Delta Center · Neutral site
#33OSUOhio State
vs
#24BYUBYU AP #25
LineBYU -3.5moved 1 toward BYU
Total160.5up 1 from 159.5
Season records: Ohio State and BYU
OSUThis seasonBYU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BYU 79–77 · win probability BYU 55%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
BYU -3.5
moved 1 toward BYU
Total
160.5
model 156.3 · Under by 4
Model edge
OSU by 2
model vs market
Public on the spread
76% OSU
74% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: OSU has more of the edges

OSU 2, BYU 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
OSUBig
Three-pointers
OSU hits 35.7% and allows 31.9%; BYU hits 34.5% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 40.1% and 39.8% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: OSU plays 67.2 a game (275th fastest), BYU 70.6 (90th). Faster games mean more points
BYUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: OSU 30.4%, BYU 34.3%. Defensive: OSU 70.0%, BYU 70.3%
OSUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: OSU 56.2 and allows 50.2; BYU 54.4 and allows 51.2
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: OSU 15.3%, BYU 15.2%. Forced: OSU 15.6%, BYU 16.4%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: OSU 37.2, BYU 34.4. Allowed: OSU 34.7, BYU 28.9
Context
Schedule so far
OSU has played the 33rd-hardest schedule, BYU the 14th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
BYU offense vs OSU defense
Offense 24th of 366 against a defense 35th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: OSU 37%, BYU 35%. Transfers in: OSU 4, BYU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
OSU offense vs BYU defense
Offense 36th of 366 against a defense 33rd, on the model’s ratings

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Neutral-site favorites of 3 to 6.592866%50%47%
Non-conference games at this spread173667%50%49%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite676375%50%51%
Games with a total of 160 to 164.578778%50%54%

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward BYU
Total
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
OSU +135 · BYU -160
Line movement
Median of 7 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened BYU -2.5 · now BYU -3.5 · moved 1 toward BYUmodel BYU -1.5
Opened 159.5 · now 160.5 · moved 1 upmodel 156.5
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
OSU +3.5SpreadBYU -3.5
Bets
Money
Over 160.5TotalUnder 160.5
Bets
Money
OSUWinnerBYU
Bets
Money
Money is 32 pts ahead of bets on OSU

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
OSUBYUOverUnderOSUBYU
BetMGMMGM——160.5-105160.5-115+135-160
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-3.5-105+3.5-115160.5-105160.5-115——
BetRiversBetRivers-3.5-114+3.5-109160.5-110160.5-113+125-155
BetUSBetUS-3.5-105+3.5-115160.5-105160.5-115——
BovadaBovada-3.5-115+3.5-105160-110160-110+135-160
DraftKingsDK-3.5-110+3.5-110160.5-105160.5-115+136-162
FanDuelFD-3.5-110+3.5-110160.5-110160.5-110+136-164
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-3.5-101+3.5-111160.5-103160.5-113——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadBYU -3.5BYU -1.4OSU +2.1
Total160.5156.3Under 4.2
Projected score—OSU 77.4 · BYU 78.9

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadBYU -0.7—
1H total73.0—
1H projected scoreOSU 36.2 · BYU 36.9—

Ohio State has the better starters

Position by position: Ohio State 1, BYU 0, even 4
Ohio StateBetterBYU
G J. Mobley15.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.8 ast Score 93
Even
G R. Wright18.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 97
G J. Pippen TR13.9 pts · 4 reb · 4.6 ast Score 90
Even
G C. Chandler TR9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.3 ast Score 84
G J. Williams TR14.9 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 92
Even
F J. Kohler TR12.5 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 96
G C. Givens TR9.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 65
OSUSmall
F J. Wahlin TR5.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44
F A. Bynum9.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73
No call
F D. Baker7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
Ohio StateBetterBYU
OSU offense36th of 366 · +5.2
Even
BYU defense33rd of 366 · +3.5
OSU defense35th of 366 · +3.3
Even
BYU offense24th of 366 · +7.2
Backcourt+9.1 · 4 players
OSUSmall
Backcourt+6.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player
BYUBig
Frontcourt+4.5 · 3 players
Bench+1.0 · 3 players
OSUSmall
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestOSU betterBYU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Ohio State
Guards
J. Mobley32 minJ. Pippen31 min · TRJ. Williams30 min · TRC. Givens26 min · TRB. Nash2 minM. HerroNew
Forwards
A. Bynum29 minA. Jelavic16 min · TRJ. OjianwunaNewA. ThompsonNewA. SmithNewV. LazarevicNew
Centers
I. Njegovan11 min
BYU
Guards
R. Wright35 minC. Chandler27 min · TRN. PickensNew
Forwards
J. Kohler28 min · TRJ. Wahlin21 min · TRD. Baker20 minT. Betsey18 min · TRK. Mboup16 minB. KozlowskiNew
Centers
A. Stewart1 min · TRP. OstojicNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
OSUBYU
Scoring
79.3 #76Points per game83.5 #22
1.18 #31Points per possession1.18 #32
67.2 #275Pace (possessions)70.6 #90
Shooting
56.2 #19Effective FG%54.4 #54
35.7 #723-point %34.5 #145
40.1 #1703-point attempt rate39.8 #177
37.2 #122Free throw rate34.4 #198
Possessions
15.3 #91Turnover rate15.2 #78
30.4 #185Offensive rebound rate34.3 #61
14.5 #117Assists per game13.3 #192
Defense
72.6 #120Points allowed75.4 #202
1.08 #164Points allowed per possession1.07 #133
50.2 #114Opponent effective FG%51.2 #174
31.9 #57Opponent 3-point %35.3 #269
15.6 #243Turnovers forced16.4 #194
70.0 #160Defensive rebound rate70.3 #145
4.8 #340Steals per game7.2 #109
2.4 #311Blocks per game4.4 #40

Ohio State

21-13 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs TCU64–66
  • Lvs Michigan67–71
  • Wvs Iowa72–69
  • Wvs Indiana91–78
  • W@ Penn State94–62

A week or more of rest.

BYU

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas71–79
  • Lvs Houston66–73
  • Wvs West Virginia68–48
  • Wvs Kansas St105–91
  • Wvs Texas Tech82–76

A week or more of rest.