Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska · Conference game
Closing line
NEB -16.5✓ MD covered by 3.5
NEB -16.5✓ MD covered by 3.5Closing total142.5Under by 7.5
 MD | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 11-16 | Record | 23-4 |
| 12-15 | ATS | 15-12 |
| 16-11 | O/U | 9-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 64–79 NEB · ✓ NEB (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 27 | 34 | 61 |
| NEB | 33 | 41 | 74 |
1st half: MD 27, NEB 33 (NEB by 6). The model had NEB by 8.4 and a total of 66.8 (actual 60).
Team stats
| MD | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 23-53 43% |
| 12-36 33% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 7-8 88% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 34 7 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Saunders F | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Darius Adams G | 34 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Andre Mills G | 33 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 7-15 | 3-9 |
| Solomon Washington F | 33 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 18 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Coit G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Aleks Alston F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaziah Harper, Nick Blake, Lukas Sotell, Pharrel Payne, Rakease Passmore, Myles Rice
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hoiberg G | 37 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Pryce Sandfort F | 36 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 5-13 | 3-11 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 32 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Rienk Mast F | 25 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-2 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 33 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 6-13 | 3-9 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jared Garcia F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Leo Curtis, Quentin Rhymes, Will Cooper, Justin Bolis, Kendall Blue, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Henry Burt
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEB -16.5
ModelNEB -14.4
Model edgeMD +2.1
W MD covered
Total
Market142.5
Model142.6
Model edgeOver 0.1
L Under
Projected score
MD 64.1 · NEB 78.5
MD 61 · NEB 74
Win probability
NEB 90%
1st half
Spread
NEB -8.4
NEB -6.0
Total
66.8
60 points
Projected score
MD 29.2 · NEB 37.6
MD 27 · NEB 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -18.5
2 → MD
CloseNEB -16.5
2 pts toward MD
Total
Open143.5
▼ 1
Close142.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MD +1000 · NEB -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -18.5 · closed NEB -16.5 · moved 2 toward MDmodel NEB -14.5
model NEB -14.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 downmodel 142.5 matches the line
model 142.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| NEB | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MD 5–1 NEBMD leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · MD has won the last 3 meetings · MD 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | MD 83 @ NEB 75 | NEB -1.5 | MD W |
| Jan 19, 2024-25 | NEB 66 @ MD 69 | MD -9.5 | NEB W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | NEB 51 @ MD 73 | MD -5.5 | MD W |
| Feb 19, 2022-23 | MD 66 @ NEB 70 | NEB +4.5 | NEB W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | NEB 63 @ MD 82 | MD -11.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs MICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs IU | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCLA | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @ USC | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vs PSU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 21 | @ ILL | L 70-89 | +18.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSU | L 48-91 | +18.5 | L −24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vs PUR | L 63-93 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | vs OSU | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | @ MINN | W 67-62 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 11 | vsIOWA | W 77-70 | +10.5 | W +17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 15 | @ RUTG | L 57-68 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 18 | @ NU | L 74-78 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | vs WASH | W 64-60 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
−10.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
+1.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
−7.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+21.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
−0.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−24.5
1
vsPUR
PURL 63-93
−14.5
5
vsOSU
OSUL 62-82
−13.5
8
@MINN
MINNW 67-62
+15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 77-70
+17.5
15
@RUTG
RUTGL 57-68
−8.5
18
@NU
NUL 74-78
+3.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 64-60
+8.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
+2.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
−25.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
+8.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+20.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
+6.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−2.5
1
vsPUR
PURL 63-93
+7.5
5
vsOSU
OSUL 62-82
−6.5
8
@MINN
MINNW 67-62
−9.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 77-70
+8.5
15
@RUTG
RUTGL 57-68
−19.5
18
@NU
NUL 74-78
+9.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 64-60
−19.5
over 16under 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
27 games played
Straight up
23-4
85% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-18
33% overs · avg −8.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vsMSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @OSU | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @IU | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vsORE | W 90-55 | -10.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @NU | W 77-58 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vsWASH | W 76-66 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @MINN | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 27 | @MICH | L 72-75 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 1 | vsILL | L 69-78 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @RUTG | W 80-68 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 10 | vsPUR | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsNU | W 68-49 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 17 | @IOWA | L 52-57 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 21 | vsPSU | W 87-64 | -17.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
+5.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+10.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
+24.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
+14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−0.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
+14.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
+8.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−10.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
−0.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
−5.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
+5.5
17
@IOWA
IOWAL 52-57
−3.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 87-64
+5.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
−14.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+9.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
−1.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
−14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−10.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
−7.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
−10.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−7.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
+2.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
+10.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
−29.5
17
@IOWA
IOWAL 52-57
−30.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 87-64
+3.5
over 9under 18avg −8.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
11-16 overall · 4-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington64–60
- L@ Northwestern74–78
- L@ Rutgers57–68
- Wvs Iowa77–70
- W@ Minnesota67–62
4 days since their last game.
Nebraska
23-4 overall · 12-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn State87–64
- L@ Iowa52–57
- Wvs Northwestern68–49
- Lvs Purdue77–80
- W@ Rutgers80–68
4 days since their last game.