When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
99 games · 2026 · Week 1 · pick one to list those games
53% went over. Of the 52 overs, 4% had cashed by halftime and 23% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 23% of games.
All 99 games
2026 · Week 1 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 1 |
SMU -3 | 52.5 | 14273451 | U | Push Late cover flip |
27–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
ND -21 | 45.5 | 13234054 | Q4 | ND Q4 Late cover flip |
13–41 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MISS -6.5 | 54.5 | 3164879 | Q4 | LOU Q1 Late cover flip |
38–41 |
2026 · Week 1 |
WASH -23.5 | 51.5 | 3101034 | U | WSU Q1 | 10–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
UCLA -2.5 | 53.5 | 14414869 | Q4 | UCLA Q4 | 45–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
WKU -1.5 | 51.5 | 14284263 | Q4 | NEV Q1 | 14–49 |
2026 · Week 1 |
ASU -43.5 | 52.5 | 35567777 | Q2 | ASU Q3 | 7–70 |
2026 · Week 1 |
UNLV -2.5 | 55.5 | 7172027 | U | UNLV Q1 | 21–6 |
2026 · Week 1 |
UNM -11.5 | 47.5 | 7203545 | U | UNM Q2 | 7–38 |
2026 · Week 1 |
SAC -38.5 | 56.5 | 14313852 | U | SAC Q4 | 0–52 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LSU -10 | 48.5 | 20344761 | Q4 | LSU Q1 | 10–51 |
2026 · Week 1 |
ARIZ -33.5 | 59.5 | 7212842 | U | NAU Q1 | 7–35 |
2026 · Week 1 |
SDSU -38.5 | 61.5 | 13355673 | Q4 | PRST Q1 | 20–53 |
2026 · Week 1 |
NMSU -29.5 | 52.5 | 20374465 | Q4 | NMSU Q4 | 14–51 |
2026 · Week 1 |
BYU -50.5 | 61.5 | 14426370 | Q3 | BYU Q4 | 7–63 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MD -45.5 | 56.5 | 17345562 | Q4 | MD Q3 | 0–62 |
2026 · Week 1 |
NU -14 | 49.5 | 7162952 | Q4 | NU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
18–34 |
2026 · Week 1 |
UL -20.5 | 48.5 | 7283545 | U | UL Q2 | 7–38 |
2026 · Week 1 |
FLA -26.5 | 59.5 | 17527387 | Q3 | FLA Q3 | 21–66 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MTSU -22.5 | 55.5 | 14283852 | U | MTSU Q4 | 14–38 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MICH -27.5 | 50.5 | 10131325 | U | WMU Q1 Lead lost |
12–13 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MSST -28.5 | 54.5 | 21446175 | Q3 | MSST Q2 | 13–62 |
2026 · Week 1 |
VT -54.5 | 60.5 | 21456676 | Q3 | VT Q3 | 3–73 |
2026 · Week 1 |
LT -44.5 | 56.5 | 24668086 | Q2 | LT Q2 | 6–80 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TA&M -38.5 | 53.5 | 9193350 | U | TA&M Q4 | 0–50 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TTU -45.5 | 61.5 | 14202943 | U | ACU Q1 | 10–33 |
2026 · Week 1 |
VAN -29.5 | 57.5 | 11243037 | U | APSU Q1 | 9–28 |
2026 · Week 1 |
KSU -41.5 | 55.5 | 22396074 | Q3 | KSU Q3 | 3–71 |
2026 · Week 1 |
USU -15.5 | 59.5 | 13263646 | U | IDST Q1 | 29–17 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MEM -10.5 | 52.5 | 3385966 | Q3 | MEM Q3 | 24–42 |
2026 · Week 1 |
RICE -22.5 | 47.5 | 10202034 | U | RICE Q4 | 3–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
USF -14.5 | 53.5 | 36928 | U | FIU Q1 | 9–19 |
2026 · Week 1 |
JXST -22.5 | 51.5 | 14424956 | Q4 | JXST Q2 | 7–49 |
2026 · Week 1 |
GASO -28.5 | 51.5 | 21243131 | U | GASO Q3 | 0–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
USA -13.5 | 53.5 | 26294653 | U | USA Q2 | 14–39 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TROY -15.5 | 52.5 | 14283145 | U | SHSU Q1 | 21–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
CSU -2.5 | 45.5 | 10203448 | Q4 | CSU Q1 Late over |
13–35 |
2026 · Week 1 |
ODU -41.5 | 52.5 | 7244141 | U | NORF Q1 | 10–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
USM -20.5 | 51.5 | 10244552 | Q4 | USM Q3 | 3–49 |
2026 · Week 1 |
IOWA -31.5 | 44.5 | 20334040 | U | IOWA Q2 | 0–40 |
2026 · Week 1 |
ARK -40.5 | 63.5 | 7142845 | U | UNA Q1 | 14–31 |
2026 · Week 1 |
OKST -13.5 | 57.5 | 3132734 | U | TLSA Q1 | 10–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
ORE -24.5 | 53.5 | 7314861 | Q4 | BOIS Q1 | 27–34 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TEX -29.5 | 61.5 | 14355666 | Q4 | TEX Q3 Late over |
7–59 |
2026 · Week 1 |
PSU -23.5 | 53.5 | 17243845 | U | PSU Q2 | 0–45 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TENN -49.5 | 66.5 | 7285265 | U | FUR Q1 | 9–56 |
2026 · Week 1 |
AUB -6.5 | 58.5 | 3171733 | U | BAY Q1 | 16–17 |
2026 · Week 1 |
CIN -7 | 51.5 | 3103249 | U | CIN Q2 | 15–34 |
2026 · Week 1 |
DUKE -9.5 | 51.5 | 7101020 | U | DUKE Q2 | 3–17 |
2026 · Week 1 |
CLT -20.5 | 49.5 | 1421425684 | Q4 | CIT Q1 Late over |
43–41 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 40% 40
Q2 17% 17
Q3 18% 18
Q4 22% 22
OT 0% 0
Push 2% 2
The team leading at halftime won 96% and covered 69% of 98 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 97% and covered 71% of 94 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 12 | 100% 12 |
| 1–3 | 7 | 100% 7 |
| 4–7 | 14 | 86% 12 |
| 8–10 | 7 | 71% 5 |
| 11–14 | 13 | 54% 7 |
| 15–17 | 10 | 30% 3 |
| 18–21 | 12 | 17% 2 |
| 22+ | 24 | 17% 4 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.