Neville Arena · at Auburn · Conference game
Closing line
AUB -10.5✓ AUB covered by 3.5
AUB -10.5✓ AUB covered by 3.5Closing total155.5Over by 6.5
 LSU | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 15-14 | Record | 15-14 |
| 17-12 | ATS | 12-17 |
| 13-16 | O/U | 17-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 78–85 AUB · ✓ AUB (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 34 | 40 | 74 |
| AUB | 41 | 47 | 88 |
1st half: LSU 34, AUB 41 (AUB by 7). The model had AUB by 4.4 and a total of 76.0 (actual 75).
Team stats
| LSU | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-44 55% | Field goals | 31-57 54% |
| 7-15 47% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 27 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Reece G | 38 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 33 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 29 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 29 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Max Mackinnon G | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| PJ Carter G | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Rashad King G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Robert Miller III F | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Mazi Mosley G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jalen Reed, Jaden Bobbett, Dedan Thomas Jr., Matt Gilhool, Ron Zipper, Marcus Vaughn
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Overton G | 38 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 36 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 6-12 | 0-3 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 31 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 10-16 | 4-7 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 29 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 25 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 19 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Filip Jovic C | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| CJ Williams G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Reed Trapp G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Simon Walker, Joah Shay, Drake Cardwell, Abdul Bashir, Kaden Magwood, Emeka Opurum, Jeremiah Bowman, Bradley Pearson
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAUB -10.5
ModelAUB -7.6
Model edgeLSU +2.9
L AUB covered
Total
Market155.5
Model162.7
Model edgeOver 7.2
W Over
Projected score
LSU 77.6 · AUB 85.2
LSU 74 · AUB 88
Win probability
AUB 75%
1st half
Spread
AUB -4.4
AUB -7.0
Total
76.0
75 points
Projected score
LSU 35.8 · AUB 40.2
LSU 34 · AUB 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -8.5
2 → AUB
CloseAUB -10.5
2 pts toward AUB
Total
Open157.5
▼ 2
Close155.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LSU +400 · AUB -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -8.5 · closed AUB -10.5 · moved 2 toward AUBmodel AUB -7.5
model AUB -7.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 2 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| AUB | 3-7 30% | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LSU 0–4 AUBAUB leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · AUB has won the last 4 meetings · LSU 0-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | AUB 87 @ LSU 74 | LSU +11.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | LSU 78 @ AUB 93 | AUB -13.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 18, 2022-23 | AUB 67 @ LSU 49 | LSU +4.5 | AUB W |
| Dec 29, 2021-22 | LSU 55 @ AUB 70 | AUB -4.5 | AUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs TTU | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs SMU | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs SELA | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs PV | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs USM | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ TA&M | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vs SC | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ VAN | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs UK | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIZ | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | @ FLA | L 61-79 | +15.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ ARK | L 81-85 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 28 | vs MSST | L 66-80 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | @SC | W 92-87 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 7 | vs UGA | L 71-83 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 10 | vsARK | L 62-91 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | @ TENN | L 63-73 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 17 | @ TEX | L 85-88 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | vs ALA | L 83-90 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 172.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 25 | @ MISS | W 106-99 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
| Feb 28 | vs OU | L 67-83 | -1.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−18.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+10.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−11.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
−15.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
+6.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
+2.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
−17.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
+2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
+2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
+6.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−2.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+6.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−21.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+2.5
7
vsUGA
UGAL 71-83
−10.5
10
vsARK
ARKL 62-91
−24.5
14
@TENN
TENNL 63-73
+4.5
17
@TEX
TEXL 85-88
+7.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 83-90
+0.5
25
@MISS
MISSW 106-99
+9.5
28
vsOU
OUL 67-83
−17.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−14.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+7.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−1.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
+32.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
−2.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
−21.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
+0.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
−2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
−2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
−0.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−18.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+2.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−8.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+31.5
7
vsUGA
UGAL 71-83
−7.5
10
vsARK
ARKL 62-91
−6.5
14
@TENN
TENNL 63-73
−7.5
17
@TEX
TEXL 85-88
+22.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 83-90
+0.5
25
@MISS
MISSW 106-99
+57.5
28
vsOU
OUL 67-83
−5.5
over 13under 16avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
12-17
41% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vsTA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vsARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vsSC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @FLA | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vsTEX | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @TENN | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vsALA | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 10 | vsVAN | L 76-84 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ARK | L 75-88 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @MSST | L 85-91 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vsUK | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @OU | L 79-91 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vsMISS | L 79-85 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
+20.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
−0.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−2.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
−6.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−11.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−5.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
−11.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−2.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
−15.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
−16.5
covered 12didn’t cover 17avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
−16.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
+15.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
+12.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−1.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−2.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
+20.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−4.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
+12.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
+10.5
over 17under 12avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
15-14 overall · 3-13 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oklahoma67–83
- W@ Ole Miss106–99
- Lvs Alabama83–90
- L@ Texas85–88
- L@ Tennessee63–73
3 days since their last game.
Auburn
15-14 overall · 6-10 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Ole Miss79–85
- L@ Oklahoma79–91
- Wvs Kentucky75–74
- L@ Mississippi St85–91
- L@ Arkansas75–88
3 days since their last game.