United Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
ORE -4.5✓ MD covered by 14.5
Closing total139.5Under by 9.5
| This season | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-20 | Record | 12-19 |
| 14-17 | ATS | 12-19 |
| 17-14 | O/U | 14-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 70–73 ORE · ✗ ORE (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 33 | 37 | 70 |
| ORE | 12 | 48 | 60 |
1st half: MD 33, ORE 12 (MD by 21). The model had ORE by 1.6 and a total of 66.7 (actual 45).
Team stats
| MD | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 19-52 37% |
| 9-30 30% | 3-pointers | 4-21 19% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 18-21 86% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Saunders F | 39 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Solomon Washington F | 37 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| David Coit G | 32 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 7-17 | 3-12 |
| Andre Mills G | 29 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 3-13 | 1-5 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darius Adams G | 26 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1-10 | 0-5 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 13 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaziah Harper, Nick Blake, Aleks Alston, Rakease Passmore, Pharrel Payne, Lukas Sotell, Myles Rice
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bittle C | 38 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 7-15 | 1-4 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 34 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 28 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Sean Stewart F | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Drew Carter G | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamari Phillips G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Dez Lindsay F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Wei Lin G | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Miles Stewart, Ege Demir, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Devon Pryor, Luke Johnson, Jackson Shelstad
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketORE -4.5
ModelORE -3.0
Model edgeMD +1.5
W MD covered
Total
Market139.5
Model142.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
L Under
Projected score
MD 69.8 · ORE 72.7
MD 70 · ORE 60
Win probability
ORE 60%
1st half
Spread
ORE -1.6
MD -21.0
Total
66.7
45 points
Projected score
MD 32.5 · ORE 34.2
MD 33 · ORE 12
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORE -2.5
2 → ORE
CloseORE -4.5
2 pts toward ORE
Total
Open140.5
▼ 1
Close139.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MD +150 · ORE -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -2.5 · closed ORE -4.5 · moved 2 toward OREmodel ORE -3
model ORE -3
Opened 140.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 downmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | |
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MD 0–2 OREORE leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · ORE has won the last 2 meetings · MD 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025-26 | ORE 64 @ MD 54 | MD +1.5 | ORE W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | MD 79 @ ORE 83 | ORE -4.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
31 games played
Straight up
11-20
35% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-14
55% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vs | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 70-89 | +18.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 48-91 | +18.5 | L −24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 63-93 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | vs | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | @ | W 67-62 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 77-70 | +10.5 | W +17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 15 | @ | L 57-68 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 74-78 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 64-60 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 61-74 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 1 | vs | L 65-69 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 4 | @ | L 45-78 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 8 | vs | L 72-78 | +14.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
COPP
W 83-61
−6.5
7
vs
GTWN
L 60-70
−14.5
11
vs
ALCN
W 84-64
−9.5
15
@
MARQ
W 89-82
+15.5
19
vs
MSM
W 95-90
−12.5
24
vs
UNLV
W 74-67
+4.5
25
vs
GONZ
L 61-100
−24.5
26
vs
ALA
L 72-105
−18.5
2
vs
WAG
W 89-63
+3.5
6
@
IOWA
L 64-83
−8.5
13
vs
MICH
L 83-101
+1.5
20
@
UVA
L 72-80
+8.5
28
vs
ODU
W 73-58
+0.5
2
vs
ORE
L 54-64
−8.5
7
vs
IU
L 66-84
−10.5
10
@
UCLA
L 55-67
+1.5
13
@
USC
L 71-88
−7.5
18
vs
PSU
W 96-73
+21.5
21
@
ILL
L 70-89
−0.5
24
@
MSU
L 48-91
−24.5
1
vs
PUR
L 63-93
−14.5
5
vs
OSU
L 62-82
−13.5
8
@
MINN
W 67-62
+15.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 77-70
+17.5
15
@
RUTG
L 57-68
−8.5
18
@
NU
L 74-78
+3.5
21
vs
WASH
W 64-60
+8.5
25
@
NEB
L 61-74
+3.5
1
vs
RUTG
L 65-69
−8.5
4
@
WIS
L 45-78
−18.5
8
vs
ILL
L 72-78
+8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
COPP
W 83-61
+4.5
7
vs
GTWN
L 60-70
−14.5
11
vs
ALCN
W 84-64
+1.5
15
@
MARQ
W 89-82
+24.5
19
vs
MSM
W 95-90
+39.5
24
vs
UNLV
W 74-67
−23.5
25
vs
GONZ
L 61-100
+3.5
26
vs
ALA
L 72-105
+10.5
2
vs
WAG
W 89-63
+8.5
6
@
IOWA
L 64-83
+9.5
13
vs
MICH
L 83-101
+20.5
20
@
UVA
L 72-80
−1.5
28
vs
ODU
W 73-58
−23.5
2
vs
ORE
L 54-64
−28.5
7
vs
IU
L 66-84
+2.5
10
@
UCLA
L 55-67
−25.5
13
@
USC
L 71-88
+8.5
18
vs
PSU
W 96-73
+20.5
21
@
ILL
L 70-89
+6.5
24
@
MSU
L 48-91
−2.5
1
vs
PUR
L 63-93
+7.5
5
vs
OSU
L 62-82
−6.5
8
@
MINN
W 67-62
−9.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 77-70
+8.5
15
@
RUTG
L 57-68
−19.5
18
@
NU
L 74-78
+9.5
21
vs
WASH
W 64-60
−19.5
25
@
NEB
L 61-74
−7.5
1
vs
RUTG
L 65-69
−9.5
4
@
WIS
L 45-78
−30.5
8
vs
ILL
L 72-78
+4.5
over 17under 14avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
31 games played
Straight up
12-19
39% wins
Against the spread
12-19
39% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @ | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 71-81 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs | L 52-68 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | @ | L 57-72 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 57-73 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 66-84 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 64-68 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 9 | @ | L 74-92 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 17 | vs | L 44-61 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 136.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 21 | @ | W 71-70 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 85-71 | +5.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 62-63 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 3 | @ | L 54-80 | +17.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 85-79 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
HAW
W 60-59
−10.5
7
vs
RICE
W 67-63
−11.5
12
vs
SDST
W 83-69
−2.5
17
vs
ORST
W 87-75
−1.5
24
vs
AUB
L 73-84
−6.5
25
vs
SDSU
L 80-97
−19.5
27
vs
CREI
L 66-76
−7.5
2
vs
USC
L 77-82
−2.5
6
@
UCLA
L 63-74
−2.5
13
vs
UCD
W 104-62
+28.5
17
vs
PORT
W 94-69
+5.5
21
vs
GONZ
L 82-91
+3.5
28
vs
OMA
W 80-57
+1.5
2
@
MD
W 64-54
+8.5
5
@
RUTG
L 85-88
−7.5
8
vs
OSU
L 62-72
−11.5
13
@
NEB
L 55-90
−24.5
17
vs
MICH
L 71-81
+8.5
20
vs
MSU
L 52-68
−5.5
25
@
WASH
L 57-72
−7.5
28
vs
UCLA
L 57-73
−11.5
1
vs
IOWA
L 66-84
−8.5
7
@
PUR
L 64-68
+15.5
9
@
IU
L 74-92
−7.5
14
vs
PSU
W 83-72
+4.5
17
vs
MINN
L 44-61
−20.5
21
@
USC
W 71-70
+6.5
25
vs
WIS
W 85-71
+19.5
28
@
NU
L 62-63
+2.5
3
@
ILL
L 54-80
−8.5
7
vs
WASH
W 85-79
+7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 19avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
HAW
W 60-59
−25.5
7
vs
RICE
W 67-63
−15.5
12
vs
SDST
W 83-69
+6.5
17
vs
ORST
W 87-75
+20.5
24
vs
AUB
L 73-84
+1.5
25
vs
SDSU
L 80-97
+35.5
27
vs
CREI
L 66-76
−8.5
2
vs
USC
L 77-82
+4.5
6
@
UCLA
L 63-74
−9.5
13
vs
UCD
W 104-62
+19.5
17
vs
PORT
W 94-69
+8.5
21
vs
GONZ
L 82-91
+17.5
28
vs
OMA
W 80-57
−14.5
2
@
MD
W 64-54
−28.5
5
@
RUTG
L 85-88
+33.5
8
vs
OSU
L 62-72
−18.5
13
@
NEB
L 55-90
−1.5
17
vs
MICH
L 71-81
−5.5
20
vs
MSU
L 52-68
−19.5
25
@
WASH
L 57-72
−14.5
28
vs
UCLA
L 57-73
−6.5
1
vs
IOWA
L 66-84
+16.5
7
@
PUR
L 64-68
−12.5
9
@
IU
L 74-92
+22.5
14
vs
PSU
W 83-72
+9.5
17
vs
MINN
L 44-61
−31.5
21
@
USC
W 71-70
−8.5
25
vs
WIS
W 85-71
+3.5
28
@
NU
L 62-63
−16.5
3
@
ILL
L 54-80
−13.5
7
vs
WASH
W 85-79
+18.5
over 14under 17avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
11-20 overall · 4-16 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Illinois72–78
- L@ Wisconsin45–78
- Lvs Rutgers65–69
- L@ Nebraska61–74
- Wvs Washington64–60
2 days since their last game.
Oregon
12-19 overall · 5-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington85–79
- L@ Illinois54–80
- L@ Northwestern62–63
- Wvs Wisconsin85–71
- W@ USC71–70
3 days since their last game.