United Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
MICH -12.5✓ OSU covered by 8.5
MICH -12.5✓ OSU covered by 8.5Closing total155.5Under by 17.5
 OSU | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 21-11 | Record | 29-2 |
| 17-15 | ATS | 15-16 |
| 16-16 | O/U | 12-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OSU 75–87 MICH · ✓ MICH (85%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 35 | 32 | 67 |
| MICH | 39 | 32 | 71 |
1st half: OSU 35, MICH 39 (MICH by 4). The model had MICH by 7.0 and a total of 75.4 (actual 74).
Team stats
| OSU | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 34 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 39 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 6-14 | 2-5 |
| Devin Royal F | 36 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-4 |
| Amare Bynum F | 34 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 26 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-14 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gabe Cupps G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Brandon Noel F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Puff Johnson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Herro, Mathieu Grujicic, Braylen Nash, Colin White, Josh Ojianwuna, Taison Chatman
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Cadeau G | 37 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 35 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 28 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-1 |
| Aday Mara C | 28 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 27 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Will Tschetter F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel, Howard Eisley Jr., L.J. Cason, Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMICH -12.5
ModelMICH -12.0
Model edgeOSU +0.5
W OSU covered
Total
Market155.5
Model161.4
Model edgeOver 5.9
L Under
Projected score
OSU 74.7 · MICH 86.7
OSU 67 · MICH 71
Win probability
MICH 85%
1st half
Spread
MICH -7.0
MICH -4.0
Total
75.4
74 points
Projected score
OSU 34.2 · MICH 41.2
OSU 35 · MICH 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -13.5
1 → OSU
CloseMICH -12.5
1 pt toward OSU
Total
Open153.5
▲ 2
Close155.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
OSU +650 · MICH -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -13.5 · closed MICH -12.5 · moved 1 toward OSUmodel MICH -12
model MICH -12
Opened 153.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 2 upmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
OSU 2–6 MICHMICH leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MICH has won the last 3 meetings · OSU 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025-26 | MICH 82 @ OSU 61 | OSU +8.5 | MICH W |
| Jan 23, 2025-26 | OSU 62 @ MICH 74 | MICH -16.5 | OSU W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | MICH 86 @ OSU 83 | OSU -1.5 | MICH W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | MICH 61 @ OSU 84 | OSU -12.5 | OSU W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | OSU 65 @ MICH 73 | MICH -1.5 | MICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio State
32 games played
Straight up
21-11
66% wins
Against the spread
17-15
53% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-16
50% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vs ILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @ RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs NEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ ORE | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ WASH | L 74-81 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCLA | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs MINN | W 82-74 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 23 | @MICH | L 62-74 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 26 | vs PSU | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | @ WIS | L 82-92 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 5 | @ MD | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | vsMICH | L 61-82 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | vs USC | W 89-82 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | vs UVA | L 66-70 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 17 | vsWIS | W 86-69 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | @ MSU | L 60-66 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 25 | @ IOWA | L 57-74 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 1 | vs PUR | W 82-74 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 4 | @PSU | W 94-62 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 7 | vs IU | W 91-78 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 12 | vsIOWA | W 72-69 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
+11.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−5.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+7.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+0.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
+4.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
−5.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
−5.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
+13.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−12.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
−0.5
14
vsUVA
UVAL 66-70
+1.5
17
vsWIS
WISW 86-69
+15.5
22
@MSU
MSUL 60-66
+4.5
25
@IOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−10.5
1
vsPUR
PURW 82-74
+14.5
4
@PSU
PSUW 94-62
+24.5
7
vsIU
IUW 91-78
+9.5
12
vsIOWA
IOWAW 72-69
+4.5
covered 17didn’t cover 15avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
−18.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−0.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+13.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+12.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
−29.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
+8.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
+18.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
−6.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−18.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
+18.5
14
vsUVA
UVAL 66-70
−10.5
17
vsWIS
WISW 86-69
−2.5
22
@MSU
MSUL 60-66
−20.5
25
@IOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−10.5
1
vsPUR
PURW 82-74
+6.5
4
@PSU
PSUW 94-62
+3.5
7
vsIU
IUW 91-78
+20.5
12
vsIOWA
IOWAW 72-69
+0.5
over 16under 16avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
31 games played
Straight up
29-2
94% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-19
39% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsRUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vsUSC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsWIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsIU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vsOSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vsNEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @OSU | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @NU | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCLA | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @PUR | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 21 | vs DUKE | L 63-68 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | vsMINN | W 77-67 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @ILL | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Mar 5 | @IOWA | W 71-68 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 8 | vsMSU | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
+12.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
−3.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
+14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+8.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−8.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−12.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
+12.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−6.5
8
vsMSU
MSUW 90-80
−0.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
−18.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
+8.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
−14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+14.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−20.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−1.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
−5.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−7.5
8
vsMSU
MSUW 90-80
+17.5
over 12under 19avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio State
21-11 overall · 13-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Iowa72–69
- Wvs Indiana91–78
- W@ Penn State94–62
- Wvs Purdue82–74
- L@ Iowa57–74
1 day since their last game.
Michigan
29-2 overall · 19-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Michigan St90–80
- W@ Iowa71–68
- W@ Illinois84–70
- Wvs Minnesota77–67
- Lvs Duke63–68
5 days since their last game.