When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
458 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 59–67 · pick one to list those games
45% went over. Of the 206 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 28% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
All 458 games
2023–2026 · Totals 59–67 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 8 |
USA -1.5 | 66.5 | 3121933 | U | MRSH Q2 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 7 |
HOU -4 | 62.5 | 10174567 | Q4 | OKST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
32–35 |
2026 · Week 7 |
ARST -5.5 | 61.5 | 6232336 | U | ARST Q1 | 23–13 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WVU -1.5 | 64.5 | 7354987 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 6 |
FLA -10.5 | 59.5 | 14274457 | U | SC Q1 | 38–19 |
2026 · Week 6 |
ARIZ -3.5 | 61.5 | 17416283 | Q3 | ARIZ Q1 | 52–31 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LOU -4 | 60.5 | 14284264 | Q4 | LOU Q3 | 20–44 |
2026 · Week 6 |
ARST -3 | 60.5 | 216284105 | Q2 | USA Q1 | 56–49 |
 MCN @  LSU2026 · Week 5 |
LSU -53.5 | 62.5 | 14356377 | Q3 | MCN Q1 | 14–63 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ORST -7 | 60.5 | 21496282 | Q3 | ORST Q2 | 56–26 |
 TXSO @  FAU2026 · Week 5 |
FAU -47.5 | 62.5 | 31596976 | Q3 | FAU Q3 | 10–66 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ILL -9.5 | 62.5 | 3202341 | U | PUR Q1 | 24–17 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ALA -5.5 | 62.5 | 21456579 | Q3 | ALA Q1 | 56–23 |
2026 · Week 4 |
SMU -30.5 | 60.5 | 10243158 | U | MOST Q1 | 24–34 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ORE -3.5 | 60.5 | 3234768 | Q4 | ORE Q3 | 41–27 |
 HCU @  UNT2026 · Week 4 |
UNT -38.5 | 60.5 | 21496377 | Q3 | UNT Q4 | 14–63 |
2026 · Week 4 |
WVU -1.5 | 60.5 | 10275265 | Q4 | OKST Q2 | 41–24 |
 UIW @  TXST2026 · Week 4 |
TXST -30.5 | 66.5 | 35525273 | Q4 | TXST Q2 Late over |
10–63 |
 W&M @  DUKE2026 · Week 4 |
DUKE -43.5 | 61.5 | 21455569 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 | 7–62 |
 CARK @  FSU2026 · Week 4 |
FSU -45.5 | 62.5 | 14314141 | U | CARK Q1 | 7–34 |
 BUCK @  PITT2026 · Week 4 |
PITT -54.5 | 63.5 | 14354259 | U | PITT Q4 Late cover flip |
0–59 |
 SDAK @  BOIS2026 · Week 3 |
BOIS -28.5 | 61.5 | 14354562 | Q4 | SDAK Q1 Late over |
24–38 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TENN -35.5 | 60.5 | 18243851 | U | KENN Q1 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
 DSU @  USF2026 · Week 3 |
USF -37.5 | 59.5 | 21455976 | Q4 | USF Q4 | 17–59 |
2026 · Week 3 |
FAU -5.5 | 62.5 | 10172326 | U | FAU Q3 | 10–16 |
2026 · Week 3 |
SC -3 | 59.5 | 13375475 | Q4 | MSST Q3 | 41–34 |
2026 · Week 3 |
IU -44.5 | 59.5 | 0143138 | U | WKU Q1 | 0–38 |
2026 · Week 3 |
USC -21 | 59.5 | 17346377 | Q3 | RUTG Q1 | 42–35 |
 WAG @  CAL2026 · Week 3 |
CAL -58.5 | 65.5 | 29465356 | U | WAG Q1 | 7–49 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TXST -3 | 62.5 | 28566384 | Q3 | TXST Q3 | 35–49 |
2026 · Week 2 |
MISS -44.5 | 59.5 | 7273350 | U | CLT Q1 | 9–41 |
2026 · Week 2 |
NAVY -4.5 | 59.5 | 21385268 | Q4 | FAU Q1 Late over |
30–38 |
 SOU @  HOU2026 · Week 2 |
HOU -51.5 | 61.5 | 28497683 | Q3 | HOU Q3 | 6–77 |
 WCU @  CIN2026 · Week 2 |
CIN -36.5 | 61.5 | 10385972 | Q4 | CIN Q3 | 10–62 |
 CAM @  FLA2026 · Week 2 |
FLA -51.5 | 66.5 | 13485555 | U | CAM Q1 | 3–52 |
 UCD @  SMU2026 · Week 2 |
SMU -32.5 | 59.5 | 14424966 | Q4 | SMU Q2 | 10–56 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TXST -1.5 | 65.5 | 7244057 | U | UTSA Q4 | 31–26 |
 FAMU @  MIA2026 · Week 2 |
MIA -59.5 | 66.5 | 21497784 | Q3 | MIA Q3 | 7–77 |
 NAU @  ARIZ2026 · Week 1 |
ARIZ -33.5 | 59.5 | 7212842 | U | NAU Q1 | 7–35 |
 PRST @  SDSU2026 · Week 1 |
SDSU -38.5 | 61.5 | 13355673 | Q4 | PRST Q1 | 20–53 |
 UTU @  BYU2026 · Week 1 |
BYU -50.5 | 61.5 | 14426370 | Q3 | BYU Q4 | 7–63 |
2026 · Week 1 |
FLA -26.5 | 59.5 | 17527387 | Q3 | FLA Q3 | 21–66 |
 VMI @  VT2026 · Week 1 |
VT -54.5 | 60.5 | 21456676 | Q3 | VT Q3 | 3–73 |
 ACU @  TTU2026 · Week 1 |
TTU -45.5 | 61.5 | 14202943 | U | ACU Q1 | 10–33 |
 IDST @  USU2026 · Week 1 |
USU -15.5 | 59.5 | 13263646 | U | IDST Q1 | 29–17 |
 UNA @  ARK2026 · Week 1 |
ARK -40.5 | 63.5 | 7142845 | U | UNA Q1 | 14–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TEX -29.5 | 61.5 | 14355666 | Q4 | TEX Q3 Late over |
7–59 |
 FUR @  TENN2026 · Week 1 |
TENN -49.5 | 66.5 | 7285265 | U | FUR Q1 | 9–56 |
 RGV @  UTSA2026 · Week 1 |
UTSA -28.5 | 59.5 | 7373761 | Q4 | UTSA Q4 Late over |
16–45 |
 YSU @  UK2026 · Week 1 |
UK -22.5 | 61.5 | 14354858 | U | UK Q4 | 13–45 |
USA
MRSH
OKST
ARST
USM
WVU
SC
LOU
ORST
CSU
PUR
ILL
ALA
MSST
MOST
ORE
USC
KENN
FIU
WKU
IU
RUTG
CLT
MISS
NAVY
TEXWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 229
Q2 16% 73
Q3 15% 67
Q4 19% 85
OT 0% 1
Push 1% 3
The team leading at halftime won 87% and covered 69% of 419 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 69% of 447 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 58 | 100% 58 |
| 1–3 | 22 | 100% 22 |
| 4–7 | 23 | 96% 22 |
| 8–10 | 27 | 74% 20 |
| 11–14 | 49 | 65% 32 |
| 15–17 | 41 | 54% 22 |
| 18–21 | 39 | 26% 10 |
| 22+ | 199 | 10% 20 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.