Big Ten ConferencePower #1027-8 SU18-17 ATS16-19 O/U
Michigan St went 27-8 straight up, 18-17 against the spread (51% covers, average cover margin +1.4 points), 16-19 on over/unders in 2025-26, including 14-14 ATS as a favorite and 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):LWO·LLO·WWO·WWU·LLU
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which MSU beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
−11.5
COLG+0.5
ARK−5.5
SJSU+20.5
UK−2.5
DETM+13.5
ECU+14.5
UNC+13.5
IOWA−4.5
DUKE−8.5
@PSU−0.5
TOL−10.5
OAK−6.5
COR+0.5
@NEB+17.5
USC−3.5
NU+14.5
IU+13.5
@WASH+5.5
@ORE+24.5
MD−5.5
@RUTG−9.5
MICH−11.5
@MINN+1.5
ILL−22.5
@WIS+14.5
UCLA−4.5
OSU+7.5
@PUR+10.5@IU−16.5RUTG+0.5@MICH−9.5UCLA+8.5
NDSU+2.5
LOU−1.5
CONN
COLG+0.5ARK−5.5SJSU+20.5UK−2.5DETM+13.5ECU+14.5UNC+13.5IOWA−4.5DUKE−8.5@PSU−0.5TOL−10.5OAK−6.5COR+0.5@NEB+17.5USC−3.5NU+14.5IU+13.5@WASH+5.5@ORE+24.5MD−5.5@RUTG−9.5MICH−11.5@MINN+1.5ILL−22.5@WIS+14.5UCLA−4.5OSU+7.5@PUR+10.5@IU−16.5RUTG+0.5@MICH−9.5UCLA+8.5NDSU+2.5LOU−1.5CONNcovered 18didn’t cover 17avg +1.4 ptstaller = bigger margin
+4.5COLG−20.5ARK−4.5SJSU−3.5UK−9.5DETM+4.5ECU−20.5UNC−10.5IOWA−15.5DUKE+2.5@PSU+10.5TOL−6.5OAK+50.5COR−32.5@NEB−20.5USC−1.5NU−4.5IU−2.5@WASH−19.5@ORE−2.5MD+28.5@RUTG+4.5MICH+12.5@MINN+24.5ILL+13.5@WIS+1.5UCLA−20.5OSU+6.5@PUR−3.5@IU+36.5RUTG+17.5@MICH+30.5UCLA+14.5NDSU−5.5LOU−6.5CONN
COLG−20.5ARK−4.5SJSU−3.5UK−9.5DETM+4.5ECU−20.5UNC−10.5IOWA−15.5DUKE+2.5@PSU+10.5TOL−6.5OAK+50.5COR−32.5@NEB−20.5USC−1.5NU−4.5IU−2.5@WASH−19.5@ORE−2.5MD+28.5@RUTG+4.5MICH+12.5@MINN+24.5ILL+13.5@WIS+1.5UCLA−20.5OSU+6.5@PUR−3.5@IU+36.5RUTG+17.5@MICH+30.5UCLA+14.5NDSU−5.5LOU−6.5CONNover 16under 19avg +1.5 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
27-8
77% wins
Against the spread
18-17
51% covers
Avg cover margin
+1.4
points vs the line
Over / Under
16-19
46% overs
Points for / against
78.8 / 68.3
per game
Michigan St 2025-26 team stats
35 games · rank among 365 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game78.8 #84
Points per possession1.17 #40
Pace (possessions)67.3 #264
Shooting
Effective FG%53.8 #72
3-point %36.3 #47
3-point attempt rate36.4 #241
Free throw rate35.9 #157
Possessions
Turnover rate17.1 #217
Offensive rebound rate37.8 #10
Assists per game18.6 #4
Defense
Points allowed68.3 #37
Points allowed per possession1.02 #40
Opponent effective FG%48.9 #61
Opponent 3-point %33.0 #119
Turnovers forced14.9 #296
Defensive rebound rate77.6 #1
Steals per game5.1 #328
Blocks per game4.1 #59
Michigan St 2025-26 schedule, lines & results
35 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Colgate non-conf | -22.5 | 144.5 | W 80-69 | L -11.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | #14Arkansas non-conf | -2.5 | 155.5 | W 69-66 | W +0.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | San José St non-conf | -24.5 | 143.5 | W 79-60 | L -5.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | #12Kentucky non-conf (N) | +3.5 | 152.5 | W 83-66 | W +20.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | Detroit Mercy non-conf | -30.5 | 149.5 | W 84-56 | L -2.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | East Carolina non-conf (N) | -19.5 | 140.5 | W 89-56 | W +13.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | #16North Carolina non-conf (N) | -1.5 | 152.5 | W 74-58 | W +14.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | Iowa | -5.5 | 133.5 | W 71-52 | W +13.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | #4Duke non-conf | +1.5 | 141.5 | L 60-66 | L -4.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ Penn State | -12.5 | 145.5 | W 76-72 | L -8.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | Toledo non-conf | -23.5 | 150.5 | W 92-69 | L -0.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | Oakland non-conf (N) | -19.5 | 155.5 | W 79-70 | L -10.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | Cornell non-conf | -23.5 | 160.5 | W 114-97 | L -6.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @ #13Nebraska | +2.5 | 146.5 | L 56-58 | W +0.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | USC | -11.5 | 151.5 | W 80-51 | W +17.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | Northwestern | -13.5 | 143.5 | W 76-66 | L -3.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | Indiana | -6.5 | 145.5 | W 81-60 | W +14.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | @ Washington | -3.5 | 145.5 | W 80-63 | W +13.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ Oregon | -10.5 | 139.5 | W 68-52 | W +5.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 24 | Maryland | -18.5 | 141.5 | W 91-48 | W +24.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 27 | @ Rutgers | -14.5 | 138.5 | W 88-79 | L -5.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 30 | #3Michigan | +2.5 | 149.5 | L 71-83 | L -9.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | @ Minnesota | -8.5 | 136.5 | L 73-76 | L -11.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 7 | #5Illinois | -1.5 | 142.5 | W 85-82 | W +1.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 13 | @ Wisconsin | -1.5 | 149.5 | L 71-92 | L -22.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | UCLA | -8.5 | 139.5 | W 82-59 | W +14.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 22 | Ohio State | -10.5 | 146.5 | W 66-60 | L -4.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 26 | @ #8Purdue | +5.5 | 143.5 | W 76-74 | W +7.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 1 | @ Indiana | -2.5 | 144.5 | W 77-64 | W +10.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 5 | Rutgers | -20.5 | 141.5 | W 91-87 | L -16.5 | O 178 |
| Mar 8 | @ #3Michigan | +10.5 | 152.5 | L 80-90 | W +0.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 13 | UCLA (N) | -5.5 | 141.5 | L 84-88 | L -9.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 19 | #14N Dakota St non-conf (N) | -16.5 | 144.5 | W 92-67 | W +8.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 21 | #6Louisville non-conf (N) | -5.5 | 151.5 | W 77-69 | W +2.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 27 | #2UConn non-conf (N) | +2.5 | 136.5 | L 63-67 | L -1.5 | U 130 |
Michigan St 2025-26 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 27-8 | 18-17 | 51% | +1.4 | 16-19 | 78.8 | 68.3 |
| Home | 15-2 | 7-10 | 41% | +1.3 | 7-10 | 80.7 | 66.5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-4 | 60% | -1.0 | 6-4 | 74.5 | 72.0 |
| Neutral site | 6-2 | 5-3 | 63% | +4.8 | 3-5 | 80.1 | 67.6 |
| As favorite | 25-3 | 14-14 | 50% | +1.3 | 13-15 | 81.0 | 67.4 |
| As underdog | 2-5 | 4-3 | 57% | +1.9 | 3-4 | 69.9 | 72.0 |
| In conference | 15-6 | 12-9 | 57% | +1.5 | 11-10 | 77.3 | 69.3 |
| Non-conference | 12-2 | 6-8 | 43% | +1.2 | 5-9 | 81.1 | 66.9 |
How Michigan St’s games played out
By the score at halftime
Led at halftime21 games · won 20 · covered 13
Trailed at halftime13 games · won 7 · covered 4
Tied at halftime1 game · won 0 · covered 1