Truist Arena · at N Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
NKU -6.5✓ MILW covered by 1.5
NKU -6.5✓ MILW covered by 1.5Closing total156.5Under by 27.5
 MILW | This season | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-16 | Record | 11-11 |
| 7-17 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 11-13 | O/U | 15-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MILW 76–82 NKU · ✓ NKU (70%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 31 | 31 | 62 |
| NKU | 36 | 31 | 67 |
1st half: MILW 31, NKU 36 (NKU by 5). The model had NKU by 3.4 and a total of 73.5 (actual 67).
Team stats
| MILW | NKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 20-49 41% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Franklin G | 38 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Faizon Fields F | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Josh Dixon G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-4 |
| Stevie Elam G | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Amar Augillard G | 19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Jackson F | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tate Mackenzie F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Danilo Jovanovich, Ned Renfree, Austin Villarreal, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr., Simeon Murchison
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Gherezgher G | 38 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 8-16 | 5-10 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 38 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Donovan Oday G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| LJ Wells F | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 15 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tae Dozier G | 26 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Addison Archer F | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang, Mitchel Minor, Kael Robinson
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNKU -6.5
ModelNKU -6.0
Model edgeMILW +0.5
W MILW covered
Total
Market156.5
Model157.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
L Under
Projected score
MILW 75.5 · NKU 81.5
MILW 62 · NKU 67
Win probability
NKU 70%
1st half
Spread
NKU -3.4
NKU -5.0
Total
73.5
67 points
Projected score
MILW 35 · NKU 38.5
MILW 31 · NKU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -7.5
1 → MILW
CloseNKU -6.5
1 pt toward MILW
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MILW +230 · NKU -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -7.5 · closed NKU -6.5 · moved 1 toward MILWmodel NKU -6
model NKU -6
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| NKU | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MILW 7–3 NKUMILW leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MILW 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025-26 | NKU 85 @ MILW 67 | MILW -1.5 | NKU W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | NKU 70 @ MILW 92 | MILW -6.5 | MILW W |
| Jan 24, 2024-25 | MILW 79 @ NKU 59 | NKU -1.5 | MILW W |
| Mar 11, 2023-24 | MILW 82 vs NKU 75 | NKU -1.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | NKU 72 @ MILW 73 | MILW -2.5 | NKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Milwaukee
24 games played
Straight up
8-16
33% wins
Against the spread
7-17
29% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vs RMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 21 | @ CLE | W 81-71 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs PFW | W 77-55 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 30 | @ WIS | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @ WRST | L 70-76 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 5 | @ GB | L 76-79 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 9 | vsNKU | L 67-85 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | vs IUIN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vs OAK | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 18 | @PFW | L 82-100 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 22 | @RMU | L 76-88 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | @ YSU | W 65-64 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | vsWRST | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 1 | vsCLE | L 88-90 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 4 | vs DETM | L 63-76 | -6.5 | L −19.5 | 155.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
+3.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
+18.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−0.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−2.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
−6.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−19.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+3.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−10.5
18
@PFW
PFWL 82-100
−14.5
22
@RMU
RMUL 76-88
−7.5
24
@YSU
YSUW 65-64
+7.5
30
vsWRST
WRSTL 69-76
−4.5
1
vsCLE
CLEL 88-90
−11.5
4
vsDETM
DETML 63-76
−19.5
covered 7didn’t cover 17avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
−8.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
−24.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−17.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−1.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
+10.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−5.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+12.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−33.5
18
@PFW
PFWL 82-100
+33.5
22
@RMU
RMUL 76-88
+11.5
24
@YSU
YSUW 65-64
−22.5
30
vsWRST
WRSTL 69-76
−6.5
1
vsCLE
CLEL 88-90
+17.5
4
vsDETM
DETML 63-76
−16.5
over 11under 13avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Kentucky
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-7
68% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vsWOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vsCLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vsOAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vsIUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vsYSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsDETM | W 96-71 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsRMU | L 89-92 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 24 | @WRST | L 80-88 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @DETM | L 77-90 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | @OAK | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | vsGB | L 84-87 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+14.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
−10.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
−6.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
−18.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−7.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
−10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+7.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
+27.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
+12.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
+5.5
1
@OAK
OAKL 65-76
−25.5
4
vsGB
GBL 84-87
+21.5
over 15under 7avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Milwaukee
8-16 overall · 5-9 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Detroit Mercy63–76
- Lvs Cleveland St88–90
- Lvs Wright St69–76
- W@ Youngstown St65–64
- L@ Robert Morris76–88
3 days since their last game.
N Kentucky
11-11 overall · 6-8 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Green Bay84–87
- L@ Oakland65–76
- L@ Detroit Mercy77–90
- L@ Wright St80–88
- Lvs Robert Morris89–92
3 days since their last game.