Maples Pavilion · at Stanford · Conference game
Closing line
STAN -8.5✓ PITT covered by 0.5
STAN -8.5✓ PITT covered by 0.5Closing total138.5Over by 3.5
 PITT | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 10-17 | Record | 16-11 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 16-11 | O/U | 10-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PITT 69–72 STAN · ✓ STAN (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 34 | 33 | 67 |
| STAN | 32 | 43 | 75 |
1st half: PITT 34, STAN 32 (PITT by 2). The model had STAN by 1.9 and a total of 66.0 (actual 66).
Team stats
| PITT | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-49 49% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 10-10 100% |
| 27 8 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omari Witherspoon G | 40 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 39 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 7-11 | 4-7 |
| Damarco Minor G | 39 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 37 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 8-13 | 1-1 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Kieran Mullen C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amdy Ndiaye, Dishon Jackson, Henry Lau, Brandin Cummings, Benjamin Mayhew, Macari Moore, Papa Amadou Kante, Jajuan Nelson
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 39 | 34 | 6 | 6 | 11-19 | 3-6 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Benny Gealer G | 30 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-3 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 20 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donavin Young F | 17 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kristers Skrinda, Myles Jones, Chisom Okpara, Ethan Kitch, Tallis Toure, Evan Stinson, Anthony Batson Jr., Cameron Grant
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTAN -8.5
ModelSTAN -3.5
Model edgePITT +5.0
W PITT covered
Total
Market138.5
Model140.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
PITT 68.7 · STAN 72.2
PITT 67 · STAN 75
Win probability
STAN 62%
1st half
Spread
STAN -1.9
PITT -2.0
Total
66.0
66 points
Projected score
PITT 32 · STAN 33.9
PITT 34 · STAN 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -7.5
1 → STAN
CloseSTAN -8.5
1 pt toward STAN
Total
Open136.5
▲ 2
Close138.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
PITT +330 · STAN -425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -7.5 · closed STAN -8.5 · moved 1 toward STANmodel STAN -3.5
model STAN -3.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| STAN | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PITT 1–0 STANPITT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · PITT 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | STAN 68 @ PITT 83 | PITT -9.5 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pitt
27 games played
Straight up
10-17
37% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs CLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs SYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs LOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @ BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs NCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs WAKE | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @CLEM | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @ UVA | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vs SMU | L 67-86 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs DUKE | L 54-70 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @ UNC | L 65-79 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 21 | vs ND | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+2.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−0.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−7.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
−14.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
+1.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
−2.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+1.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+5.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−20.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−28.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
+5.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
−12.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
+1.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+0.5
over 16under 11avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
27 games played
Straight up
16-11
59% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-17
37% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vsND | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vsLOU | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ VT | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @UVA | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vsUNC | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vsDUKE | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs CAL | L 66-78 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @MIA | L 70-79 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ FSU | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | vsCLEM | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | vsGT | W 95-72 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | @BC | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | @WAKE | L 63-68 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @CAL | L 66-72 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−13.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
+11.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
+4.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−2.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+9.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−16.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+0.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
−4.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
+1.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+13.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
+2.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−0.5
21
@CAL
CALL 66-72
−4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−56.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
−1.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
−11.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−18.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+37.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−2.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+1.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
+15.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
−8.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+15.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
−5.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 66-72
−11.5
over 10under 17avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pitt
10-17 overall · 3-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Notre Dame73–68
- L@ North Carolina65–79
- Lvs Duke54–70
- Lvs SMU67–86
- L@ Virginia47–67
4 days since their last game.
Stanford
16-11 overall · 5-9 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ California66–72
- L@ Wake Forest63–68
- W@ Boston College70–64
- Wvs Georgia Tech95–72
- Lvs Clemson64–66
4 days since their last game.