1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 12
  3. RICH @ SIU
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 12

Richmond Spiders at Southern Illinois Salukis

Banterra Center · at S Illinois
#104RICHRichmond
@
#195SIUS Illinois
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RICHThis seasonSIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RICH 75–72 · win probability RICH 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RICH has more of the edges

RICH 4, SIU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SIUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RICH 25.0%, SIU 30.9%. Defensive: RICH 69.0%, SIU 72.7%
RICHBig
Three-pointers
RICH hits 37.1% and allows 32.7%; SIU hits 27.8% and allows 30.4%. Threes are 42.6% and 29.2% of their shots
RICHBig
SIU offense vs RICH defense
Offense 227th of 366 against a defense 105th, on the model’s ratings
RICHSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RICH 14.3%, SIU 17.1%. Forced: RICH 17.8%, SIU 18.5%
RICHSmall
RICH offense vs SIU defense
Offense 113th of 366 against a defense 181st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: RICH plays 68.8 a game (194th fastest), SIU 70.6 (91st). Faster games mean more points
SIUSmall
Home court
SIU at home. This season: SIU 0-0 at home, RICH 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: RICH 36.9, SIU 31.3. Allowed: RICH 35.1, SIU 31.4
Context
Schedule so far
RICH has played the 125th-hardest schedule, SIU the 139th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RICH 29%, SIU 22%. Transfers in: RICH 6, SIU 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: RICH 52.7 and allows 52.0; SIU 49.1 and allows 49.0
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—RICH -3.1—
Total—146.6—
Projected score—RICH 74.8 · SIU 71.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadRICH -2.0—
1H total68.6—
1H projected scoreRICH 35.3 · SIU 33.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Richmond 1, S Illinois 1, even 3
RichmondBetterS Illinois
G D. Saran TR11.3 pts · 5 reb · 3.1 ast Score 52
SIUSmall
G J. Haynes7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.1 ast Score 71
G A. Argabright10.8 pts · 2 reb · 2 ast Score 87
No call
G C. Hawkins1.1 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
G D. Stewart TR6.6 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.6 ast Score 44
RICHSmall
F M. Pikaar1.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast Score 19
F J. Kaiser TR9.5 pts · 4.3 reb · 1 ast Score 60
No call
F D. Hill NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
C A. Dorries TR16.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 62
No call
C J. Webber1.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
RichmondBetterS Illinois
RICH offense113th of 366 · -2.0
RICHSmall
SIU defense181st of 366 · -4.1
RICH defense105th of 366 · -1.0
RICHSmall
SIU offense227th of 366 · -7.0
Backcourt+0.4 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt+0.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt+1.5 · 2 players
RICHSmall
Frontcourt-1.0 · 3 players
Bench-1.0 · 5 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestRICH betterSIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Richmond
Guards
D. Saran30 min · TRA. Argabright24 minD. Stewart23 min · TRC. Tanner18 minW. Harper11 minK. Mooney5 min
Forwards
J. Kaiser29 min · TRA. Ball21 min · TRJ. McCaffery10 min · TRC. CookNewD. CaldwellNew
Centers
A. Dorries33 min · TRD. HomenickNew
S Illinois
Guards
J. Haynes21 minC. Hawkins5 minB. McClureNewJ. FugateNewL. WalshNewJ. JacksonNew
Forwards
M. Pikaar11 minD. HillNewD. PauliukonisNewP. RanieriNewT. LaurNew
Centers
J. Webber7 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RICHSIU
Scoring
76.5 #132Points per game72.7 #229
1.11 #119Points per possession1.03 #285
68.8 #194Pace (possessions)70.6 #91
Shooting
52.7 #115Effective FG%49.1 #286
37.1 #283-point %27.8 #363
42.6 #1263-point attempt rate29.2 #355
36.9 #133Free throw rate31.3 #275
Possessions
14.3 #32Turnover rate17.1 #207
25.0 #340Offensive rebound rate30.9 #167
14.0 #145Assists per game13.3 #188
Defense
74.5 #175Points allowed70.5 #62
1.09 #183Points allowed per possession1.00 #25
52.0 #216Opponent effective FG%49.0 #70
32.7 #103Opponent 3-point %30.4 #17
17.8 #111Turnovers forced18.5 #74
69.0 #200Defensive rebound rate72.7 #44
6.8 #139Steals per game8.0 #38
2.3 #323Blocks per game3.4 #157
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Richmond

14-17 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Loyola Chicago67–75
  • L@ Duquesne77–79
  • Lvs Dayton60–65
  • L@ Loyola Chicago66–69
  • Wvs St Bonaventure99–94

A week or more of rest.

S Illinois

15-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drake63–67
  • W@ Evansville81–67
  • Wvs Indiana St66–55
  • W@ Northern Iowa59–57
  • W@ Drake66–61

A week or more of rest.