United Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
WASH -3.5✓ WASH covered by 0.5
WASH -3.5✓ WASH covered by 0.5Closing total154.5Over by 7.5
 USC | This season | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| 17-13 | Record | 15-16 |
| 13-17 | ATS | 18-13 |
| 16-14 | O/U | 13-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USC 77–80 WASH · ✓ WASH (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 40 | 31 | 8 | 79 |
| WASH | 33 | 38 | 12 | 83 |
1st half: USC 40, WASH 33 (USC by 7). The model had WASH by 2.1 and a total of 73.4 (actual 73).
Team stats
| USC | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-69 45% | Field goals | 29-70 41% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 10-18 56% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 42 9 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 22 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 8 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods G | 42 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 10-22 | 1-3 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 39 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Ezra Ausar F | 39 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Alijah Arenas G | 30 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Marsh G | 33 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Brownell F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rodney Rice, Patrick O'Brien, Brit Burden, Amarion Dickerson, Jonah Goorin, EJ Neal Jr., Jerry Easter II
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannes Steinbach F | 43 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-2 |
| Quimari Peterson G | 43 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 43 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 7-20 | 1-4 |
| Wesley Yates III G | 39 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6-15 | 2-6 |
| Lathan Sommerville C | 18 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Courtland Muldrew G | 26 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Nikola Dzepina F | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Jacob Ognacevic, BJ Roy, Christian Nitu, JJ Mandaquit, Franck Kepnang, Bryson Tucker, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Desmond Claude
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWASH -3.5
ModelWASH -3.7
Model edgeWASH +0.2
W WASH covered
Total
Market154.5
Model157.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
USC 76.7 · WASH 80.4
USC 79 · WASH 83
Win probability
WASH 63%
1st half
Spread
WASH -2.1
USC -7.0
Total
73.4
73 points
Projected score
USC 35.7 · WASH 37.7
USC 40 · WASH 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWASH -4.5
1 → USC
CloseWASH -3.5
1 pt toward USC
Total
Open151.5
▲ 3
Close154.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
USC +154 · WASH -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WASH -4.5 · closed WASH -3.5 · moved 1 toward USCmodel WASH -3.5 matches the line
model WASH -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 151.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 3 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
| WASH | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
USC 8–2 WASHUSC leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · WASH has won the last 2 meetings · USC 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025-26 | USC 72 @ WASH 91 | WASH -5.5 | WASH W |
| Dec 6, 2025-26 | WASH 84 @ USC 76 | USC -4.5 | WASH W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | WASH 61 @ USC 92 | USC -6.5 | USC W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | USC 85 @ WASH 61 | WASH -4.5 | USC W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | USC 80 vs WASH 74 | WASH +3.5 | USC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
USC
30 games played
Straight up
17-13
57% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs HALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs ASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vsWASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 14 | vs WSU | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTSA | W 97-70 | -25.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 2 | @ MICH | L 66-96 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 5 | @ MSU | L 51-80 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 9 | @ MINN | W 70-69 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs MD | W 88-71 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vs PUR | L 64-69 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | vs NU | L 68-74 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | @ WIS | W 73-71 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ IOWA | L 72-73 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 31 | vs RUTG | W 78-75 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 3 | vs IU | W 81-75 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 8 | @ PSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 11 | @ OSU | L 82-89 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 18 | vs ILL | L 65-101 | +8.5 | L −27.5 | 151.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 21 | vsORE | L 70-71 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 24 | @ UCLA | L 62-81 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 28 | vs NEB | L 67-82 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Mar 4 | @WASH | L 72-91 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 7 | vsUCLA | L 68-89 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−5.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+1.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−7.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−17.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
+4.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+7.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
+4.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−12.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
+9.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+8.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
−8.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+7.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−1.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 82-89
+0.5
18
vsILL
ILLL 65-101
−27.5
21
vsORE
OREL 70-71
−6.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-81
−12.5
28
vsNEB
NEBL 67-82
−9.5
4
@WASH
WASHL 72-91
−13.5
7
vsUCLA
UCLAL 68-89
−16.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−27.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+9.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−11.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−20.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
−8.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+8.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
−22.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−7.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
−14.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+3.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
+6.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+2.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−5.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 82-89
+18.5
18
vsILL
ILLL 65-101
+14.5
21
vsORE
OREL 70-71
−8.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-81
−7.5
28
vsNEB
NEBL 67-82
−0.5
4
@WASH
WASHL 72-91
+12.5
7
vsUCLA
UCLAL 68-89
+5.5
over 16under 14avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Washington
31 games played
Straight up
15-16
48% wins
Against the spread
18-13
58% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-18
42% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vsUCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @USC | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs SUU | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ SEA | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vsUSD | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTAH | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @IU | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @PUR | L 73-81 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 11 | vsOSU | W 81-74 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 14 | vsMICH | L 72-82 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | vsMSU | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 21 | @NEB | L 66-76 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | vsORE | W 72-57 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @ILL | L 66-75 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @NU | W 76-62 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vsIOWA | L 74-84 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | @UCLA | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 11 | vsPSU | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | vsMINN | W 69-57 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 21 | @MD | L 60-64 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 24 | @RUTG | W 79-72 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 28 | vsWIS | L 73-90 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 4 | vsUSC | W 91-72 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 7 | @ORE | L 79-85 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+12.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+10.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−11.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
+11.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−3.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
−0.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
+8.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
+5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
+2.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−13.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
+0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
+7.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
+3.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
+15.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
−7.5
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 73-77
+0.5
11
vsPSU
PSUL 60-63
−15.5
14
vsMINN
MINNW 69-57
+5.5
21
@MD
MDL 60-64
−8.5
24
@RUTG
RUTGW 79-72
+2.5
28
vsWIS
WISL 73-90
−15.5
4
vsUSC
USCW 91-72
+13.5
7
@ORE
OREL 79-85
−7.5
covered 18didn’t cover 13avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+5.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+20.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−15.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
−17.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−18.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
+17.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
−0.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
−0.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 72-82
−11.5
17
vsMSU
MSUL 63-80
−2.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 66-76
−10.5
25
vsORE
OREW 72-57
−14.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 66-75
−12.5
31
@NU
NUW 76-62
−8.5
4
vsIOWA
IOWAL 74-84
+16.5
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 73-77
+5.5
11
vsPSU
PSUL 60-63
−30.5
14
vsMINN
MINNW 69-57
−12.5
21
@MD
MDL 60-64
−19.5
24
@RUTG
RUTGW 79-72
+11.5
28
vsWIS
WISL 73-90
+9.5
4
vsUSC
USCW 91-72
+12.5
7
@ORE
OREL 79-85
+18.5
over 13under 18avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
USC
17-13 overall · 7-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UCLA68–89
- L@ Washington72–91
- Lvs Nebraska67–82
- L@ UCLA62–81
- Lvs Oregon70–71
4 days since their last game.
Washington
15-16 overall · 7-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oregon79–85
- Wvs USC91–72
- Lvs Wisconsin73–90
- W@ Rutgers79–72
- L@ Maryland60–64
4 days since their last game.