1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 9
  3. MRSH @ OSU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 9

Marshall Thundering Herd at Ohio State Buckeyes

Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State
#230MRSHMarshall
@
#33OSUOhio State
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MRSHThis seasonOSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OSU 90–64 · win probability OSU 99%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 153.7
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: OSU has more of the edges

MRSH 0, OSU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
OSUBig
OSU offense vs MRSH defense
Offense 36th of 366 against a defense 277th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
MRSH has played the 234th-hardest schedule, OSU the 33rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
OSUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: MRSH 29.2, OSU 37.2. Allowed: MRSH 41.1, OSU 34.7
OSUBig
MRSH offense vs OSU defense
Offense 198th of 366 against a defense 35th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: MRSH plays 70.7 a game (86th fastest), OSU 67.2 (275th). Faster games mean more points
OSUSmall
Home court
OSU at home. This season: OSU 0-0 at home, MRSH 0-0 away
OSUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MRSH 31.9%, OSU 30.4%. Defensive: MRSH 66.2%, OSU 70.0%
Even
Three-pointers
MRSH hits 36.8% and allows 33.6%; OSU hits 35.7% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 44.3% and 40.1% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MRSH 16.6%, OSU 15.3%. Forced: MRSH 16.2%, OSU 15.6%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MRSH 27%, OSU 37%. Transfers in: MRSH 7, OSU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MRSH 54.8 and allows 50.3; OSU 56.2 and allows 50.2
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—OSU -25.4—
Total—153.7—
Projected score—MRSH 64.1 · OSU 89.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadOSU -15.0—
1H total71.8—
1H projected scoreMRSH 28.4 · OSU 43.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Ohio State has the better starters

Position by position: Marshall 0, Ohio State 5, even 0
MarshallBetterOhio State
G N. Otshudi14.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.5 ast Score 45
OSUBig
G J. Mobley15.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.8 ast Score 93
G F. Oshodi TR8.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 47
OSUBig
G J. Pippen TR13.9 pts · 4 reb · 4.6 ast Score 90
G L. Rasmussen TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 15
OSUBig
G J. Williams TR14.9 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 92
G D. Johnson TR2.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.2 ast Score 17
OSUBig
G C. Givens TR9.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 65
F E. Harding3.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11
OSUBig
F A. Bynum9.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73
MarshallBetterOhio State
MRSH offense198th of 366 · -6.1
OSUBig
OSU defense35th of 366 · +3.3
MRSH defense277th of 366 · -7.0
OSUBig
OSU offense36th of 366 · +5.2
Backcourt-4.7 · 4 players
OSUBig
Backcourt+9.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.5 · 1 player
OSUSmall
Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player
Bench-1.4 · 5 players
OSUSmall
Bench+1.0 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestMRSH betterOSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Marshall
Guards
N. Otshudi32 minF. Oshodi20 min · TRL. Rasmussen15 min · TRD. Johnson15 min · TRB. Slay8 minE. Manyuon2 min · TR
Forwards
E. Harding14 minC. Langdon3 min · TRV. Kuridza2 min · TRB. DjigoNew
Centers
K. Maker6 min · TR
Ohio State
Guards
J. Mobley32 minJ. Pippen31 min · TRJ. Williams30 min · TRC. Givens26 min · TRB. Nash2 minM. HerroNew
Forwards
A. Bynum29 minA. Jelavic16 min · TRJ. OjianwunaNewA. ThompsonNewA. SmithNewV. LazarevicNew
Centers
I. Njegovan11 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MRSHOSU
Scoring
80.5 #56Points per game79.3 #76
1.14 #71Points per possession1.18 #31
70.7 #86Pace (possessions)67.2 #275
Shooting
54.8 #42Effective FG%56.2 #19
36.8 #343-point %35.7 #72
44.3 #823-point attempt rate40.1 #170
29.2 #328Free throw rate37.2 #122
Possessions
16.6 #172Turnover rate15.3 #91
31.9 #127Offensive rebound rate30.4 #185
16.2 #43Assists per game14.5 #117
Defense
78.9 #292Points allowed72.6 #120
1.11 #253Points allowed per possession1.08 #164
50.3 #118Opponent effective FG%50.2 #114
33.6 #162Opponent 3-point %31.9 #57
16.2 #206Turnovers forced15.6 #243
66.2 #316Defensive rebound rate70.0 #160
6.1 #225Steals per game4.8 #340
4.8 #23Blocks per game2.4 #311
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Marshall

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs GA Southern78–82
  • Lvs GA Southern82–99
  • Wvs Old Dominion97–88
  • L@ Coastal75–79
  • W@ App State94–93

A week or more of rest.

Ohio State

21-13 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs TCU64–66
  • Lvs Michigan67–71
  • Wvs Iowa72–69
  • Wvs Indiana91–78
  • W@ Penn State94–62

A week or more of rest.