Dean E. Smith Center · at North Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
UNC -7.5✓ VT covered by 0.5
UNC -7.5✓ VT covered by 0.5Closing total149.5Over by 21.5
 VT | This season | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| 18-10 | Record | 22-6 |
| 17-11 | ATS | 16-12 |
| 14-14 | O/U | 13-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VT 72–81 UNC · ✓ UNC (80%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 44 | 38 | 82 |
| UNC | 44 | 45 | 89 |
1st half: VT 44, UNC 44 (tied). The model had UNC by 5.7 and a total of 71.5 (actual 88).
Team stats
| VT | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-62 50% | Field goals | 29-52 56% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 11-11 100% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 22 6 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 24 | Fouls | 13 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hammond G | 37 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 5-14 | 0-2 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 36 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-2 |
| Neo Avdalas G | 29 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 7-16 | 3-6 |
| Jailen Bedford G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Amani Hansberry F | 19 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Schutt G | 29 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Christian Gurdak C | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Dorn C | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Johnson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Izaiah Pasha, Sin'Cere Jones, Brett Freeman, Shamarius Peterkin, Solomon Davis
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Trimble G | 35 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 7-12 | 1-1 |
| Henri Veesaar C | 33 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 11-20 | 2-7 |
| Jarin Stevenson F | 25 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Luka Bogavac G | 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Derek Dixon G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyan Evans G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jonathan Powell G | 23 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Zayden High F | 21 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Jaydon Young G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: James Brown, Isaiah Denis, John Holbrook, Ivan Matlekovic, Elijah Davis, Evan Smith, Caleb Wilson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -8.5
1 → VT
CloseUNC -7.5
1 pt toward VT
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
VT +250 · UNC -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -8.5 · closed UNC -7.5 · moved 1 toward VTmodel UNC -10
model UNC -10
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNC -7.5 | UNC -9.8 | UNC +2.3 | L VT covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 152.8 | Over 3.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | VT 71.5 · UNC 81.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNC -5.7 | PK |
| 1H total | 71.5 | 88 |
| 1H projected score | VT 32.9 · UNC 38.6 | VT 44 · UNC 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| UNC | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
VT 2–4 UNCUNC leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · UNC has won the last 2 meetings · VT 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | UNC 91 @ VT 59 | VT +8.5 | UNC W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | VT 81 @ UNC 96 | UNC -10.5 | UNC W |
| Dec 4, 2022-23 | UNC 72 @ VT 80 | VT -0.5 | VT W |
| Mar 11, 2021-22 | VT 72 vs UNC 59 | UNC -2.5 | VT W |
| Feb 19, 2021-22 | UNC 65 @ VT 57 | VT -4.5 | UNC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Virginia Tech
28 games played
Straight up
18-10
64% wins
Against the spread
17-11
61% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHSO | W 98-67 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs PROV | W 107-101 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 12 | vs JOES | W 94-59 | -12.5 | W +22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLT | W 84-76 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | vs BRY | W 78-61 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs SMC | L 66-77 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VCU | L 68-86 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ SC | W 86-83 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs GMU | W 73-62 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 11 | vs WCU | W 96-74 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 14 | vs UMES | W 82-53 | -27.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs ELON | W 82-81 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs UVA | W 95-85 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ WAKE | L 78-81 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vs STAN | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | vs CAL | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | @ SMU | L 76-77 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs ND | W 89-76 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | @ SYR | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | @ LOU | L 71-85 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 27 | vs GT | W 71-65 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vs DUKE | L 58-72 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ NCSU | L 73-82 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @ CLEM | W 76-66 | +8.5 | W +18.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | vs FSU | L 69-92 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 17 | @ MIA | L 66-67 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 21 | vsWAKE | W 82-63 | -3.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+8.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
+22.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
−10.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−7.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−2.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−5.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
−15.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+5.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
+6.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+1.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
+1.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
−11.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+15.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+2.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−4.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
−2.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
+7.5
17
vsND
NDW 89-76
+6.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 76-74
+5.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 71-85
+0.5
27
vsGT
GTW 71-65
−3.5
31
vsDUKE
DUKEL 58-72
−0.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 73-82
+1.5
11
@CLEM
CLEMW 76-66
+18.5
14
vsFSU
FSUL 69-92
−27.5
17
@MIA
MIAL 66-67
+7.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEW 82-63
+15.5
covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+50.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
−5.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
+14.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−12.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−23.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−1.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
+0.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+19.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
−9.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+17.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
−4.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
+4.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+26.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+5.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−11.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
+4.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsND
NDW 89-76
+21.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 76-74
−2.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 71-85
−4.5
27
vsGT
GTW 71-65
−19.5
31
vsDUKE
DUKEL 58-72
−18.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 73-82
+0.5
11
@CLEM
CLEMW 76-66
+3.5
14
vsFSU
FSUL 69-92
+4.5
17
@MIA
MIAL 66-67
−15.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEW 82-63
−5.5
over 14under 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Carolina
28 games played
Straight up
22-6
79% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CARK | W 94-54 | -31.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | vs KU | W 87-74 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs RAD | W 89-74 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 14 | vs NCCU | W 97-53 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs NAVY | W 73-61 | -26.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 25 | vs SBU | W 85-70 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs MSU | L 58-74 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | @ UK | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vs GTWN | W 81-61 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs UPST | W 80-62 | -29.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | vs ETSU | W 77-58 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs OSU | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | vs ECU | W 99-51 | -25.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 30 | vsFSU | W 79-66 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @SMU | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vsWAKE | W 87-84 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @STAN | L 90-95 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | @CAL | L 78-84 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | vsND | W 91-69 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @UVA | W 85-80 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @GT | W 91-75 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 2 | vsSYR | W 87-77 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vsDUKE | W 71-68 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @MIA | L 66-75 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | vs PITT | W 79-65 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 17 | @NCSU | L 58-82 | +8.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 21 | @SYR | W 77-64 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 23 | vsLOU | W 77-74 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
+8.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+10.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
−5.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
+9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−14.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+4.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−14.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
+10.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
+9.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−11.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
+1.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−1.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+22.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
+0.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
−12.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
−7.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
−9.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
−13.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+8.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+11.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+6.5
2
vsSYR
SYRW 87-77
−1.5
7
vsDUKE
DUKEW 71-68
+9.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 66-75
−7.5
14
vsPITT
PITTW 79-65
+2.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 58-82
−15.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 77-64
+15.5
23
vsLOU
LOUW 77-74
+6.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
−9.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+1.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
+0.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
−9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−26.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+2.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−20.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
−32.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
−7.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−9.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
−15.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−16.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+5.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
−21.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
+24.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
+16.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
+37.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
+10.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+10.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+12.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+5.5
2
vsSYR
SYRW 87-77
+5.5
7
vsDUKE
DUKEW 71-68
−13.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 66-75
−15.5
14
vsPITT
PITTW 79-65
+1.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 58-82
−16.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 77-64
−13.5
23
vsLOU
LOUW 77-74
−11.5
over 13under 15avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Virginia Tech
18-10 overall · 7-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wake Forest82–63
- L@ Miami66–67
- Lvs Florida St69–92
- W@ Clemson76–66
- L@ NC State73–82
A week or more of rest.
North Carolina
22-6 overall · 10-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Louisville77–74
- W@ Syracuse77–64
- L@ NC State58–82
- Wvs Pitt79–65
- L@ Miami66–75
5 days since their last game.