XFINITY Center · at Maryland · Conference game
Closing line
ILL -14.5✓ MD covered by 8.5
ILL -14.5✓ MD covered by 8.5Closing total145.5Over by 4.5
| ILL | This season | MD |
|---|---|---|
| 23-7 | Record | 11-19 |
| 18-12 | ATS | 13-17 |
| 12-18 | O/U | 16-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILL 83–68 MD · ✓ ILL (91%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 37 | 41 | 78 |
| MD | 34 | 38 | 72 |
1st half: ILL 37, MD 34 (ILL by 3). The model had ILL by 9.2 and a total of 70.4 (actual 71).
Team stats
| ILL | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 26-56 46% |
| 5-24 21% | 3-pointers | 9-30 30% |
| 21-26 81% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 33 12 off | Rebounds | 30 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Mirkovic F | 36 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 9-13 | 0-1 |
| Keaton Wagler G | 34 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Kylan Boswell G | 21 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Jake Davis F | 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 19 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Humrichous F | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Mihailo Petrovic, Blake Fagbemi, Brandon Lee, Jason Jakstys, AJ Redd, Ty Rodgers
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Saunders F | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Andre Mills G | 34 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 10-18 | 2-8 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 32 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| David Coit G | 28 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-12 | 2-9 |
| Solomon Washington F | 21 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darius Adams G | 25 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaziah Harper, Nick Blake, Aleks Alston, Lukas Sotell, Pharrel Payne, Rakease Passmore, Myles Rice
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -16.5
2 → MD
CloseILL -14.5
2 pts toward MD
Total
Open149.5
▼ 4
Close145.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
ILL -1650 · MD +950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -16.5 · closed ILL -14.5 · moved 2 toward MDmodel ILL -15.5
model ILL -15.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 4 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILL -14.5 | ILL -15.3 | ILL +0.8 | L MD covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 150.5 | Over 5.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ILL 82.9 · MD 67.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -9.2 | ILL -3.0 |
| 1H total | 70.4 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | ILL 39.8 · MD 30.6 | ILL 37 · MD 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| MD | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ILL 3–5 MDMD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ILL 2-5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | MD 70 @ ILL 89 | ILL -18.5 | ILL W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | ILL 65 vs MD 88 | MD -1.5 | MD W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | MD 91 @ ILL 70 | ILL -5.5 | MD W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | ILL 85 @ MD 80 | MD +2.5 | ILL W |
| Jan 14, 2023-24 | MD 76 @ ILL 67 | ILL -9.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois
30 games played
Straight up
23-7
77% wins
Against the spread
18-12
60% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-18
40% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JKST | W 113-55 | -28.5 | W +29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs FGCU | W 113-70 | -29.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs TTU | W 81-77 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs COLG | W 84-65 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALA | L 86-90 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs LIU | W 98-58 | -34.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs RGV | W 87-73 | -33.5 | L −19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 28 | vs CONN | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | vs TENN | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ OSU | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs NEB | L 80-83 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs MIZ | W 91-48 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs SOU | W 90-55 | -33.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ PSU | W 73-65 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 8 | vs RUTG | W 81-55 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | @ IOWA | W 75-69 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ NU | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs MINN | W 77-67 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 21 | vsMD | W 89-70 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ PUR | W 88-82 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 29 | vs WASH | W 75-66 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | @NEB | W 78-69 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 4 | vsNU | W 84-44 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 7 | @ MSU | L 82-85 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 10 | vs WIS | L 90-92 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 15 | vs IU | W 71-51 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 18 | @ USC | W 101-65 | -8.5 | W +27.5 | 151.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 21 | @ UCLA | L 94-95 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 27 | vs MICH | L 70-84 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Mar 3 | vs ORE | W 80-54 | -17.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
+5.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−19.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−8.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
+14.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+4.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
−12.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
+34.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
+1.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−6.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
+3.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+4.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
+1.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−5.5
21
vsMD
MDW 89-70
+0.5
24
@PUR
PURW 88-82
+11.5
29
vsWASH
WASHW 75-66
−3.5
1
@NEB
NEBW 78-69
+10.5
4
vsNU
NUW 84-44
+23.5
7
@MSU
MSUL 82-85
−1.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 90-92
−11.5
15
vsIU
IUW 71-51
+11.5
18
@USC
USCW 101-65
+27.5
21
@UCLA
UCLAL 94-95
−7.5
27
vsMICH
MICHL 70-84
−12.5
3
vsORE
OREW 80-54
+8.5
covered 18didn’t cover 12avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
−4.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−4.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−15.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
−12.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+5.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
+6.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
−14.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
−18.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−18.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
−13.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+1.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
−4.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
+1.5
21
vsMD
MDW 89-70
+6.5
24
@PUR
PURW 88-82
+17.5
29
vsWASH
WASHW 75-66
−12.5
1
@NEB
NEBW 78-69
−7.5
4
vsNU
NUW 84-44
−21.5
7
@MSU
MSUL 82-85
+24.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 90-92
+28.5
15
vsIU
IUW 71-51
−31.5
18
@USC
USCW 101-65
+14.5
21
@UCLA
UCLAL 94-95
+42.5
27
vsMICH
MICHL 70-84
−5.5
3
vsORE
OREW 80-54
−13.5
over 12under 18avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maryland
30 games played
Straight up
11-19
37% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vsALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vsMICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vsORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vsIU | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @UCLA | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @USC | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vsPSU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 21 | @ILL | L 70-89 | +18.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @MSU | L 48-91 | +18.5 | L −24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vsPUR | L 63-93 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | vsOSU | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | @MINN | W 67-62 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 11 | vsIOWA | W 77-70 | +10.5 | W +17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 15 | @RUTG | L 57-68 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 18 | @NU | L 74-78 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | vsWASH | W 64-60 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 25 | @NEB | L 61-74 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 1 | vsRUTG | L 65-69 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 4 | @WIS | L 45-78 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
−10.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
+1.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
−7.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+21.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
−0.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−24.5
1
vsPUR
PURL 63-93
−14.5
5
vsOSU
OSUL 62-82
−13.5
8
@MINN
MINNW 67-62
+15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 77-70
+17.5
15
@RUTG
RUTGL 57-68
−8.5
18
@NU
NUL 74-78
+3.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 64-60
+8.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 61-74
+3.5
1
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-69
−8.5
4
@WIS
WISL 45-78
−18.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
+2.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
−25.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
+8.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+20.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
+6.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−2.5
1
vsPUR
PURL 63-93
+7.5
5
vsOSU
OSUL 62-82
−6.5
8
@MINN
MINNW 67-62
−9.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 77-70
+8.5
15
@RUTG
RUTGL 57-68
−19.5
18
@NU
NUL 74-78
+9.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 64-60
−19.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 61-74
−7.5
1
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-69
−9.5
4
@WIS
WISL 45-78
−30.5
over 16under 14avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois
23-7 overall · 14-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oregon80–54
- Lvs Michigan70–84
- L@ UCLA94–95
- W@ USC101–65
- Wvs Indiana71–51
5 days since their last game.
Maryland
11-19 overall · 4-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wisconsin45–78
- Lvs Rutgers65–69
- L@ Nebraska61–74
- Wvs Washington64–60
- L@ Northwestern74–78
4 days since their last game.