United Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
#50MDMaryland70▲ winner
Final
#57OREOregon60final
Closing lineORE -4.5✓ MD covered by 14.5
Closing total139.5Under by 9.5
Season records: Maryland and Oregon
MDThis seasonORE
11-20Record12-19
14-17ATS12-19
17-14O/U14-17

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: MD 70–73 ORE · ✗ ORE (60%) lost
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
MD333770
ORE124860

1st half: MD 33, ORE 12 (MD by 21). The model had ORE by 1.6 and a total of 66.7 (actual 45).

Team stats

MDORE
23-57 40%Field goals19-52 37%
9-30 30%3-pointers4-21 19%
15-18 83%Free throws18-21 86%
38 13 offRebounds28 7 off
13Assists13
4Steals7
5Blocks3
10Turnovers8
14Fouls16
24Points in paint30
8Fast-break points8

Players

MDMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Elijah Saunders F3915505-65-6
Solomon Washington F3712616-90-1
David Coit G3217437-173-12
Andre Mills G2912653-131-5
Collin Metcalf C192411-10-0
Bench
Darius Adams G2610331-100-5
George Turkson Jr. G132600-00-0
Isaiah Watts G40100-10-1
Guillermo Del Pino G10000-00-0

Did not play: Jaziah Harper, Nick Blake, Aleks Alston, Rakease Passmore, Pharrel Payne, Lukas Sotell, Myles Rice

OREMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Nate Bittle C3816627-151-4
Kwame Evans Jr. F3414914-111-4
Takai Simpkins G2810152-70-2
Sean Stewart F254212-30-0
Drew Carter G210010-30-2
Bench
Jamari Phillips G173201-41-3
Dez Lindsay F176211-40-3
Wei Lin G115121-21-2
Oleksandr Kobzystyi F92201-30-1

Did not play: Miles Stewart, Ege Demir, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Devon Pryor, Luke Johnson, Jackson Shelstad

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Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketORE -4.5
ModelORE -3.0
Model edgeMD +1.5
W MD covered
Total
Market139.5
Model142.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
L Under
Projected score
MD 69.8 · ORE 72.7
MD 70 · ORE 60
Win probability
ORE 60%
1st half
Spread
ORE -1.6
MD -21.0
Total
66.7
45 points
Projected score
MD 32.5 · ORE 34.2
MD 33 · ORE 12

Market

Open → close
Spread
2 pts toward ORE
Total
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MD +150 · ORE -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -2.5 · closed ORE -4.5 · moved 2 toward OREmodel ORE -3
Opened 140.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 downmodel 142.5
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Maryland

11-20 overall · 4-16 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois72–78
  • L@ Wisconsin45–78
  • Lvs Rutgers65–69
  • L@ Nebraska61–74
  • Wvs Washington64–60

2 days since their last game.

Oregon

12-19 overall · 5-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Washington85–79
  • L@ Illinois54–80
  • L@ Northwestern62–63
  • Wvs Wisconsin85–71
  • W@ USC71–70

3 days since their last game.