Neville Arena · at Auburn · Conference game
Closing line
AUB -10.5✓ MISS covered by 16.5
AUB -10.5✓ MISS covered by 16.5Closing total153.5Over by 10.5
 MISS | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 11-17 | Record | 15-13 |
| 9-19 | ATS | 12-16 |
| 17-11 | O/U | 16-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 73–83 AUB · ✗ AUB (83%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 38 | 47 | 85 |
| AUB | 37 | 42 | 79 |
1st half: MISS 38, AUB 37 (MISS by 1). The model had AUB by 6.3 and a total of 73.0 (actual 75).
Team stats
| MISS | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-58 53% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 27 8 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 8 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patton Pinkins G | 38 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 8-10 | 4-5 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 31 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Malik Dia F | 20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| James Scott F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 32 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 9-15 | 2-6 |
| Koren Johnson G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Zach Day G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Travis Perry G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Kezza Giffa, Augusto Cassia, Tylis Jordan
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 33 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 10-16 | 2-6 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 33 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 32 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Kevin Overton G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Filip Jovic C | 23 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 23 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Drake Cardwell, Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Kaden Magwood, Joah Shay, Simon Walker, Reed Trapp, CJ Williams
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAUB -10.5
ModelAUB -10.8
Model edgeAUB +0.3
L MISS covered
Total
Market153.5
Model156.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
MISS 72.7 · AUB 83.4
MISS 85 · AUB 79
Win probability
AUB 83%
1st half
Spread
AUB -6.3
MISS -1.0
Total
73.0
75 points
Projected score
MISS 33.3 · AUB 39.6
MISS 38 · AUB 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -10.5
no move
CloseAUB -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MISS +470 · AUB -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -10.5 · unchangedmodel AUB -11
model AUB -11
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 0-10 0% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| AUB | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MISS 0–10 AUBAUB leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · AUB has won the last 10 meetings · MISS 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025-26 | AUB 78 @ MISS 66 | MISS +3.5 | AUB W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | MISS 57 vs AUB 62 | AUB -12.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | MISS 76 @ AUB 106 | AUB -12.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | AUB 92 @ MISS 82 | MISS +4.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | AUB 91 @ MISS 77 | MISS +3.5 | AUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
9-19
32% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs MIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vsAUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ TEX | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vs ALA | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsMSST | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @ TA&M | L 77-80 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | vs FLA | L 75-94 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | vs LSU | L 99-106 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
−1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
−12.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
−15.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
+6.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
−5.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
−9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 19avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
+1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
+2.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
+21.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
−0.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
+16.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
+57.5
over 17under 11avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
28 games played
Straight up
15-13
54% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vsSJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vsNCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vsTA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vsARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs SC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @FLA | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vsTEX | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @TENN | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vsALA | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 10 | vsVAN | L 76-84 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ARK | L 75-88 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @MSST | L 85-91 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vsUK | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @OU | L 79-91 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
+20.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
−0.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−2.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
−6.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−11.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−5.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
−11.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−2.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
−15.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
−16.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
+15.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
+12.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−1.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−2.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
+20.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−4.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
+12.5
over 16under 12avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
11-17 overall · 3-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs LSU99–106
- Lvs Florida75–94
- L@ Texas A&M77–80
- Lvs Mississippi St78–90
- Lvs Alabama74–93
3 days since their last game.
Auburn
15-13 overall · 6-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma79–91
- Wvs Kentucky75–74
- L@ Mississippi St85–91
- L@ Arkansas75–88
- Lvs Vanderbilt76–84
4 days since their last game.