When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
79 games · 2024 · Week 1 · pick one to list those games
44% went over. Of the 35 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 49% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 16% of games.
All 79 games
2024 · Week 1 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 1 |
FSU -16.5 | 51.5 | 0204141 | U | BC Q1 | 28–13 |
2024 · Week 1 |
LSU -3.5 | 67.5 | 0203047 | U | USC Q4 | 27–20 |
 WEB @  WASH2024 · Week 1 |
WASH -29 | 51.5 | 0143138 | U | WASH Q4 | 3–35 |
2024 · Week 1 |
ARIZ -29 | 60.5 | 285179100 | Q3 | UNM Q1 | 39–61 |
2024 · Week 1 |
ASU -6.5 | 47.5 | 17274855 | Q3 | ASU Q1 | 7–48 |
 SEMO @  NMSU2024 · Week 1 |
NMSU -9.5 | 52.5 | 7202339 | U | SEMO Q1 Lead lost |
16–23 |
2024 · Week 1 |
TA&M -2.5 | 46.5 | 6121936 | U | ND Q1 | 23–13 |
 AAMU @  AUB2024 · Week 1 |
AUB -48.5 | 58.5 | 28556976 | Q3 | AUB Q2 | 3–73 |
2024 · Week 1 |
UCLA -13.5 | 51.5 | 7102329 | U | HAW Q1 | 16–13 |
 ACU @  TTU2024 · Week 1 |
TTU -34.5 | 58.5 | 29536790103 | Q3 | ACU Q1 | 51–52 |
2024 · Week 1 |
ALA -37.5 | 60.5 | 21425663 | Q4 | ALA Q2 | 0–63 |
 FUR @  MISS2024 · Week 1 |
MISS -45.5 | 58.5 | 24527376 | Q3 | MISS Q2 | 0–76 |
 UTM @  KSU2024 · Week 1 |
KSU -36.5 | 56.5 | 14203347 | U | UTM Q1 | 6–41 |
 TAR @  BAY2024 · Week 1 |
BAY -33.5 | 53.5 | 21283848 | U | BAY Q4 | 3–45 |
2024 · Week 1 |
RICE -9.5 | 48.5 | 17314848 | U | SHSU Q1 | 34–14 |
2024 · Week 1 |
TROY -7.5 | 44.5 | 7203854 | Q4 | NEV Q3 | 28–26 |
 UNA @  MEM2024 · Week 1 |
MEM -38.5 | 62.5 | 7313440 | U | MEM Q4 | 0–40 |
 IDST @  ORST2024 · Week 1 |
ORST -29.5 | 57.5 | 16264653 | U | IDST Q1 | 15–38 |
 EKU @  MSST2024 · Week 1 |
MSST -26.5 | 61.5 | 14424963 | Q4 | MSST Q2 Late over |
7–56 |
 CAM @  LIB2024 · Week 1 |
LIB -41.5 | 58.5 | 10274465 | Q4 | CAM Q1 Late over |
24–41 |
 NORF @  ECU2024 · Week 1 |
ECU -31.5 | 51.5 | 17313845 | U | ECU Q3 | 3–42 |
 STBK @  MRSH2024 · Week 1 |
MRSH -32.5 | 56.5 | 7172748 | U | MRSH Q4 | 3–45 |
 UCD @  CAL2024 · Week 1 |
CAL -20.5 | 56.5 | 13273744 | U | UCD Q1 | 13–31 |
2024 · Week 1 |
USA -5.5 | 60.5 | 10336890 | Q3 | UNT Q1 | 52–38 |
2024 · Week 1 |
SC -20.5 | 48.5 | 17203242 | U | ODU Q1 | 19–23 |
2024 · Week 1 |
BOIS -12.5 | 57.5 | 144466101 | Q3 | GASO Q2 Late cover flip |
56–45 |
2024 · Week 1 |
OSU -48.5 | 55.5 | 10204458 | Q4 | AKR Q1 Late over |
6–52 |
2024 · Week 1 |
TEX -34.5 | 62.5 | 7314552 | U | TEX Q3 | 0–52 |
2024 · Week 1 |
MIA -2.5 | 54.5 | 10344858 | Q4 | MIA Q1 | 41–17 |
2024 · Week 1 |
IU -25.5 | 51.5 | 14283138 | U | FIU Q1 | 7–31 |
2024 · Week 1 |
MASS -2.5 | 50.5 | 0142442 | U | EMU Q1 | 28–14 |
 ETSU @  APP2024 · Week 1 |
APP -35.5 | 58.5 | 10243448 | U | ETSU Q1 | 10–38 |
 UND @  ISU2024 · Week 1 |
ISU -30.5 | 51.5 | 7171724 | U | UND Q1 | 3–21 |
2024 · Week 1 |
SYR -17.5 | 45.5 | 6264760 | Q3 | OHIO Q1 | 22–38 |
 MRMK @  AFA2024 · Week 1 |
AFA -30.5 | 47.5 | 7141427 | U | MRMK Q1 | 6–21 |
2024 · Week 1 |
NU -3.5 | 40.5 | 661319 | U | NU Q3 | 6–13 |
 WIU @  NIU2024 · Week 1 |
NIU -36.5 | 55.5 | 9375569 | Q4 | NIU Q3 | 15–54 |
 PRST @  WSU2024 · Week 1 |
WSU -26.5 | 57.5 | 296686100 | Q2 | WSU Q2 | 30–70 |
 TOW @  CIN2024 · Week 1 |
CIN -33.5 | 56.5 | 24455858 | Q3 | TOW Q1 | 20–38 |
 SDST @  OKST2024 · Week 1 |
OKST -12.5 | 55.5 | 10235164 | Q4 | OKST Q3 | 20–44 |
 UTC @  TENN2024 · Week 1 |
TENN -38.5 | 56.5 | 24455872 | Q3 | TENN Q2 | 3–69 |
2024 · Week 1 |
UGA -10.5 | 49.5 | 062337 | U | UGA Q3 | 3–34 |
2024 · Week 1 |
PSU -7.5 | 48.5 | 0263346 | U | PSU Q2 | 34–12 |
2024 · Week 1 |
VT -13.5 | 48.5 | 320335461 | Q4 | VAN Q1 Late over |
27–34 |
2024 · Week 1 |
MD -18.5 | 44.5 | 14234357 | Q4 | MD Q2 | 7–50 |
 APSU @  LOU2024 · Week 1 |
LOU -38.5 | 54.5 | 10385962 | Q3 | LOU Q3 | 0–62 |
 INST @  PUR2024 · Week 1 |
PUR -35.5 | 52.5 | 7213549 | U | PUR Q4 | 0–49 |
2024 · Week 1 |
PITT -23.5 | 54.5 | 21426679 | Q3 | PITT Q4 | 24–55 |
 BUCK @  NAVY2024 · Week 1 |
NAVY -31.5 | 48.5 | 13354970 | Q3 | BUCK Q1 | 21–49 |
2024 · Week 1 |
TCU -8.5 | 58.5 | 14273761 | Q4 | STAN Q1 Late over Lead lost |
34–27 |
BC
FSU
USC
LSU
UNM
ARIZ
WYO
ASU
ND
TA&M
UCLA
HAW
WKU
ALA
SHSU
RICE
NEV
TROY
UNT
USA
ODU
SC
BOIS
GASO
AKR
OSU
CSU
TEX
MIA
FLA
FIU
IU
EMU
MASS
OHIO
SYR
M-OH
NU
CLEM
UGA
PSU
WVU
VT
VAN
CONN
MD
KENT
PITT
TCU
STANWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 52% 41
Q2 14% 11
Q3 18% 14
Q4 16% 13
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 88% and covered 63% of 73 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 65% of 77 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 17 | 100% 17 |
| 1–3 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 4–7 | 6 | 100% 6 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 11 | 36% 4 |
| 15–17 | 7 | 29% 2 |
| 18–21 | 12 | 8% 1 |
| 22+ | 21 | 5% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.