Galen Center · at USC · Conference game
Closing line
NEB -5.5✓ NEB covered by 9.5
NEB -5.5✓ NEB covered by 9.5Closing total149.5Under by 0.5
| NEB | This season | USC |
|---|---|---|
| 24-4 | Record | 17-10 |
| 15-13 | ATS | 13-14 |
| 9-19 | O/U | 14-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEB 78–73 USC · ✓ NEB (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 31 | 51 | 82 |
| USC | 36 | 31 | 67 |
1st half: NEB 31, USC 36 (USC by 5). The model had NEB by 3.2 and a total of 70.6 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NEB | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-68 44% | Field goals | 23-51 45% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 4-21 19% |
| 14-15 93% | Free throws | 17-18 94% |
| 41 18 off | Rebounds | 25 5 off |
| 20 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 38 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 12-21 | 5-10 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 33 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Rienk Mast F | 32 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 27 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 24 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 27 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jared Garcia F | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Kendall Blue G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin Bolis, Leo Curtis, Quentin Rhymes, Will Cooper, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Henry Burt
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods G | 31 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 21 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ezra Ausar F | 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara G | 19 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Brownell F | 30 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Jerry Easter II G | 26 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Alijah Arenas G | 23 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| EJ Neal Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brit Burden, Patrick O'Brien, Amarion Dickerson, Jonah Goorin, Gabe Dynes, Jordan Marsh, Rodney Rice
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -6.5
1 → USC
CloseNEB -5.5
1 pt toward USC
Total
Open145.5
▲ 4
Close149.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
NEB -230 · USC +190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -6.5 · closed NEB -5.5 · moved 1 toward USCmodel NEB -5
model NEB -5
Opened 145.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 4 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEB -5.5 | NEB -5.2 | USC +0.3 | L NEB covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 151.0 | Over 1.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | NEB 78.1 · USC 72.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NEB -3.2 | USC -5.0 |
| 1H total | 70.6 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | NEB 36.9 · USC 33.7 | NEB 31 · USC 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| USC | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NEB 0–1 USCUSC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NEB 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | USC 78 @ NEB 73 | NEB -6.5 | USC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nebraska
28 games played
Straight up
24-4
86% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-19
32% overs · avg −8.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @ OSU | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ IU | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs ORE | W 90-55 | -10.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ NU | W 77-58 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vs WASH | W 76-66 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ MINN | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 27 | @ MICH | L 72-75 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 1 | vsILL | L 69-78 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @ RUTG | W 80-68 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 10 | vs PUR | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsNU | W 68-49 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 17 | @ IOWA | L 52-57 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 21 | vs PSU | W 87-64 | -17.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 25 | vs MD | W 74-61 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
+5.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+10.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
+24.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
+14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−0.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
+14.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
+8.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−10.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
−0.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
−5.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
+5.5
17
@IOWA
IOWAL 52-57
−3.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 87-64
+5.5
25
vsMD
MDW 74-61
−3.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
−14.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+9.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
−1.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
−14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−10.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
−7.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
−10.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−7.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
+2.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
+10.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
−29.5
17
@IOWA
IOWAL 52-57
−30.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 87-64
+3.5
25
vsMD
MDW 74-61
−7.5
over 9under 19avg −8.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
USC
27 games played
Straight up
17-10
63% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs HALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs ASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vsWASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 14 | vs WSU | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTSA | W 97-70 | -25.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 2 | @MICH | L 66-96 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 5 | @MSU | L 51-80 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 9 | @MINN | W 70-69 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vsMD | W 88-71 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vsPUR | L 64-69 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | vsNU | L 68-74 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | @WIS | W 73-71 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @IOWA | L 72-73 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 31 | vsRUTG | W 78-75 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 3 | vsIU | W 81-75 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 8 | @PSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 11 | @OSU | L 82-89 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 18 | vsILL | L 65-101 | +8.5 | L −27.5 | 151.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 21 | vsORE | L 70-71 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 24 | @ UCLA | L 62-81 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−5.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+1.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−7.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−17.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
+4.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+7.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
+4.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−12.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
+9.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+8.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
−8.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+7.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−1.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 82-89
+0.5
18
vsILL
ILLL 65-101
−27.5
21
vsORE
OREL 70-71
−6.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-81
−12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−27.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+9.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−11.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−20.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
−8.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+8.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
−22.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−7.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
−14.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+3.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
+6.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+2.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−5.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 82-89
+18.5
18
vsILL
ILLL 65-101
+14.5
21
vsORE
OREL 70-71
−8.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-81
−7.5
over 14under 13avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nebraska
24-4 overall · 13-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maryland74–61
- Wvs Penn State87–64
- L@ Iowa52–57
- Wvs Northwestern68–49
- Lvs Purdue77–80
3 days since their last game.
USC
17-10 overall · 7-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UCLA62–81
- Lvs Oregon70–71
- Lvs Illinois65–101
- L@ Ohio State82–89
- W@ Penn State77–75
4 days since their last game.