Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St · Conference game
Closing line
TCU -3.5✓ TCU covered by 5.5
TCU -3.5✓ TCU covered by 5.5Closing total159.5Under by 14.5
| TCU | This season | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| 18-10 | Record | 11-17 |
| 15-13 | ATS | 11-17 |
| 13-15 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TCU 80–77 KSU · ✓ TCU (60%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 41 | 36 | 77 |
| KSU | 38 | 30 | 68 |
1st half: TCU 41, KSU 38 (TCU by 3). The model had TCU by 1.9 and a total of 73.1 (actual 79).
Team stats
| TCU | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-63 43% | Field goals | 28-56 50% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 16-23 70% | Free throws | 4-9 44% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 31 5 off |
| 17 | Assists | 19 |
| 12 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Harding G | 34 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 33 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-4 |
| Jayden Pierre G | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-5 |
| Micah Robinson G | 30 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| David Punch F | 26 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tanner Toolson G | 23 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-12 | 3-5 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jace Posey, Drew McElroy, Malick Diallo, Adam Stewart, Ashton Simmons, RJ Jones, Trey Stuart, Kayden Edwards
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 39 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 9-14 | 0-2 |
| Nate Johnson G | 37 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| Taj Manning F | 31 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| David Castillo G | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Jones G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
Did not play: Stephen Osei, Dorin Buca, Exavier Wilson, Marcus Johnson, Mobi Ikegwuruka, Abdi Bashir Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTCU -2.5
1 → TCU
CloseTCU -3.5
1 pt toward TCU
Total
Open156.5
▲ 3
Close159.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
TCU -162 · KSU +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TCU -2.5 · closed TCU -3.5 · moved 1 toward TCUmodel TCU -3
model TCU -3
Opened 156.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TCU -3.5 | TCU -3.0 | KSU +0.5 | L TCU covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 156.4 | Under 3.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | TCU 79.7 · KSU 76.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TCU -1.9 | TCU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 73.1 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | TCU 37.5 · KSU 35.6 | TCU 41 · KSU 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| KSU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
TCU 6–2 KSUTCU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · TCU has won the last 4 meetings · TCU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | KSU 82 @ TCU 84 | TCU -9.5 | KSU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | KSU 62 @ TCU 63 | TCU -3.5 | KSU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | TCU 75 @ KSU 72 | KSU -0.5 | TCU W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | TCU 80 vs KSU 67 | KSU +1.5 | TCU W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | TCU 61 @ KSU 82 | KSU -3.5 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
TCU
28 games played
Straight up
18-10
64% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs ND | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNT | W 65-55 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs UIW | W 69-65 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs ORU | W 72-53 | -23.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 21 | vs FAMU | W 80-56 | -29.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs JKST | W 115-64 | -30.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BAY | W 69-63 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ KU | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARIZ | L 73-86 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | @ BYU | L 70-76 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ UTAH | L 79-82 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vs OKST | W 68-65 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BAY | W 97-90 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | vs HOU | L 70-79 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 1 | @ COLO | L 61-87 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vsKSU | W 84-82 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 10 | vs ISU | W 62-55 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | @OKST | W 95-92 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 17 | @ UCF | L 71-82 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 21 | vs WVU | W 60-54 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 24 | vs ASU | W 90-78 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
−8.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
+0.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−15.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−4.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−5.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+20.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
+3.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+2.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
−5.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
+7.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
−7.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−5.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+11.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
−0.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−27.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
−7.5
10
vsISU
ISUW 62-55
+14.5
14
@OKST
OKSTW 95-92
+1.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 71-82
−12.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 60-54
+1.5
24
vsASU
ASUW 90-78
+5.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
+30.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
−15.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−9.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−22.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−6.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+35.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
−22.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+60.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
+1.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
−16.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
+6.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−28.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+39.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
+9.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−5.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
+10.5
10
vsISU
ISUW 62-55
−30.5
14
@OKST
OKSTW 95-92
+30.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 71-82
−1.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 60-54
−19.5
24
vsASU
ASUW 90-78
+18.5
over 13under 15avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
11-17
39% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs MSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vsBYU | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ARIZ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ASU | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vsUCF | L 73-82 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | @OKST | L 83-84 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | vsUTAH | W 81-78 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsKU | L 62-86 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 27 | @WVU | L 54-59 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 1 | vsISU | L 61-95 | +12.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | @TCU | L 82-84 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 11 | vs CIN | L 62-91 | +2.5 | L −26.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @HOU | L 64-78 | +22.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | vsBAY | W 90-74 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | @ TTU | L 72-100 | +12.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 25 | @COLO | L 70-79 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−2.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
−7.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
−1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−11.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
+1.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−7.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−19.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
+2.5
1
vsISU
ISUL 61-95
−21.5
7
@TCU
TCUL 82-84
+7.5
11
vsCIN
CINL 62-91
−26.5
14
@HOU
HOUL 64-78
+8.5
17
vsBAY
BAYW 90-74
+19.5
21
@TTU
TTUL 72-100
−15.5
25
@COLO
COLOL 70-79
−3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 17avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−18.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
+5.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
+1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−15.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
−8.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−9.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−10.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
−33.5
1
vsISU
ISUL 61-95
−0.5
7
@TCU
TCUL 82-84
+10.5
11
vsCIN
CINL 62-91
+5.5
14
@HOU
HOUL 64-78
−2.5
17
vsBAY
BAYW 90-74
+4.5
21
@TTU
TTUL 72-100
+13.5
25
@COLO
COLOL 70-79
−14.5
over 14under 14avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
TCU
18-10 overall · 8-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arizona St90–78
- Wvs West Virginia60–54
- L@ UCF71–82
- W@ Oklahoma St95–92
- Wvs Iowa State62–55
4 days since their last game.
Kansas St
11-17 overall · 2-13 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colorado70–79
- L@ Texas Tech72–100
- Wvs Baylor90–74
- L@ Houston64–78
- Lvs Cincinnati62–91
3 days since their last game.