Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St · Conference game
Closing line
CIN -2.5✓ CIN covered by 26.5
CIN -2.5✓ CIN covered by 26.5Closing total147.5Over by 5.5
| CIN | This season | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-12 | Record | 10-13 |
| 10-14 | ATS | 9-14 |
| 7-17 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 76–73 KSU · ✓ CIN (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 53 | 38 | 91 |
| KSU | 31 | 31 | 62 |
1st half: CIN 53, KSU 31 (CIN by 22). The model had CIN by 1.6 and a total of 69.7 (actual 84).
Team stats
| CIN | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-62 50% | Field goals | 25-62 40% |
| 16-28 57% | 3-pointers | 6-25 24% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 29 11 off |
| 21 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jizzle James G | 32 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 9-14 | 6-8 |
| Baba Miller F | 31 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 4-10 | 2-2 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Jalen Celestine G | 27 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 6-8 | 4-6 |
| Tyler McKinley F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sencire Harris G | 24 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer G | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Grant Darbyshire G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lucas Atauri, Bryson Buckingham, Moustapha Thiam, Shon Abaev, Jalen Haynes, Kerr Kriisa
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 38 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 11-18 | 1-2 |
| Nate Johnson G | 32 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| David Castillo G | 31 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
| Taj Manning F | 30 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Johnson F | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-7 |
| CJ Jones G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Dorin Buca C | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Exavier Wilson, Stephen Osei, Elias Rapieque, Andrej Kostic, Abdi Bashir Jr., Mobi Ikegwuruka
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCIN -1.5
1 → CIN
CloseCIN -2.5
1 pt toward CIN
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CIN -135 · KSU +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CIN -1.5 · closed CIN -2.5 · moved 1 toward CINmodel CIN -2.5 matches the line
model CIN -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -2.5 | CIN -2.4 | KSU +0.1 | L CIN covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 148.8 | Over 1.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CIN 75.6 · KSU 73.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CIN -1.6 | CIN -22.0 |
| 1H total | 69.7 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | CIN 35.6 · KSU 34 | CIN 53 · KSU 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| KSU | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CIN 1–2 KSUKSU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · KSU has won the last 2 meetings · CIN 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | KSU 54 @ CIN 49 | CIN -8.5 | KSU W |
| Dec 30, 2024-25 | CIN 67 @ KSU 70 | KSU +3.5 | KSU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | KSU 72 @ CIN 74 | CIN -6.5 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
24 games played
Straight up
12-12
50% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-17
29% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs CLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIP | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vs HOU | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @ WVU | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ UCF | L 72-73 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs ISU | W 79-70 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ ARIZ | L 51-77 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ ASU | L 68-82 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 28 | vs BAY | W 67-57 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @HOU | L 54-76 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 5 | vsWVU | L 54-59 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 8 | vsUCF | W 92-72 | -4.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+13.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−2.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−3.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
+1.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+14.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−12.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
−17.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 67-57
+6.5
31
@HOU
HOUL 54-76
−8.5
5
vsWVU
WVUL 54-59
−10.5
8
vsUCF
UCFW 92-72
+15.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+0.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−8.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−10.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
−5.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+7.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−24.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
+3.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 67-57
−21.5
31
@HOU
HOUL 54-76
−5.5
5
vsWVU
WVUL 54-59
−14.5
8
vsUCF
UCFW 92-72
+17.5
over 7under 17avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
23 games played
Straight up
10-13
43% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs MSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BYU | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ARIZ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ASU | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vsUCF | L 73-82 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ OKST | L 83-84 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | vs UTAH | W 81-78 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vs KU | L 62-86 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 27 | @WVU | L 54-59 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 1 | vsISU | L 61-95 | +12.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | @ TCU | L 82-84 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−2.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
−7.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
−1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−11.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
+1.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−7.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−19.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
+2.5
1
vsISU
ISUL 61-95
−21.5
7
@TCU
TCUL 82-84
+7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−18.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
+5.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
+1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−15.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
−8.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−9.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−10.5
27
@WVU
WVUL 54-59
−33.5
1
vsISU
ISUL 61-95
−0.5
7
@TCU
TCUL 82-84
+10.5
over 11under 12avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
12-12 overall · 4-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UCF92–72
- Lvs West Virginia54–59
- L@ Houston54–76
- Wvs Baylor67–57
- L@ Arizona St68–82
3 days since their last game.
Kansas St
10-13 overall · 1-9 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ TCU82–84
- Lvs Iowa State61–95
- L@ West Virginia54–59
- Lvs Kansas62–86
- Wvs Utah81–78
4 days since their last game.