KeyBank Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
MICH -30.5✓ HOW covered by 9.5
MICH -30.5✓ HOW covered by 9.5Closing total151.5Over by 29.5
 HOW | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 20-10 | Record | 31-3 |
| 21-9 | ATS | 15-19 |
| 14-16 | O/U | 13-21 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOW 62–93 MICH · ✓ MICH (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOW | 46 | 34 | 80 |
| MICH | 50 | 51 | 101 |
1st half: HOW 46, MICH 50 (MICH by 4). The model had MICH by 18.2 and a total of 72.3 (actual 96).
Team stats
| HOW | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-63 43% | Field goals | 37-55 67% |
| 14-29 48% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 23 7 off | Rebounds | 35 4 off |
| 14 | Assists | 27 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 8 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| HOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harris G | 39 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 7-19 | 3-7 |
| Cam Gillus G | 39 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 6-9 | 5-6 |
| Ose Okojie G | 35 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Cedric Taylor III G | 34 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 7-12 | 4-7 |
| Alex Cotton G | 28 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Travelle Bryson G | 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Ed Holland III G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Danas Kazakevicius C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Calvin Robins Jr. F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Johnson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| BJ Powell G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Julian Johnson, River Smith, Shane Frazier, Stefan Isailovic
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 27 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 26 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 26 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 26 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 8-8 | 1-1 |
| Aday Mara C | 21 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 25 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 23 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 6-7 | 2-3 |
| Will Tschetter F | 20 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Oscar Goodman F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Charlie May G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Howard Eisley Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Malick Kordel C | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ricky Liburd, Winters Grady, L.J. Cason, Harrison Hochberg
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMICH -30.5
ModelMICH -30.8
Model edgeMICH +0.3
L HOW covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
W Over
Projected score
HOW 62 · MICH 92.7
HOW 80 · MICH 101
Win probability
MICH 100%
1st half
Spread
MICH -18.2
MICH -4.0
Total
72.3
96 points
Projected score
HOW 27.1 · MICH 45.2
HOW 46 · MICH 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -30.5
no move
CloseMICH -30.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▲ 3
Close151.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
HOW +3500 · MICH -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -30.5 · unchangedmodel MICH -31
model MICH -31
Opened 148.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOW | 9-1 90% | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% |
| MICH | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Howard
30 games played
Straight up
20-10
67% wins
Against the spread
21-9
70% covers · avg +4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MIZ | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 9 | vs GRAM | L 70-73 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | vs ALCN | W 72-64 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ STET | L 60-64 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs NIA | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | @ DUKE | L 56-93 | +43.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ MSM | L 75-79 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCAT | W 73-69 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs HAMP | W 61-57 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 16 | @ DREX | W 74-66 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCW | W 67-66 | +15.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | @ NU | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | @ SCST | L 57-58 | -8.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | @ UMES | L 57-69 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | vs DSU | W 84-58 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 129.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 17 | @ NCCU | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 24 | vs MORG | L 77-78 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs NORF | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 2 | @ COPP | W 72-53 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsSCST | W 85-57 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 9 | vs YALE | L 81-87 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 14 | vsUMES | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | @DSU | W 91-59 | -11.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 21 | vsNCCU | W 100-67 | -12.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @MORG | W 84-59 | -8.5 | W +16.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 2 | vsCOPP | W 90-70 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 5 | @NORF | W 84-76 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 13 | vsSCST | W 78-61 | -15.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 14 | vsNCCU | W 70-63 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 17 | vs UMBC | W 86-83 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−0.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−7.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
+1.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−5.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+5.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
+6.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
−1.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
+6.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
+6.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+14.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
+16.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−0.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−9.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−14.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+17.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+11.5
24
vsMORG
MORGL 77-78
−15.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 88-60
+20.5
2
@COPP
COPPW 72-53
+4.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-57
+13.5
9
vsYALE
YALEL 81-87
+0.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 79-53
+15.5
16
@DSU
DSUW 91-59
+20.5
21
vsNCCU
NCCUW 100-67
+20.5
28
@MORG
MORGW 84-59
+16.5
2
vsCOPP
COPPW 90-70
+0.5
5
@NORF
NORFW 84-76
+1.5
13
vsSCST
SCSTW 78-61
+1.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 70-63
−4.5
17
vsUMBC
UMBCW 86-83
+1.5
covered 21didn’t cover 9avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−3.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−9.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
−18.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−25.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+11.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
−5.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
+7.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
−7.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
−24.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+1.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
−8.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−8.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−29.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−4.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+12.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+10.5
24
vsMORG
MORGL 77-78
+6.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 88-60
+1.5
2
@COPP
COPPW 72-53
−21.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-57
+0.5
9
vsYALE
YALEL 81-87
+20.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 79-53
−0.5
16
@DSU
DSUW 91-59
+18.5
21
vsNCCU
NCCUW 100-67
+23.5
28
@MORG
MORGW 84-59
−15.5
2
vsCOPP
COPPW 90-70
+19.5
5
@NORF
NORFW 84-76
+10.5
13
vsSCST
SCSTW 78-61
−6.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 70-63
−9.5
17
vsUMBC
UMBCW 86-83
+25.5
over 14under 16avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
34 games played
Straight up
31-3
91% wins
Against the spread
15-19
44% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-21
38% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Against the spread
15-1944%
5 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @ WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs IU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vs OSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vs NEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @ MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @OSU | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @NU | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vs UCLA | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @ PUR | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 21 | vsDUKE | L 63-68 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | vs MINN | W 77-67 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @ ILL | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Mar 5 | @ IOWA | W 71-68 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 8 | vsMSU | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 13 | vsOSU | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 14 | vsWIS | W 68-65 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 15 | vsPUR | L 72-80 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
+12.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
−3.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
+14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+8.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−8.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−12.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
+12.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−6.5
8
vsMSU
MSUW 90-80
−0.5
13
vsOSU
OSUW 71-67
−8.5
14
vsWIS
WISW 68-65
−9.5
15
vsPUR
PURL 72-80
−12.5
covered 15didn’t cover 19avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
−18.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
+8.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
−14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+14.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−20.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−1.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
−5.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−7.5
8
vsMSU
MSUW 90-80
+17.5
13
vsOSU
OSUW 71-67
−17.5
14
vsWIS
WISW 68-65
−28.5
15
vsPUR
PURL 72-80
+2.5
over 13under 21avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Howard
20-10 overall · 13-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMBC86–83
- Wvs NC Central70–63
- Wvs SC State78–61
- W@ Norfolk St84–76
- Wvs Coppin St90–70
2 days since their last game.
Michigan
31-3 overall · 21-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue72–80
- Wvs Wisconsin68–65
- Wvs Ohio State71–67
- Wvs Michigan St90–80
- W@ Iowa71–68
4 days since their last game.