Neville Arena · at Auburn · NIT
Closing line
AUB -8.5✓ NEV covered by 2.5
AUB -8.5✓ NEV covered by 2.5Closing total151.5Under by 7.5
 NEV | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 24-12 | Record | 19-16 |
| 21-15 | ATS | 14-21 |
| 20-16 | O/U | 20-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEV 72–83 AUB · ✓ AUB (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 26 | 43 | 69 |
| AUB | 38 | 37 | 75 |
1st half: NEV 26, AUB 38 (AUB by 12). The model had AUB by 6.7 and a total of 72.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| NEV | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 30-61 49% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 9-14 64% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 31 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 36 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Elijah Price F | 36 | 22 | 11 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Vaughn Weems G | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 7-14 | 1-3 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 27 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joel Armotrading C | 15 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Peyton White G | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Myles Walker G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Chuck Bailey III G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Rolison G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Amire Robinson G | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Ethan Croley, Christopher Baudreau, Jeriah Coleman
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elyjah Freeman G | 40 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 36 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 5-13 | 2-9 |
| Kevin Overton G | 32 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-6 |
| Filip Jovic C | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 9-12 | 0-0 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 28 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 24 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jeremiah Bowman, Bradley Pearson, KeShawn Murphy, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Simon Walker, Reed Trapp, CJ Williams
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAUB -8.5
ModelAUB -11.5
Model edgeAUB +3.0
L NEV covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
NEV 71.7 · AUB 83.2
NEV 69 · AUB 75
Win probability
AUB 84%
1st half
Spread
AUB -6.7
AUB -12.0
Total
72.4
64 points
Projected score
NEV 32.8 · AUB 39.5
NEV 26 · AUB 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -9.5
1 → NEV
CloseAUB -8.5
1 pt toward NEV
Total
Open154.5
▼ 3
Close151.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NEV +320 · AUB -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -9.5 · closed AUB -8.5 · moved 1 toward NEVmodel AUB -11.5
model AUB -11.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 downmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| AUB | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nevada
36 games played
Straight up
24-12
67% wins
Against the spread
21-15
58% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-16
56% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LT | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs PAC | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIU | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ SCU | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCD | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vs UCSB | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs WASH | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs SF | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs UCSD | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ WSU | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs DUQ | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vs BOIS | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | @ CSU | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ FRES | W 66-65 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | vs SDSU | L 68-73 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs WYO | W 92-83 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @ USU | L 62-71 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ AF | W 81-66 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | vs SJSU | W 87-54 | -16.5 | W +16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNM | L 73-80 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs GCU | W 66-60 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vs UNLV | W 89-76 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @BOIS | L 87-91 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 7 | vsFRES | W 69-59 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 14 | @SDSU | L 57-71 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 17 | @SJSU | L 71-87 | -10.5 | L −26.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 21 | vsUSU | W 80-77 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsUNM | W 67-60 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 28 | @UNLV | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @WYO | L 73-83 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 7 | vsAF | W 74-59 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 11 | vsAF | W 80-45 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 12 | vsGCU | W 84-80 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 13 | vsUSU | L 66-79 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 18 | vs MUR | W 89-75 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 21 | vs LIB | W 73-63 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+21.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
+0.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
+16.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
−2.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+18.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
+14.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−3.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−6.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+5.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
+4.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+16.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+1.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
+2.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+5.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+2.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−1.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−6.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUL 71-87
−26.5
21
vsUSU
USUW 80-77
+8.5
24
vsUNM
UNMW 67-60
+5.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 83-85
−3.5
3
@WYO
WYOL 73-83
−11.5
7
vsAF
AFW 74-59
−9.5
11
vsAF
AFW 80-45
+15.5
12
vsGCU
GCUW 84-80
+7.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 66-79
−6.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 89-75
+5.5
21
vsLIB
LIBW 73-63
+2.5
covered 21didn’t cover 15avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+3.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
−3.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
−3.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
+1.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+5.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
−2.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−15.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−0.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+31.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
−14.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+12.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+3.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+2.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
−17.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+17.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+36.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−21.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−11.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUL 71-87
+16.5
21
vsUSU
USUW 80-77
+10.5
24
vsUNM
UNMW 67-60
−21.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 83-85
+17.5
3
@WYO
WYOL 73-83
+12.5
7
vsAF
AFW 74-59
−11.5
11
vsAF
AFW 80-45
−15.5
12
vsGCU
GCUW 84-80
+26.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 66-79
−0.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 89-75
+4.5
21
vsLIB
LIBW 73-63
−10.5
over 20under 16avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
35 games played
Straight up
19-16
54% wins
Against the spread
14-21
40% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-15
57% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Against the spread
14-2140%
3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs TA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @ MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs SC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ FLA | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vs TEX | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ TENN | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vs ALA | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 10 | vs VAN | L 76-84 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ARK | L 75-88 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ MSST | L 85-91 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vs UK | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @ OU | L 79-91 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vsMISS | L 79-85 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | vs LSU | W 88-74 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 7 | @ALA | L 84-96 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 180 |
| Mar 11 | vsMSST | W 79-61 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 12 | vsTENN | L 62-72 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 17 | vs USA | W 78-67 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 22 | vs SEA | W 91-85 | -14.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
+20.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
−0.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−2.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
−6.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−11.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−5.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
−11.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−2.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
−15.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
−16.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 88-74
+3.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 84-96
−6.5
11
vsMSST
MSSTW 79-61
+9.5
12
vsTENN
TENNL 62-72
−4.5
17
vsUSA
USAW 78-67
−7.5
22
vsSEA
SEAW 91-85
−8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 21avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
−16.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
+15.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
+12.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−1.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−2.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
+20.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−4.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
+12.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 88-74
+6.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 84-96
+4.5
11
vsMSST
MSSTW 79-61
−20.5
12
vsTENN
TENNL 62-72
−10.5
17
vsUSA
USAW 78-67
−6.5
22
vsSEA
SEAW 91-85
+30.5
over 20under 15avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nevada
24-12 overall · 14-9 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Liberty73–63
- Wvs Murray St89–75
- Lvs Utah State66–79
- Wvs Grand Canyon84–80
- Wvs Air Force80–45
4 days since their last game.
Auburn
19-16 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Seattle U91–85
- Wvs South Alabama78–67
- Lvs Tennessee62–72
- Wvs Mississippi St79–61
- L@ Alabama84–96
3 days since their last game.