Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon · Conference game
Closing line
ORE -6.5✓ ORE covered by 4.5
ORE -6.5✓ ORE covered by 4.5Closing total145.5Over by 9.5
 PSU | This season | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| 11-14 | Record | 8-16 |
| 11-14 | ATS | 7-17 |
| 14-11 | O/U | 11-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PSU 72–78 ORE · ✓ ORE (68%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 32 | 40 | 72 |
| ORE | 38 | 45 | 83 |
1st half: PSU 32, ORE 38 (ORE by 6). The model had ORE by 3.0 and a total of 70.3 (actual 70).
Team stats
| PSU | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 24-48 50% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 14-27 52% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 21-25 84% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 18 |
| 9 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reed F | 34 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Kayden Mingo G | 34 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 9-13 | 2-2 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Freddie Dilione V G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Ivan Juric F | 26 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eli Rice G | 22 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Melih Tunca G | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris Lotito, Tibor Mirtic, Reggie Grodin
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takai Simpkins G | 35 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-5 |
| Nate Bittle C | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 33 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Sean Stewart F | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Drew Carter G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dez Lindsay F | 27 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 6-10 | 4-8 |
| Wei Lin G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Efe Vatan, Jackson Shelstad, Ege Demir, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Luke Johnson, Oleksandr Kobzystyi, Miles Stewart, Devon Pryor
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORE -6.5
no move
CloseORE -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PSU +220 · ORE -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -6.5 · unchangedmodel ORE -5.5
model ORE -5.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ORE -6.5 | ORE -5.3 | PSU +1.2 | L ORE covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 150.2 | Over 4.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PSU 72.4 · ORE 77.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ORE -3.0 | ORE -6.0 |
| 1H total | 70.3 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | PSU 33.6 · ORE 36.6 | PSU 32 · ORE 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| ORE | 0-10 0% | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PSU 0–1 OREORE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · PSU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | ORE 82 @ PSU 81 | PSU +2.5 | PSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn State
25 games played
Straight up
11-14
44% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @ IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs ILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs MICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCLA | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 18 | @ MD | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 22 | vs WIS | L 71-98 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | @ OSU | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 29 | @ NU | L 73-94 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | vs MINN | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | @MICH | L 69-110 | +26.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | vs USC | L 75-77 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 11 | @ WASH | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−6.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
−21.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
−21.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+5.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
−13.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+4.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
−14.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
+1.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
+15.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−17.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
+20.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
+11.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+8.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
+18.5
1
vsMINN
MINNW 77-75
+9.5
5
@MICH
MICHL 69-110
+17.5
8
vsUSC
USCL 75-77
−5.5
11
@WASH
WASHW 63-60
−30.5
over 14under 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
24 games played
Straight up
8-16
33% wins
Against the spread
7-17
29% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vsUSC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @ RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vsOSU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ NEB | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsMICH | L 71-81 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsMSU | L 52-68 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | @WASH | L 57-72 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vsUCLA | L 57-73 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | vs IOWA | L 66-84 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @PUR | L 64-68 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 9 | @IU | L 74-92 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−11.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−24.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−5.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−7.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−11.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
−8.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
+15.5
9
@IU
IUL 74-92
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 17avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−18.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−1.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
−5.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−19.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−14.5
28
vsUCLA
UCLAL 57-73
−6.5
1
vsIOWA
IOWAL 66-84
+16.5
7
@PUR
PURL 64-68
−12.5
9
@IU
IUL 74-92
+22.5
over 11under 13avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn State
11-14 overall · 2-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Washington63–60
- Lvs USC75–77
- L@ Michigan69–110
- Wvs Minnesota77–75
- L@ Northwestern73–94
3 days since their last game.
Oregon
8-16 overall · 1-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana74–92
- L@ Purdue64–68
- Lvs Iowa66–84
- Lvs UCLA57–73
- L@ Washington57–72
5 days since their last game.