Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
ALA -12.5✓ MISS covered by 13.5
ALA -12.5✓ MISS covered by 13.5Closing total166.5Under by 7.5
 MISS | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 14-19 | Record | 23-8 |
| 13-20 | ATS | 14-17 |
| 19-14 | O/U | 18-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 79–90 ALA · ✗ ALA (83%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 47 | 33 | 80 |
| ALA | 41 | 38 | 79 |
1st half: MISS 47, ALA 41 (MISS by 6). The model had ALA by 6.3 and a total of 78.5 (actual 88).
Team stats
| MISS | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-67 46% | Field goals | 26-64 41% |
| 8-19 42% | 3-pointers | 9-29 31% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 42 9 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Perry G | 33 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 30 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 29 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 7-15 | 2-5 |
| Malik Dia F | 27 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-4 |
| James Scott F | 26 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 26 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 7-14 | 0-1 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Koren Johnson, Zach Day, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Tylis Jordan
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 34 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 9-16 | 5-7 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 30 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Aden Holloway G | 26 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-3 |
| Amari Allen G | 25 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Houston Mallette G | 25 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| London Jemison F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Noah Williamson C | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collins Onyejiaka, Klark James, Keitenn Bristow, Jacob Martin, Jack Fagan, Preston Murphy Jr., Davion Hannah, Charles Bediako
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALA -12.5
ModelALA -10.7
Model edgeMISS +1.8
W MISS covered
Total
Market166.5
Model168.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
MISS 78.7 · ALA 89.5
MISS 80 · ALA 79
Win probability
ALA 83%
1st half
Spread
ALA -6.3
MISS -6.0
Total
78.5
88 points
Projected score
MISS 36.1 · ALA 42.4
MISS 47 · ALA 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -10.5
2 → ALA
CloseALA -12.5
2 pts toward ALA
Total
Open163.5
▲ 3
Close166.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MISS +500 · ALA -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -10.5 · closed ALA -12.5 · moved 2 toward ALAmodel ALA -10.5
model ALA -10.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 3 upmodel 168
model 168
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| ALA | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MISS 1–4 ALAALA leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MISS 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | ALA 93 @ MISS 74 | MISS +6.5 | ALA W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | MISS 74 @ ALA 64 | ALA -11.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | ALA 103 @ MISS 88 | MISS +5.5 | ALA W |
| Jan 3, 2022-23 | MISS 62 @ ALA 84 | ALA -10.5 | ALA W |
| Feb 9, 2021-22 | ALA 97 @ MISS 83 | MISS +5.5 | ALA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
33 games played
Straight up
14-19
42% wins
Against the spread
13-20
39% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-14
58% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs MIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vs AUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ TEX | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vsALA | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsMSST | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @ TA&M | L 77-80 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | vs FLA | L 75-94 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | vs LSU | L 99-106 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
| Feb 28 | @AUB | W 85-79 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | vsVAN | L 86-89 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 7 | vs SC | L 61-64 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 11 | vsTEX | W 76-66 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 142 |
| Mar 12 | vsUGA | W 76-72 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
−1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
−12.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
−15.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
+6.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
−5.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
−9.5
28
@AUB
AUBW 85-79
+16.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 86-89
+4.5
7
vsSC
SCL 61-64
−10.5
11
vsTEX
TEXW 76-66
+15.5
12
vsUGA
UGAW 76-72
+9.5
covered 13didn’t cover 20avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
+1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
+2.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
+21.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
−0.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
+16.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
+57.5
28
@AUB
AUBW 85-79
+10.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 86-89
+19.5
7
vsSC
SCL 61-64
−22.5
11
vsTEX
TEXW 76-66
−5.5
12
vsUGA
UGAW 76-72
−8.5
over 19under 14avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
31 games played
Straight up
23-8
74% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vsUK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | @VAN | L 90-96 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vsTEX | L 88-92 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 13 | @MSST | W 97-82 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | @OU | W 83-81 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 24 | vsTENN | L 73-79 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 27 | vsMIZ | W 90-64 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 1 | @FLA | L 77-100 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 176.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 4 | vsTA&M | W 100-97 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | @AUB | W 96-92 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 11 | @MISS | W 93-74 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsSC | W 89-75 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 170.5 | U 164 |
| Feb 18 | vsARK | W 117-115 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | @LSU | W 90-83 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 172.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 25 | vsMSST | W 100-75 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 176.5 | U 175 |
| Feb 28 | @TENN | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 3 | @UGA | L 88-98 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 179.5 | O 186 |
| Mar 7 | vsAUB | W 96-84 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 175.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
−2.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
−15.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+10.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−3.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−10.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
+15.5
1
@FLA
FLAL 77-100
−13.5
4
vsTA&M
TA&MW 100-97
−5.5
7
@AUB
AUBW 96-92
+6.5
11
@MISS
MISSW 93-74
+12.5
14
vsSC
SCW 89-75
−3.5
18
vsARK
ARKW 117-115
−1.5
21
@LSU
LSUW 90-83
−0.5
25
vsMSST
MSSTW 100-75
+12.5
28
@TENN
TENNW 71-69
+7.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 88-98
−11.5
7
vsAUB
AUBW 96-84
+6.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
+9.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
+2.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+7.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−13.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−15.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
−13.5
1
@FLA
FLAL 77-100
+0.5
4
vsTA&M
TA&MW 100-97
+16.5
7
@AUB
AUBW 96-92
+12.5
11
@MISS
MISSW 93-74
+2.5
14
vsSC
SCW 89-75
−6.5
18
vsARK
ARKW 117-115
+50.5
21
@LSU
LSUW 90-83
+0.5
25
vsMSST
MSSTW 100-75
−1.5
28
@TENN
TENNW 71-69
−22.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 88-98
+6.5
7
vsAUB
AUBW 96-84
+4.5
over 18under 13avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
14-19 overall · 6-14 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia76–72
- Wvs Texas76–66
- Lvs South Carolina61–64
- Lvs Vanderbilt86–89
- W@ Auburn85–79
1 day since their last game.
Alabama
23-8 overall · 13-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Auburn96–84
- L@ Georgia88–98
- W@ Tennessee71–69
- Wvs Mississippi St100–75
- W@ LSU90–83
6 days since their last game.