Maples Pavilion · at Stanford · Conference game
Closing line
STAN -9.5✓ STAN covered by 13.5
STAN -9.5✓ STAN covered by 13.5Closing total151.5Over by 15.5
 GT | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 11-12 | Record | 14-9 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 12-11 |
| 14-9 | O/U | 9-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GT 72–78 STAN · ✓ STAN (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 39 | 33 | 72 |
| STAN | 43 | 52 | 95 |
1st half: GT 39, STAN 43 (STAN by 4). The model had STAN by 3.9 and a total of 70.1 (actual 82).
Team stats
| GT | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-65 43% | Field goals | 33-61 54% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 17-19 89% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 38 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 10 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akai Fleming G | 33 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 7-11 | 2-3 |
| Jaeden Mustaf G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-16 | 1-3 |
| Baye Ndongo F | 28 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| Kam Craft G | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Lamar Washington G | 26 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chas Kelley III G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eric Chatfield Jr. F | 17 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Cole Kirouac C | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Davi Remagen G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mouhamed Sylla, Dyllan Thompson, Kowacie Reeves Jr., Brandon Stores Jr., Peyton Marshall
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 36 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 12-21 | 3-6 |
| Donavin Young F | 30 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 30 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| Benny Gealer G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 23 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 4-8 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Grant G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Jones, Kristers Skrinda, Evan Stinson, Ethan Kitch, Anthony Batson Jr., Tallis Toure, Chisom Okpara
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTAN -9.5
ModelSTAN -6.8
Model edgeGT +2.7
L STAN covered
Total
Market151.5
Model149.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
L Over
Projected score
GT 71.5 · STAN 78.3
GT 72 · STAN 95
Win probability
STAN 72%
1st half
Spread
STAN -3.9
STAN -4.0
Total
70.1
82 points
Projected score
GT 33.1 · STAN 37
GT 39 · STAN 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -8.5
1 → STAN
CloseSTAN -9.5
1 pt toward STAN
Total
Open150.5
▲ 1
Close151.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
GT +340 · STAN -440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -8.5 · closed STAN -9.5 · moved 1 toward STANmodel STAN -7
model STAN -7
Opened 150.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| STAN | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GT 1–0 STANGT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · GT 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | STAN 52 @ GT 60 | GT +1.5 | GT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia Tech
23 games played
Straight up
11-12
48% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UMES | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vs BRY | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs SELA | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UGA | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs GASO | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs WGA | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs DEP | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs DRKE | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs MSST | L 73-85 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONM | W 79-67 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs MRST | W 87-76 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs LAF | W 95-81 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 28 | vs FAMU | W 89-65 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | @ DUKE | L 79-85 | +27.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs BC | W 65-53 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs SYR | L 72-82 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ MIA | L 81-91 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | vs PITT | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ NCSU | W 78-74 | +17.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 24 | vs CLEM | L 63-77 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 27 | @ VT | L 65-71 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vs UNC | L 75-91 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 4 | @ CAL | L 85-90 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−24.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
+13.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−4.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+10.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−8.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
−2.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−12.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
−14.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
−10.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+4.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
−2.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+4.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+21.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
+5.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
−7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+5.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
−21.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
+21.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−5.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
+3.5
31
vsUNC
UNCL 75-91
−6.5
4
@CAL
CALL 85-90
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−31.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
−19.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−3.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+23.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−30.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
+3.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−11.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
+20.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
+7.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+21.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
+28.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+7.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
−27.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
+7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+15.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
+9.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
−2.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−2.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
−19.5
31
vsUNC
UNCL 75-91
+5.5
4
@CAL
CALL 85-90
+22.5
over 14under 9avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
23 games played
Straight up
14-9
61% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vs ND | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vs LOU | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @VT | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @ UVA | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vsUNC | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vsDUKE | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAL | L 66-78 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @MIA | L 70-79 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ FSU | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | vsCLEM | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−13.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
+11.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
+4.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−2.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+9.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−16.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+0.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
−4.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
+1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−56.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
−1.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
−11.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−18.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+37.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−2.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+1.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
+15.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
−8.5
over 9under 14avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia Tech
11-12 overall · 2-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ California85–90
- Lvs North Carolina75–91
- L@ Virginia Tech65–71
- Lvs Clemson63–77
- W@ NC State78–74
3 days since their last game.
Stanford
14-9 overall · 3-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Clemson64–66
- L@ Florida St80–88
- L@ Miami70–79
- Lvs California66–78
- Lvs Duke50–80
3 days since their last game.