Maples Pavilion · at Stanford
#255EWUE Washington
@
#85STANStanford
LineSTAN -13.5moved 1 toward EWU
Total154.5up 1 from 153.5
Season records: E Washington and Stanford
EWUThis seasonSTAN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects STAN 85–68 · win probability STAN 94%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
STAN -13.5
moved 1 toward EWU
Total
154.5
model 153.0 · Under by 1.5
Model edge
STAN by 4
model vs market
Public on the spread
97% EWU
58% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: STAN has more of the edges

EWU 0, STAN 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
STANBig
STAN offense vs EWU defense
Offense 88th of 366 against a defense 322nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
EWU has played the 213th-hardest schedule, STAN the 76th. A record against a soft schedule means less
STANBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: EWU 17.6%, STAN 15.5%. Forced: EWU 16.3%, STAN 18.0%
STANBig
EWU offense vs STAN defense
Offense 189th of 366 against a defense 79th, on the model’s ratings
STANSmall
Home court
STAN at home. This season: STAN 0-0 at home, EWU 0-0 away
STANSmall
Three-pointers
EWU hits 35.9% and allows 35.2%; STAN hits 35.2% and allows 33.0%. Threes are 34.7% and 44.0% of their shots
STANSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: EWU 31.3%, STAN 32.5%. Defensive: EWU 69.2%, STAN 70.2%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: EWU plays 69.5 a game (149th fastest), STAN 68.1 (225th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: EWU 36.1, STAN 35.5. Allowed: EWU 37.3, STAN 40.3
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: EWU 53.7 and allows 54.9; STAN 51.5 and allows 51.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: EWU 30%, STAN 27%. Transfers in: EWU 1, STAN 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 10 to 14.5192888%48%52%
Non-conference games at this spread98888%50%51%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the underdog451374%51%50%
Games with a total of 150 to 154.5275575%51%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward EWU
Total
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
EWU +625 · STAN -950
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened STAN -14.5 · now STAN -14 · moved 1 toward EWUmodel STAN -17.5
Opened 153.5 · now 154 · moved 0.5 upmodel 153
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
EWU +13.5SpreadSTAN -13.5
Bets
Money
Money is 39 pts ahead of bets on STAN -13.5
Over 154.5TotalUnder 154.5
Bets
Money
EWUWinnerSTAN
Bets
Money

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
EWUSTANOverUnderEWUSTAN
BetMGMMGM-14.5-118+14.5-102153.5-115153.5-105+750-1200
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-13.5-105+13.5-115154-110154-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-14.5-122+14.5-105154.5-115154.5-110+650-1250
BetUSBetUS-13.5-105+13.5-115154-110154-110——
BovadaBovada-14-115+14-105154-110154-110+700-1200
DraftKingsDK-14.5-112+14.5-108154.5-105154.5-115+700-1100
FanDuelFD-13.5-102+13.5-120153.5-110153.5-110+810-1450
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-13.5-101+13.5-111154-108154-108——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadSTAN -13.5STAN -17.5STAN +4.0
Total154.5153.0Under 1.5
Projected score—EWU 67.7 · STAN 85.2

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadSTAN -10.3—
1H total71.5—
1H projected scoreEWU 30.6 · STAN 40.9—

The starting fives are even

Position by position: E Washington 1, Stanford 1, even 3
E WashingtonBetterStanford
G J. Griffith TR11.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 3.4 ast Score 75
Even
G C. Bliss TR16.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 5.9 ast Score 84
G C. Scherer2.1 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.4 ast Score 14
STANBig
F N. Townsend TR16.6 pts · 7.3 reb · 4.4 ast Score 93
F A. Hamilton13.6 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 83
EWUSmall
F A. Cammann6.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 56
F E. Marquardt5.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 31
Even
F D. Young2.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 26
F S. Ngoyi0.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
C A. Maurer TR7.2 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 70
E WashingtonBetterStanford
EWU offense189th of 366 · -5.8
STANSmall
STAN defense79th of 366 · +0.4
EWU defense322nd of 366 · -8.3
STANBig
STAN offense88th of 366 · +0.2
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
STANSmall
Backcourt+2.6 · 1 player
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
STANBig
Frontcourt+4.6 · 4 players
Bench-0.3 · 1 player
Even
Bench-0.1 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestEWU betterSTAN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
E Washington
Guards
J. Griffith23 min · TRC. Scherer8 minM. Monson3 minA. CookNewT. JacksonNewI. HomeliusNew
Forwards
A. Hamilton28 minE. Marquardt16 minS. Ngoyi4 minJ. MillerNewA. HamiltonNewA. GballouNew
Centers
Z. TrezvantNew
Stanford
Guards
C. Bliss40 min · TRE. Kitch1 minA. BatsonNewM. JonesNewJ. PriceNewI. RogersNew
Forwards
N. Townsend34 min · TRA. Cammann22 minD. Young15 minK. Skrinda6 minE. Stinson5 minT. Toure4 min
Centers
A. Maurer18 min · TR
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
EWUSTAN
Scoring
77.7 #102Points per game76.0 #142
1.11 #120Points per possession1.12 #108
69.5 #149Pace (possessions)68.1 #225
Shooting
53.7 #75Effective FG%51.5 #173
35.9 #623-point %35.2 #103
34.7 #2823-point attempt rate44.0 #89
36.1 #148Free throw rate35.5 #165
Possessions
17.6 #241Turnover rate15.5 #105
31.3 #153Offensive rebound rate32.5 #109
13.5 #181Assists per game11.8 #299
Defense
79.2 #304Points allowed73.0 #132
1.15 #320Points allowed per possession1.07 #136
54.9 #326Opponent effective FG%51.0 #158
35.2 #261Opponent 3-point %33.0 #118
16.3 #200Turnovers forced18.0 #99
69.2 #194Defensive rebound rate70.2 #149
5.9 #249Steals per game7.8 #53
3.4 #161Blocks per game3.9 #93

E Washington

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Idaho68–81
  • Wvs Weber St84–79
  • Lvs Idaho81–85
  • Wvs N Arizona88–57
  • Wvs N Colorado82–72

A week or more of rest.

Stanford

20-13 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs West Virginia77–82
  • Lvs Pitt63–64
  • W@ NC State85–84
  • W@ Notre Dame86–78
  • Wvs SMU95–75

A week or more of rest.