Dean E. Smith Center · at North Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
UNC -2.5✓ UNC covered by 1.5
UNC -2.5✓ UNC covered by 1.5Closing total141.5Under by 11.5
 CLEM | This season | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| 21-8 | Record | 23-6 |
| 16-13 | ATS | 16-13 |
| 12-17 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLEM 69–74 UNC · ✓ UNC (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| UNC | 27 | 40 | 67 |
1st half: CLEM 30, UNC 27 (CLEM by 3). The model had UNC by 2.7 and a total of 67.0 (actual 57).
Team stats
| CLEM | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-60 43% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 4-6 67% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 36 7 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butta Johnson G | 33 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| RJ Godfrey F | 33 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 10-13 | 1-1 |
| Carter Welling F | 30 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Dillon Hunter G | 29 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1-9 | 0-0 |
| Jestin Porter G | 28 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ace Buckner G | 22 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Nick Davidson F | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-5 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dallas Thomas F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase Thompson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trent Steinour, Blake Davidson, Zac Foster
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Trimble G | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-4 |
| Jarin Stevenson F | 35 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Derek Dixon G | 31 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-4 |
| Henri Veesaar C | 29 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Davis G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Bogavac G | 23 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 6-14 | 6-10 |
| Jonathan Powell G | 19 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Zayden High F | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Kyan Evans G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jaydon Young G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Smith, Ivan Matlekovic, John Holbrook, Isaiah Denis, James Brown, Caleb Wilson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNC -2.5
ModelUNC -4.8
Model edgeUNC +2.3
W UNC covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
CLEM 69.2 · UNC 73.9
CLEM 63 · UNC 67
Win probability
UNC 66%
1st half
Spread
UNC -2.7
CLEM -3.0
Total
67.0
57 points
Projected score
CLEM 32.1 · UNC 34.9
CLEM 30 · UNC 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -2.5
no move
CloseUNC -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CLEM +130 · UNC -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -2.5 · unchangedmodel UNC -5
model UNC -5
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| UNC | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CLEM 2–3 UNCUNC leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · CLEM has won the last 2 meetings · CLEM 2-2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | UNC 65 @ CLEM 85 | CLEM -4.5 | CLEM W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | CLEM 80 @ UNC 76 | UNC -6.5 | CLEM W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | UNC 65 @ CLEM 55 | CLEM -2.5 | UNC W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | CLEM 71 @ UNC 91 | UNC -6.5 | UNC W |
| Feb 8, 2021-22 | UNC 79 @ CLEM 77 | CLEM +2 | P |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clemson
29 games played
Straight up
21-8
72% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs BYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MER | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs SC | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vs CIN | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ SYR | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @ PITT | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs SMU | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ ND | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs BC | W 74-50 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIA | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vs NCSU | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @ GT | W 77-63 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vsPITT | W 63-52 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 4 | @ STAN | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ CAL | W 77-55 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | vs VT | L 66-76 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | @ DUKE | L 54-67 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 18 | @ WAKE | L 77-85 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | vs FSU | L 65-70 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | vs LOU | W 80-75 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−15.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−5.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−0.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
+1.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
+0.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+11.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
+8.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
+5.5
20
vsNCSU
NCSUL 76-80
−6.5
24
@GT
GTW 77-63
+5.5
31
vsPITT
PITTW 63-52
+0.5
4
@STAN
STANW 66-64
−1.5
7
@CAL
CALW 77-55
+17.5
11
vsVT
VTL 66-76
−18.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-67
−0.5
18
@WAKE
WAKEL 77-85
−12.5
21
vsFSU
FSUL 65-70
−13.5
28
vsLOU
LOUW 80-75
+7.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−19.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−13.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−7.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
−15.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+5.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
−5.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+3.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
−12.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
−15.5
20
vsNCSU
NCSUL 76-80
+13.5
24
@GT
GTW 77-63
−2.5
31
vsPITT
PITTW 63-52
−20.5
4
@STAN
STANW 66-64
−8.5
7
@CAL
CALW 77-55
−7.5
11
vsVT
VTL 66-76
+3.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-67
−13.5
18
@WAKE
WAKEL 77-85
+21.5
21
vsFSU
FSUL 65-70
−10.5
28
vsLOU
LOUW 80-75
+8.5
over 12under 17avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Carolina
29 games played
Straight up
23-6
79% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CARK | W 94-54 | -31.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | vs KU | W 87-74 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs RAD | W 89-74 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 14 | vs NCCU | W 97-53 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs NAVY | W 73-61 | -26.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 25 | vs SBU | W 85-70 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs MSU | L 58-74 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | @ UK | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vsGTWN | W 81-61 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs UPST | W 80-62 | -29.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | vs ETSU | W 77-58 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs OSU | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | vs ECU | W 99-51 | -25.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 30 | vsFSU | W 79-66 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @SMU | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vsWAKE | W 87-84 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @STAN | L 90-95 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | @CAL | L 78-84 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | vsND | W 91-69 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @ UVA | W 85-80 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @GT | W 91-75 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 2 | vsSYR | W 87-77 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vsDUKE | W 71-68 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @MIA | L 66-75 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | vsPITT | W 79-65 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 17 | @NCSU | L 58-82 | +8.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 21 | @SYR | W 77-64 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 23 | vsLOU | W 77-74 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | vsVT | W 89-82 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
+8.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+10.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
−5.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
+9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−14.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+4.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−14.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
+10.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
+9.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−11.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
+1.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−1.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+22.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
+0.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
−12.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
−7.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
−9.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
−13.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+8.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+11.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+6.5
2
vsSYR
SYRW 87-77
−1.5
7
vsDUKE
DUKEW 71-68
+9.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 66-75
−7.5
14
vsPITT
PITTW 79-65
+2.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 58-82
−15.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 77-64
+15.5
23
vsLOU
LOUW 77-74
+6.5
28
vsVT
VTW 89-82
−0.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
−9.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+1.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
+0.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
−9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−26.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+2.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−20.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
−32.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
−7.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−9.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
−15.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−16.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+5.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
−21.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
+24.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
+16.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
+37.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
+10.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+10.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+12.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+5.5
2
vsSYR
SYRW 87-77
+5.5
7
vsDUKE
DUKEW 71-68
−13.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 66-75
−15.5
14
vsPITT
PITTW 79-65
+1.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 58-82
−16.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 77-64
−13.5
23
vsLOU
LOUW 77-74
−11.5
28
vsVT
VTW 89-82
+21.5
over 14under 15avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Clemson
21-8 overall · 11-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Louisville80–75
- Lvs Florida St65–70
- L@ Wake Forest77–85
- L@ Duke54–67
- Lvs Virginia Tech66–76
3 days since their last game.
North Carolina
23-6 overall · 11-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Virginia Tech89–82
- Wvs Louisville77–74
- W@ Syracuse77–64
- L@ NC State58–82
- Wvs Pitt79–65
3 days since their last game.