebounds | 22 4 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 40 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 37 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 9-12 | 0-1 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 35 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Damarco Minor G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 31 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 6-9 | 5-8 |
| Macari Moore G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kieran Mullen, Henry Lau, Amdy Ndiaye, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante, Dishon Jackson, Brandin Cummings
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland G | 37 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Darrion Williams F | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4-8 | 4-5 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 32 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Tre Holloman G | 30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Scottie Ebube C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jerry Deng, Alyn Breed, Jayme Kontuniemi, Colt Langdon, Jordan Snell, Zymicah Wilkins
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCSU -8.5
ModelNCSU -6.4
Model edgePITT +2.1
L NCSU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model148.7
Model edgeOver 4.2
W Over
Projected score
PITT 71.1 · NCSU 77.6
PITT 88 · NCSU 98
Win probability
NCSU 71%
1st half
Spread
NCSU -3.7
NCSU -1.0
Total
69.6
101 points
Projected score
PITT 32.9 · NCSU 36.6
PITT 50 · NCSU 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -7.5
1 → NCSU
CloseNCSU -8.5
1 pt toward NCSU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PITT +320 · NCSU -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -7.5 · closed NCSU -8.5 · moved 1 toward NCSUmodel NCSU -6.5
model NCSU -6.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| NCSU | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
PITT 4–2 NCSUPITT leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · NCSU has won the last 2 meetings · PITT 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | NCSU 81 @ PITT 72 | PITT +6.5 | NCSU W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | PITT 63 @ NCSU 71 | NCSU +2.5 | NCSU W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | NCSU 73 @ PITT 81 | PITT -6.5 | PITT W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | PITT 67 @ NCSU 64 | NCSU -3 | PITT W |
| Dec 2, 2022-23 | PITT 68 @ NCSU 60 | NCSU -9.5 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pitt
32 games played
Straight up
13-19
41% wins
Against the spread
16-16
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-14
56% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs CLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs SYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs LOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @ BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsNCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs WAKE | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @CLEM | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @ UVA | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vs SMU | L 67-86 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs DUKE | L 54-70 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @ UNC | L 65-79 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 21 | vs ND | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 25 | @ STAN | L 67-75 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | @ CAL | W 72-56 | +6.5 | W +22.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 4 | vs FSU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 7 | @SYR | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 10 | vsSTAN | W 64-63 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+2.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−0.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−7.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
−14.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
+1.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
−2.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+1.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+0.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
+22.5
4
vsFSU
FSUL 74-75
+0.5
7
@SYR
SYRW 71-69
+7.5
10
vsSTAN
STANW 64-63
+5.5
covered 16didn’t cover 16avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+5.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−20.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−28.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
+5.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
−12.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
+1.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+0.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+3.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
−15.5
4
vsFSU
FSUL 74-75
+4.5
7
@SYR
SYRW 71-69
−1.5
10
vsSTAN
STANW 64-63
−9.5
over 18under 14avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
31 games played
Straight up
19-12
61% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-12
61% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs VCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs KU | L 76-77 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 17 | vs TXSO | W 108-72 | -34.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 21 | vs MISS | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vsWAKE | W 70-57 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vsUVA | L 61-76 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 6 | @BC | W 79-71 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @FSU | W 113-69 | -4.5 | W +39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | vsGT | L 74-78 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | @CLEM | W 80-76 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @PITT | W 81-72 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vsSYR | W 88-68 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @WAKE | W 96-78 | -5.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 3 | @SMU | W 84-83 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | vs VT | W 82-73 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 9 | @LOU | L 77-118 | +6.5 | L −34.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 14 | vsMIA | L 76-77 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | vsUNC | W 82-58 | -8.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 24 | @UVA | L 61-90 | +6.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | @ND | L 90-96 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Mar 2 | vsDUKE | L 64-93 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 7 | vsSTAN | L 84-85 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+1.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
+6.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
+2.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−19.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
−3.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+39.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−21.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+6.5
24
@PITT
PITTW 81-72
+2.5
27
vsSYR
SYRW 88-68
+9.5
31
@WAKE
WAKEW 96-78
+12.5
3
@SMU
SMUW 84-83
−0.5
7
vsVT
VTW 82-73
−1.5
9
@LOU
LOUL 77-118
−34.5
14
vsMIA
MIAL 76-77
−6.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 82-58
+15.5
24
@UVA
UVAL 61-90
−22.5
28
@ND
NDL 90-96
−12.5
2
vsDUKE
DUKEL 64-93
−20.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 84-85
−10.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
+4.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+27.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
−10.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
−32.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−14.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
+8.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+21.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−2.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+13.5
24
@PITT
PITTW 81-72
+8.5
27
vsSYR
SYRW 88-68
+4.5
31
@WAKE
WAKEW 96-78
+17.5
3
@SMU
SMUW 84-83
+7.5
7
vsVT
VTW 82-73
+0.5
9
@LOU
LOUL 77-118
+33.5
14
vsMIA
MIAL 76-77
−4.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 82-58
−16.5
24
@UVA
UVAL 61-90
−0.5
28
@ND
NDL 90-96
+32.5
2
vsDUKE
DUKEL 64-93
+6.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 84-85
+16.5
over 19under 12avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pitt
13-19 overall · 6-13 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Stanford64–63
- W@ Syracuse71–69
- Lvs Florida St74–75
- W@ California72–56
- L@ Stanford67–75
1 day since their last game.
NC State
19-12 overall · 10-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Stanford84–85
- Lvs Duke64–93
- L@ Notre Dame90–96
- L@ Virginia61–90
- Wvs North Carolina82–58
4 days since their last game.