FedExForum · at Memphis · Conference game
Closing line
USF -7.5✓ MEM covered by 0.5
USF -7.5✓ MEM covered by 0.5Closing total163.5Over by 21.5
| USF | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 20-8 | Record | 12-17 |
| 15-13 | ATS | 13-16 |
| 13-15 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USF 83–78 MEM · ✓ USF (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 51 | 45 | 96 |
| MEM | 46 | 43 | 89 |
1st half: USF 51, MEM 46 (USF by 5). The model had USF by 3.2 and a total of 75.2 (actual 97).
Team stats
| USF | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-66 48% | Field goals | 33-70 47% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 24-33 73% | Free throws | 19-24 79% |
| 40 14 off | Rebounds | 36 14 off |
| 17 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 25 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis G | 40 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 9-17 | 2-9 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 35 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 7-9 | 3-4 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 24 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 0-9 | 0-6 |
| CJ Brown G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 18 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Jones F | 28 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Gavin Hightower G | 22 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Daimion Collins F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Tristan Beckford G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devin Haid G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Onyx Nnani, Xavier Brown, De'Ante Green, Caleb Sanders, Adriel Nyorha
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 38 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 11-20 | 3-8 |
| Zach Davis G | 31 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 8-10 | 0-1 |
| Aaron Bradshaw F | 28 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-0 |
| Julius Thedford G | 26 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Quante Berry G | 15 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sincere Parker G | 25 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Curtis Givens III G | 20 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Thierno Sylla C | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tariq Ingraham F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hasan Abdul Hakim, William Whorton, Mason Matthews, Arop Arop, Ashton Hardaway, Simon Majok
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSF -7.5
ModelUSF -5.2
Model edgeMEM +2.3
W MEM covered
Total
Market163.5
Model161.0
Model edgeUnder 2.5
L Over
Projected score
USF 83.1 · MEM 77.9
USF 96 · MEM 89
Win probability
USF 67%
1st half
Spread
USF -3.2
USF -5.0
Total
75.2
97 points
Projected score
USF 39.2 · MEM 36
USF 51 · MEM 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -6.5
1 → USF
CloseUSF -7.5
1 pt toward USF
Total
Open159.5
▲ 4
Close163.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
USF -325 · MEM +260
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -6.5 · closed USF -7.5 · moved 1 toward USFmodel USF -5
model USF -5
Opened 159.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 4 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| MEM | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
USF 2–5 MEMMEM leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · USF 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025-26 | MEM 66 @ USF 87 | USF -9.5 | USF W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | USF 68 @ MEM 84 | MEM -12.5 | MEM W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | MEM 80 @ USF 65 | USF +6.5 | MEM W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | USF 74 @ MEM 73 | MEM -9.5 | USF W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | MEM 99 @ USF 81 | USF +6.5 | MEM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Florida
28 games played
Straight up
20-8
71% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vs USU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vs COFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 17 | @ ALA | L 93-104 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs UMBC | W 94-69 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vs UAB | L 106-109 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNT | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ TLSA | W 93-78 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs ECU | W 82-71 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vs WICH | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 22 | @UAB | W 82-69 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 25 | vs FAU | W 89-75 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 28 | @ TULN | W 97-83 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 31 | @ TEM | L 78-79 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 4 | vs UTSA | W 109-88 | -23.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 8 | vsTLSA | W 80-74 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 170.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | @WICH | W 66-58 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 15 | @FAU | W 83-81 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 164 |
| Feb 19 | vsMEM | W 87-66 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 25 | @ RICE | W 75-56 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 1 | vsTULN | W 90-62 | -15.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+3.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
−11.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−0.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+16.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−7.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
−8.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
+10.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
+8.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+5.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
−10.5
4
vsUTSA
UTSAW 109-88
−2.5
8
vsTLSA
TLSAW 80-74
+1.5
11
@WICH
WICHW 66-58
+5.5
15
@FAU
FAUW 83-81
−2.5
19
vsMEM
MEMW 87-66
+11.5
25
@RICE
RICEW 75-56
+7.5
1
vsTULN
TULNW 90-62
+12.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+18.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
+51.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−3.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+7.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−5.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
+12.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
−17.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
−2.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+21.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
+2.5
4
vsUTSA
UTSAW 109-88
+32.5
8
vsTLSA
TLSAW 80-74
−16.5
11
@WICH
WICHW 66-58
−36.5
15
@FAU
FAUW 83-81
−1.5
19
vsMEM
MEMW 87-66
−10.5
25
@RICE
RICEW 75-56
−26.5
1
vsTULN
TULNW 90-62
−3.5
over 13under 15avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Memphis
29 games played
Straight up
12-17
41% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SF | W 76-70 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | @ MISS | L 77-83 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs UNLV | L 78-92 | -9.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PUR | L 71-80 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs SIU | W 74-58 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | vs NOLA | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs BAY | W 78-71 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ LOU | L 73-99 | +16.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs VAN | L 70-77 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @ MSST | L 66-71 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | vs ALST | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 31 | vsUNT | W 57-48 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
| Jan 3 | @RICE | W 76-70 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 11 | @FAU | L 78-89 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vsTEM | W 55-53 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 18 | vsUTSA | W 95-69 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @TLSA | L 66-83 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 24 | @WICH | L 59-74 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vsFAU | W 92-65 | -3.5 | W +23.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 1 | vsTULN | L 76-78 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | @UAB | W 90-80 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 8 | vs CLT | W 77-54 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 12 | @UNT | L 69-76 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 14 | @USU | L 75-99 | +13.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 19 | @USF | L 66-87 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 22 | vsUAB | L 67-78 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 26 | vsWICH | L 82-88 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 1 | @ECU | L 68-84 | -4.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
+3.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+3.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
−23.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
+5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+1.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
+5.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+1.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
+10.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
−9.5
17
vsVAN
VANL 70-77
+2.5
20
@MSST
MSSTL 66-71
−1.5
22
vsALST
ALSTW 88-67
+0.5
31
vsUNT
UNTW 57-48
−0.5
3
@RICE
RICEW 76-70
−1.5
11
@FAU
FAUL 78-89
−9.5
14
vsTEM
TEMW 55-53
−5.5
18
vsUTSA
UTSAW 95-69
+5.5
21
@TLSA
TLSAL 66-83
−10.5
24
@WICH
WICHL 59-74
−11.5
29
vsFAU
FAUW 92-65
+23.5
1
vsTULN
TULNL 76-78
−10.5
5
@UAB
UABW 90-80
+11.5
8
vsCLT
CLTW 77-54
+12.5
12
@UNT
UNTL 69-76
−9.5
14
@USU
USUL 75-99
−10.5
19
@USF
USFL 66-87
−11.5
22
vsUAB
UABL 67-78
−16.5
26
vsWICH
WICHL 82-88
−7.5
1
@ECU
ECUL 68-84
−20.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
−11.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+7.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
+6.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
−5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−23.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
−24.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+6.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
−9.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
+9.5
17
vsVAN
VANL 70-77
−12.5
20
@MSST
MSSTL 66-71
−16.5
22
vsALST
ALSTW 88-67
+3.5
31
vsUNT
UNTW 57-48
−32.5
3
@RICE
RICEW 76-70
+1.5
11
@FAU
FAUL 78-89
+14.5
14
vsTEM
TEMW 55-53
−35.5
18
vsUTSA
UTSAW 95-69
+16.5
21
@TLSA
TLSAL 66-83
−4.5
24
@WICH
WICHL 59-74
−12.5
29
vsFAU
FAUW 92-65
+4.5
1
vsTULN
TULNL 76-78
+2.5
5
@UAB
UABW 90-80
+14.5
8
vsCLT
CLTW 77-54
−13.5
12
@UNT
UNTL 69-76
+6.5
14
@USU
USUL 75-99
+18.5
19
@USF
USFL 66-87
−10.5
22
vsUAB
UABL 67-78
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHL 82-88
+20.5
1
@ECU
ECUL 68-84
−0.5
over 14under 15avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Florida
20-8 overall · 13-3 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tulane90–62
- W@ Rice75–56
- Wvs Memphis87–66
- W@ FAU83–81
- W@ Wichita St66–58
4 days since their last game.
Memphis
12-17 overall · 7-9 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ East Carolina68–84
- Lvs Wichita St82–88
- Lvs UAB67–78
- L@ South Florida66–87
- L@ Utah State75–99
4 days since their last game.