1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 6
  3. MUR vs GT
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 6

Murray State Racers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site
#132MURMurray St
vs
#94GTGeorgia Tech
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MURThis seasonGT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GT 82–78 · win probability GT 66%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 159.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

MUR 2, GT 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
GTBig
GT offense vs MUR defense
Offense 71st of 366 against a defense 197th, on the model’s ratings
MURSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: MUR 38.6, GT 33.3. Allowed: MUR 32.2, GT 34.2
GTSmall
Three-pointers
MUR hits 35.0% and allows 36.2%; GT hits 35.1% and allows 33.1%. Threes are 44.8% and 33.1% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
MUR has played the 165th-hardest schedule, GT the 78th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MURSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MUR 16.4%, GT 18.6%. Forced: MUR 15.7%, GT 15.6%
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MUR 32.6%, GT 29.9%. Defensive: MUR 68.7%, GT 69.3%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MUR 28%, GT 16%. Transfers in: MUR 4, GT 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
MUR offense vs GT defense
Offense 110th of 366 against a defense 123rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MUR 53.8 and allows 52.4; GT 50.0 and allows 49.9
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: MUR plays 72.3 a game (30th fastest), GT 71.9 (38th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—GT -4.6—
Total—159.6—
Projected score—MUR 77.5 · GT 82.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadGT -2.6—
1H total74.6—
1H projected scoreMUR 36 · GT 38.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Georgia Tech has the better starters

Position by position: Murray St 0, Georgia Tech 2, even 3
Murray StBetterGeorgia Tech
G C. Jones TR10 pts · 3 reb · 3.1 ast Score 61
GTSmall
G N. Whitlock TR20.4 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.3 ast Score 87
G R. Domon14.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.6 ast Score 95
Even
G C. Garland TR20.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.6 ast Score 98
G M. Courbon4.6 pts · 2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 31
Even
G K. Craft7.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 43
F S. Tupuola TR6.3 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 55
GTSmall
F V. Valdes TR14.9 pts · 4 reb · 4.5 ast Score 74
F B. Rogers TR6.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 67
No call
F J. Fields TR4.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Not ranked
Murray StBetterGeorgia Tech
MUR offense110th of 366 · -1.8
Even
GT defense123rd of 366 · -2.1
MUR defense197th of 366 · -4.8
GTSmall
GT offense71st of 366 · +1.7
Backcourt+2.2 · 3 players
GTBig
Backcourt+7.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+0.4 · 2 players
GTSmall
Frontcourt+2.6 · 2 players
Bench-1.0 · 2 players
Even
Bench-1.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestMUR betterGT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Murray St
Guards
C. Jones26 min · TRR. Domon25 minM. Courbon16 minB. Shorter15 minK. Magwood11 min · TRB. ShtolzbergNew
Forwards
S. Tupuola25 min · TRB. Rogers18 min · TRP. NikolicNewJ. BoulefaaNew
Georgia Tech
Guards
N. Whitlock35 min · TRC. Garland35 min · TRK. Craft21 minC. Muldrew14 min · TRK. BaileyNewK. AllenNew
Forwards
V. Valdes30 min · TRJ. Fields14 min · TRT. JordanNewM. DiopNewI. KurucsNew
Centers
C. Kirouac12 minJ. McVeyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MURGT
Scoring
83.1 #26Points per game73.8 #208
1.15 #56Points per possession1.03 #292
72.3 #30Pace (possessions)71.9 #38
Shooting
53.8 #70Effective FG%50.0 #234
35.0 #1203-point %35.1 #109
44.8 #723-point attempt rate33.1 #313
38.6 #86Free throw rate33.3 #229
Possessions
16.4 #160Turnover rate18.6 #306
32.6 #100Offensive rebound rate29.9 #203
13.7 #165Assists per game15.8 #55
Defense
80.2 #323Points allowed77.4 #247
1.11 #233Points allowed per possession1.08 #148
52.4 #236Opponent effective FG%49.9 #94
36.2 #310Opponent 3-point %33.1 #134
15.7 #234Turnovers forced15.6 #244
68.7 #214Defensive rebound rate69.3 #189
5.9 #248Steals per game6.1 #229
4.1 #69Blocks per game3.9 #80
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Murray St

20-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Nevada75–89
  • Lvs UIC79–92
  • L@ Bradley78–87
  • Wvs Evansville88–75
  • L@ Illinois St61–78

A week or more of rest.

Georgia Tech

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 2-16 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Clemson76–79
  • Lvs California65–76
  • Lvs Florida St71–80
  • L@ Louisville70–87
  • Lvs Virginia68–94

A week or more of rest.