Littlejohn Coliseum · at Clemson · Conference game
Closing line
LOU -2.5✓ CLEM covered by 7.5
LOU -2.5✓ CLEM covered by 7.5Closing total146.5Over by 8.5
| LOU | This season | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| 20-8 | Record | 20-8 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 15-13 |
| 11-17 | O/U | 11-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LOU 76–72 CLEM · ✗ LOU (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 35 | 40 | 75 |
| CLEM | 38 | 42 | 80 |
1st half: LOU 35, CLEM 38 (CLEM by 3). The model had LOU by 2.2 and a total of 69.1 (actual 73).
Team stats
| LOU | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-64 45% | Field goals | 24-49 49% |
| 10-36 28% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 24-34 71% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 31 5 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Vonne Hadley G | 34 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Ryan Conwell G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 6-12 | 3-9 |
| Isaac McKneely G | 27 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Sananda Fru F | 25 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Adrian Wooley G | 23 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mikel Brown Jr. G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-6 |
| Khani Rooths F | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Vangelis Zougris F | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kobe Rodgers G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aly Khalifa C | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Cole Sherman, Spencer Legg, London Johnson, Mouhamed Camara, Kasean Pryor, Will Hanke
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Godfrey F | 34 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Dillon Hunter G | 29 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Jestin Porter G | 27 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 4-8 |
| Butta Johnson G | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Carter Welling F | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ace Buckner G | 25 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Nick Davidson F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Chase Thompson F | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Dallas Thomas, Trent Steinour, Zac Foster, Blake Davidson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLOU -2.5
ModelLOU -3.5
Model edgeLOU +1.0
L CLEM covered
Total
Market146.5
Model147.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
W Over
Projected score
LOU 75.6 · CLEM 72.1
LOU 75 · CLEM 80
Win probability
LOU 62%
1st half
Spread
LOU -2.2
CLEM -3.0
Total
69.1
73 points
Projected score
LOU 35.7 · CLEM 33.4
LOU 35 · CLEM 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLOU -1.5
1 → LOU
CloseLOU -2.5
1 pt toward LOU
Total
Open144.5
▲ 2
Close146.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
LOU -142 · CLEM +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LOU -1.5 · closed LOU -2.5 · moved 1 toward LOUmodel LOU -3.5
model LOU -3.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| CLEM | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
LOU 4–2 CLEMLOU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · LOU has won the last 2 meetings · LOU 6-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | CLEM 73 vs LOU 76 | LOU +2.5 | LOU W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | CLEM 64 @ LOU 74 | LOU -3.5 | LOU W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | LOU 64 @ CLEM 70 | CLEM -16.5 | LOU W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | CLEM 73 @ LOU 83 | LOU +11.5 | LOU W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | LOU 70 @ CLEM 83 | CLEM -16.5 | LOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisville
28 games played
Straight up
20-8
71% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SCST | W 104-45 | -35.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 6 | vs JKST | W 106-70 | -38.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 11 | vs UK | W 96-88 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 15 | vs OHIO | W 106-81 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 21 | vs CIN | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs EMU | W 87-46 | -33.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs NJIT | W 104-47 | -44.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ARK | L 80-89 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs IU | W 87-78 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs MEM | W 99-73 | -16.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | @ TENN | L 62-83 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs MONT | W 94-54 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 30 | @ CAL | W 90-70 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | @ STAN | L 76-80 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vs DUKE | L 73-84 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vs BC | W 75-62 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs UVA | L 70-79 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ PITT | W 100-59 | -7.5 | W +33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vs VT | W 85-71 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 26 | @DUKE | L 52-83 | +8.5 | L −22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs SMU | W 88-74 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 4 | vs ND | W 76-65 | -19.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 7 | @ WAKE | W 88-80 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 9 | vs NCSU | W 118-77 | -6.5 | W +34.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 14 | vs BAY | W 82-71 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @SMU | L 85-95 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vs GT | W 87-70 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 167.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 23 | @ UNC | L 74-77 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
+23.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
−2.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+2.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
−6.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
+1.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
+7.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
+12.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
−10.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+5.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−16.5
20
vsMONT
MONTW 94-54
+9.5
30
@CAL
CALW 90-70
+12.5
2
@STAN
STANL 76-80
−11.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 73-84
−9.5
10
vsBC
BCW 75-62
−8.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 70-79
−13.5
17
@PITT
PITTW 100-59
+33.5
24
vsVT
VTW 85-71
−0.5
26
@DUKE
DUKEL 52-83
−22.5
31
vsSMU
SMUW 88-74
+4.5
4
vsND
NDW 76-65
−8.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 88-80
−1.5
9
vsNCSU
NCSUW 118-77
+34.5
14
vsBAY
BAYW 82-71
+3.5
17
@SMU
SMUL 85-95
−14.5
21
vsGT
GTW 87-70
−6.5
23
@UNC
UNCL 74-77
−6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
−10.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
+10.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+10.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
+12.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
−25.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
−29.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
−7.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
+2.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+2.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−11.5
20
vsMONT
MONTW 94-54
−18.5
30
@CAL
CALW 90-70
+0.5
2
@STAN
STANL 76-80
−1.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 73-84
−4.5
10
vsBC
BCW 75-62
−13.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 70-79
−5.5
17
@PITT
PITTW 100-59
+6.5
24
vsVT
VTW 85-71
−4.5
26
@DUKE
DUKEL 52-83
−22.5
31
vsSMU
SMUW 88-74
−1.5
4
vsND
NDW 76-65
−14.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 88-80
+5.5
9
vsNCSU
NCSUW 118-77
+33.5
14
vsBAY
BAYW 82-71
−9.5
17
@SMU
SMUL 85-95
+11.5
21
vsGT
GTW 87-70
−10.5
23
@UNC
UNCL 74-77
−11.5
over 11under 17avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Clemson
28 games played
Straight up
20-8
71% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs BYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MER | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs SC | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vsCIN | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ SYR | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @PITT | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vsSMU | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ND | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vsBC | W 74-50 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIA | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vsNCSU | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @GT | W 77-63 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vsPITT | W 63-52 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 4 | @STAN | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @CAL | W 77-55 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | vsVT | L 66-76 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | @DUKE | L 54-67 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 18 | @WAKE | L 77-85 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | vs FSU | L 65-70 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−15.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−5.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−0.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
+1.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
+0.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+11.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
+8.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
+5.5
20
vsNCSU
NCSUL 76-80
−6.5
24
@GT
GTW 77-63
+5.5
31
vsPITT
PITTW 63-52
+0.5
4
@STAN
STANW 66-64
−1.5
7
@CAL
CALW 77-55
+17.5
11
vsVT
VTL 66-76
−18.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-67
−0.5
18
@WAKE
WAKEL 77-85
−12.5
21
vsFSU
FSUL 65-70
−13.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−19.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−13.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−7.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
−15.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+5.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
−5.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+3.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
−12.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
−15.5
20
vsNCSU
NCSUL 76-80
+13.5
24
@GT
GTW 77-63
−2.5
31
vsPITT
PITTW 63-52
−20.5
4
@STAN
STANW 66-64
−8.5
7
@CAL
CALW 77-55
−7.5
11
vsVT
VTL 66-76
+3.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-67
−13.5
18
@WAKE
WAKEL 77-85
+21.5
21
vsFSU
FSUL 65-70
−10.5
over 11under 17avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisville
20-8 overall · 9-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Carolina74–77
- Wvs Georgia Tech87–70
- L@ SMU85–95
- Wvs Baylor82–71
- Wvs NC State118–77
5 days since their last game.
Clemson
20-8 overall · 10-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida St65–70
- L@ Wake Forest77–85
- L@ Duke54–67
- Lvs Virginia Tech66–76
- W@ California77–55
A week or more of rest.