1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 7
  3. PRST @ SEA
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 7

Portland State Vikings at Seattle U Redhawks

Redhawk Center · at Seattle U
#274PRSTPortland St
@
#119SEASeattle U
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PRSTThis seasonSEA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SEA 76–64 · win probability SEA 86%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 139.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SEA has more of the edges

PRST 1, SEA 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
PRST has played the 322nd-hardest schedule, SEA the 114th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SEABig
PRST offense vs SEA defense
Offense 284th of 366 against a defense 76th, on the model’s ratings
PRSTBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PRST 30.0%, SEA 23.7%. Defensive: PRST 73.6%, SEA 68.2%
SEASmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PRST 6%, SEA 50%. Transfers in: PRST 4, SEA 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SEASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: PRST 37.1, SEA 34.2. Allowed: PRST 42.8, SEA 33.0
SEASmall
SEA offense vs PRST defense
Offense 183rd of 366 against a defense 244th, on the model’s ratings
SEASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PRST 16.9%, SEA 16.7%. Forced: PRST 18.0%, SEA 21.2%
SEASmall
Home court
SEA at home. This season: SEA 0-0 at home, PRST 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
PRST hits 32.6% and allows 32.3%; SEA hits 33.7% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 34.4% and 39.4% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: PRST plays 69.6 a game (140th fastest), SEA 69.1 (175th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: PRST 50.5 and allows 48.8; SEA 49.8 and allows 48.4
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SEA -12.4—
Total—139.4—
Projected score—PRST 63.5 · SEA 75.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSEA -7.3—
1H total65.3—
1H projected scorePRST 29 · SEA 36.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Seattle U has the better starters

Position by position: Portland St 0, Seattle U 2, even 3
Portland StBetterSeattle U
G E. Skytt TR3.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 26
SEABig
G T. Boston TR14.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.7 ast Score 76
G K. Johnson TR1.8 pts · 0.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 39
Even
G M. Arington4.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast Score 41
G C. Ness0.6 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Yeo12.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 45
F B. Barron0.7 pts · 1.1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F W. Heimbrodt12.7 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.3 ast Score 72
C K. Ibekwe TR3.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 34
SEASmall
F T. Thrastarson TR9.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54
Portland StBetterSeattle U
PRST offense284th of 366 · -8.8
SEABig
SEA defense76th of 366 · +0.6
PRST defense244th of 366 · -6.4
SEASmall
SEA offense183rd of 366 · -5.7
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
SEASmall
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 2 players
SEASmall
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
Bench-0.3 · 2 players
Even
Bench+0.1 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestPRST betterSEA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Portland St
Guards
E. Skytt12 min · TRK. Johnson10 min · TRC. Ness4 minN. PollardNewT. FrankNewD. JohnsonNew
Forwards
B. Barron4 minC. Chukwu3 minL. Kearney3 min · TRJ. RandolphNewA. PusateriNewF. CoratoNew
Centers
K. Ibekwe9 min · TR
Seattle U
Guards
T. Boston33 min · TRM. Arington31 minK. HansenNewM. WilliamsNewJ. WhiteNewJ. HarshmanNew
Forwards
J. Yeo32 minW. Heimbrodt32 minT. Thrastarson23 min · TRY. Kawashima3 minR. Adams2 min
Centers
H. Dzellat8 min · TRL. CoulibalyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PRSTSEA
Scoring
73.9 #199Points per game70.1 #283
1.06 #220Points per possession1.01 #312
69.6 #140Pace (possessions)69.1 #175
Shooting
50.5 #211Effective FG%49.8 #249
32.6 #2503-point %33.7 #186
34.4 #2873-point attempt rate39.4 #185
37.1 #126Free throw rate34.2 #201
Possessions
16.9 #200Turnover rate16.7 #178
30.0 #199Offensive rebound rate23.7 #347
13.4 #186Assists per game13.2 #201
Defense
71.2 #80Points allowed68.2 #34
1.02 #45Points allowed per possession0.99 #20
48.8 #56Opponent effective FG%48.4 #46
32.3 #77Opponent 3-point %32.1 #69
18.0 #94Turnovers forced21.2 #9
73.6 #23Defensive rebound rate68.2 #249
7.2 #104Steals per game7.8 #52
3.8 #108Blocks per game4.9 #20
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Portland St

17-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Montana72–75
  • Wvs Idaho St85–78
  • Wvs Weber St84–60
  • L@ Montana68–74
  • L@ Montana St69–84

A week or more of rest.

Seattle U

19-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Auburn85–91
  • Wvs St Thomas67–52
  • Lvs Pacific58–61
  • Wvs San Diego58–56
  • W@ LMU71–66

A week or more of rest.