Prairie View A&M Panthers at Ohio State Buckeyes: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 16, 12:00 AM ETSchottenstein Center · at Ohio State

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Prairie View and Ohio State
PV	This season	OSU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OSU 93–60 · win probability OSU 100%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 152.9

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: OSU has more of the edges

PV 1, OSU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

OSUBig

OSU offense vs PV defense

Offense 36th of 366 against a defense 359th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

PV has played the 331st-hardest schedule, OSU the 33rd. A record against a soft schedule means less

OSUBig

PV offense vs OSU defense

Offense 310th of 366 against a defense 35th, on the model’s ratings

OSUBig

Three-pointers

PV hits 32.9% and allows 35.0%; OSU hits 35.7% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 30.6% and 40.1% of their shots

OSUBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: PV 47.4 and allows 50.9; OSU 56.2 and allows 50.2

OSUBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: PV 26.7%, OSU 30.4%. Defensive: PV 64.6%, OSU 70.0%

Context

Tempo

About 70 possessions: PV plays 72.7 a game (20th fastest), OSU 67.2 (275th). Faster games mean more points

PVSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: PV 15.8%, OSU 15.3%. Forced: PV 19.0%, OSU 15.6%

OSUSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: PV 6%, OSU 37%. Transfers in: PV 5, OSU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

OSUSmall

Home court

OSU at home. This season: OSU 0-0 at home, PV 0-0 away

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: PV 41.6, OSU 37.2. Allowed: PV 42.6, OSU 34.7

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	OSU -32.1	—
Total	—	152.9	—
Projected score	—	PV 60.4 · OSU 92.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	OSU -19.0	—
1H total	71.5	—
1H projected score	PV 26.3 · OSU 45.2	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PV WWWWL	23-10	70%	11-5	—
OSU WWWWL	18-16	53%	8-9	—

Venue/role: PV away; OSU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
PV UUUUO	13-20	39%	15-18
OSU OOOUU	16-18	47%	21-13

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PV	8-2 80%	9-1 90%	2-8 20%
OSU	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Prairie View

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 25	@ MRSH	No recent meeting
Nov 28	@ IOWA	No recent meeting
Dec 9	@ PEPP	No recent meeting

Ohio State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 19	vs UMBC	No recent meeting
Nov 24	vs VAN	No recent meeting
Nov 29	vs LIP	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Prairie View

33 games played

Straight up

15-18

45% wins

Against the spread

23-10

70% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-20

39% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1845%

L L L L W L L L L L W W W L L L L W L L L W W L W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

23-1070%

L W W W L W L W W W W L W L L L L W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-2039%

O U U U O U O O O U O U U U U O U O O O O U U O U U U U U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@WICH	L 62-105	+20.5	L −22.5	156.5	O 167
Nov 12	@OKST	L 67-94	+30.5	W +3.5	168.5	U 161
Nov 17	@MIZ	L 73-91	+35.5	W +17.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 22	vsUTM	L 68-69	+10.5	W +9.5	155.5	U 137
Nov 23	vsUNF	W 85-82	-3.5	L −0.5	160.5	O 167
Nov 30	@UNT	L 69-72	+16.5	W +13.5	141.5	U 141
Dec 13	@SDAK	L 85-97	+6.5	L −5.5	168.5	O 182
Dec 22	@LSU	L 90-104	+29.5	W +15.5	161.5	O 194
Dec 29	@TA&M	L 82-111	+29.5	W +0.5	177.5	O 193
Jan 3	@GRAM	L 72-76	+7.5	W +3.5	155.5	U 148
Jan 5	@SOU	W 89-85	+7.5	W +11.5	160.5	O 174
Jan 10	vsMVSU	W 70-69	-18.5	L −17.5	152.5	U 139
Jan 12	vsUAPB	W 73-61	-3.5	W +8.5	164.5	U 134
Jan 17	@JKST	L 78-82	+1.5	L −2.5	160.5	U 160
Jan 19	@ALCN	L 75-76	-2.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 151
Jan 24	vsALST	L 80-95	+1.5	L −13.5	158.5	O 175
Jan 27	vsAAMU	L 60-80	-2.5	L −22.5	152.5	U 140
Jan 31	vsTXSO	W 85-78	+1.5	W +8.5	157.5	O 163
Feb 7	@BCU	L 76-82	+10.5	W +4.5	157.5	O 158
Feb 9	@FAMU	L 96-100	+3.5	L −0.5	149.5	O 196
Feb 14	vsSOU	L 82-87	+5.5	W +0.5	159.5	O 169
Feb 16	vsGRAM	W 68-63	+1.5	W +6.5	151.5	U 131
Feb 19	@MVSU	W 72-62	-8.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 134
Feb 21	@UAPB	L 82-84	+3.5	W +1.5	159.5	O 166
Feb 26	vsJKST	W 85-76	-3.5	W +5.5	161.5	U 161
Feb 28	vsALCN	W 72-51	-4.5	W +16.5	150.5	U 123
Mar 5	@TXSO	W 70-59	+1.5	W +12.5	154.5	U 129
Mar 10	vsALCN	W 65-56	-6.5	W +2.5	142.5	U 121
Mar 11	vsBCU	W 71-67	+5.5	W +9.5	147.5	U 138
Mar 13	vsAAMU	W 74-55	+1.5	W +20.5	140.5	U 129
Mar 14	vsSOU	W 72-66	+3.5	W +9.5	145.5	U 138
Mar 18	vsLEH	W 67-55	+3.5	W +15.5	140.5	U 122
Mar 20	vsFLA	L 55-114	+35.5	L −23.5	154.5	O 169

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

−22.5

OKST

L 67-94

+3.5

MIZ

L 73-91

+17.5

UTM

L 68-69

+9.5

UNF

W 85-82

−0.5

UNT

L 69-72

+13.5

SDAK

L 85-97

−5.5

LSU

L 90-104

+15.5

TA&M

L 82-111

+0.5

GRAM

L 72-76

+3.5

SOU

W 89-85

+11.5

MVSU

W 70-69

−17.5

UAPB

W 73-61

+8.5

JKST

L 78-82

−2.5

ALCN

L 75-76

−3.5

ALST

L 80-95

−13.5

AAMU

L 60-80

−22.5

TXSO

W 85-78

+8.5

BCU

L 76-82

+4.5

FAMU

L 96-100

−0.5

SOU

L 82-87

+0.5

GRAM

W 68-63

+6.5

MVSU

W 72-62

+1.5

UAPB

L 82-84

+1.5

JKST

W 85-76

+5.5

ALCN

W 72-51

+16.5

TXSO

W 70-59

+12.5

ALCN

W 65-56

+2.5

BCU

W 71-67

+9.5

AAMU

W 74-55

+20.5

SOU

W 72-66

+9.5

LEH

W 67-55

+15.5

FLA

L 55-114

−23.5

covered 23didn’t cover 10avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

+10.5

OKST

L 67-94

−7.5

MIZ

L 73-91

−2.5

UTM

L 68-69

−18.5

UNF

W 85-82

+6.5

UNT

L 69-72

−0.5

SDAK

L 85-97

+13.5

LSU

L 90-104

+32.5

TA&M

L 82-111

+15.5

GRAM

L 72-76

−7.5

SOU

W 89-85

+13.5

MVSU

W 70-69

−13.5

UAPB

W 73-61

−30.5

JKST

L 78-82

−0.5

ALCN

L 75-76

−1.5

ALST

L 80-95

+16.5

AAMU

L 60-80

−12.5

TXSO

W 85-78

+5.5

BCU

L 76-82

+0.5

FAMU

L 96-100

+46.5

SOU

L 82-87

+9.5

GRAM

W 68-63

−20.5

MVSU

W 72-62

−19.5

UAPB

L 82-84

+6.5

JKST

W 85-76

−0.5

ALCN

W 72-51

−27.5

TXSO

W 70-59

−25.5

ALCN

W 65-56

−21.5

BCU

W 71-67

−9.5

AAMU

W 74-55

−11.5

SOU

W 72-66

−7.5

LEH

W 67-55

−18.5

FLA

L 55-114

+14.5

over 13under 20avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Ohio State

34 games played

Straight up

21-13

62% wins

Against the spread

18-16

53% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-18

47% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total

Straight up

21-1362%

W W W W W W L W L W L W W L W L W W L W L W L W L W L L W W W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

18-1653%

L W L L W W L W L L W L L L W L W W W L L W L L W W W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

16-1847%

O O U U U O U O O O U U O U U U O O U O O U U O U U U U O O O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsIUIN	W 118-102	-33.5	L −17.5	172.5	O 220
Nov 7	vsPFW	W 94-68	-24.5	W +1.5	159.5	O 162
Nov 11	vsAPP	W 75-53	-23.5	L −1.5	147.5	U 128
Nov 16	vsND	W 64-63	-9.5	L −8.5	156.5	U 127
Nov 20	vsWMU	W 91-58	-26.5	W +6.5	159.5	U 149
Nov 25	vsMSM	W 113-60	-30.5	W +22.5	151.5	O 173
Nov 28	@PITT	L 66-67	-5.5	L −6.5	148.5	U 133
Dec 6	@NU	W 86-82	-1.5	W +2.5	155.5	O 168
Dec 9	vsILL	L 80-88	+3.5	L −4.5	162.5	O 168
Dec 13	vsWVU	W 89-88	-3.5	L −2.5	145.5	O 177
Dec 20	vsUNC	L 70-71	+2.5	W +1.5	157.5	U 141
Dec 23	vsGRAM	W 89-63	-28.5	L −2.5	153.5	U 152
Jan 2	@RUTG	W 80-73	-9.5	L −2.5	151.5	O 153
Jan 5	vsNEB	L 69-72	-2.5	L −5.5	155.5	U 141
Jan 8	@ORE	W 72-62	+1.5	W +11.5	152.5	U 134
Jan 11	@WASH	L 74-81	+1.5	L −5.5	155.5	U 155
Jan 17	vsUCLA	W 86-74	-4.5	W +7.5	146.5	O 160
Jan 20	vsMINN	W 82-74	-7.5	W +0.5	143.5	O 156
Jan 23	@MICH	L 62-74	+16.5	W +4.5	165.5	U 136
Jan 26	vsPSU	W 84-78	-11.5	L −5.5	153.5	O 162
Jan 31	@WIS	L 82-92	+4.5	L −5.5	155.5	O 174
Feb 5	@MD	W 82-62	-6.5	W +13.5	150.5	U 144
Feb 8	vsMICH	L 61-82	+8.5	L −12.5	161.5	U 143
Feb 11	vsUSC	W 89-82	-7.5	L −0.5	152.5	O 171
Feb 14	vsUVA	L 66-70	+5.5	W +1.5	146.5	U 136
Feb 17	vsWIS	W 86-69	-1.5	W +15.5	157.5	U 155
Feb 22	@MSU	L 60-66	+10.5	W +4.5	146.5	U 126
Feb 25	@IOWA	L 57-74	+6.5	L −10.5	141.5	U 131
Mar 1	vsPUR	W 82-74	+6.5	W +14.5	149.5	O 156
Mar 4	@PSU	W 94-62	-7.5	W +24.5	152.5	O 156
Mar 7	vsIU	W 91-78	-3.5	W +9.5	148.5	O 169
Mar 12	vsIOWA	W 72-69	+1.5	W +4.5	140.5	O 141
Mar 13	vsMICH	L 67-71	+12.5	W +8.5	155.5	U 138
Mar 19	vsTCU	L 64-66	-2.5	L −4.5	145.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

IUIN

W 118-102

−17.5

PFW

W 94-68

+1.5

APP

W 75-53

−1.5

W 64-63

−8.5

WMU

W 91-58

+6.5

MSM

W 113-60

+22.5

PITT

L 66-67

−6.5

W 86-82

+2.5

ILL

L 80-88

−4.5

WVU

W 89-88

−2.5

UNC

L 70-71

+1.5

GRAM

W 89-63

−2.5

RUTG

W 80-73

−2.5

NEB

L 69-72

−5.5

ORE

W 72-62

+11.5

WASH

L 74-81

−5.5

UCLA

W 86-74

+7.5

MINN

W 82-74

+0.5

MICH

L 62-74

+4.5

PSU

W 84-78

−5.5

WIS

L 82-92

−5.5

W 82-62

+13.5

MICH

L 61-82

−12.5

USC

W 89-82

−0.5

UVA

L 66-70

+1.5

WIS

W 86-69

+15.5

MSU

L 60-66

+4.5

IOWA

L 57-74

−10.5

PUR

W 82-74

+14.5

PSU

W 94-62

+24.5

W 91-78

+9.5

IOWA

W 72-69

+4.5

MICH

L 67-71

+8.5

TCU

L 64-66

−4.5

covered 18didn’t cover 16avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

IUIN

W 118-102

+47.5

PFW

W 94-68

+2.5

APP

W 75-53

−19.5

W 64-63

−29.5

WMU

W 91-58

−10.5

MSM

W 113-60

+21.5

PITT

L 66-67

−15.5

W 86-82

+12.5

ILL

L 80-88

+5.5

WVU

W 89-88

+31.5

UNC

L 70-71

−16.5

GRAM

W 89-63

−1.5

RUTG

W 80-73

+1.5

NEB

L 69-72

−14.5

ORE

W 72-62

−18.5

WASH

L 74-81

−0.5

UCLA

W 86-74

+13.5

MINN

W 82-74

+12.5

MICH

L 62-74

−29.5

PSU

W 84-78

+8.5

WIS

L 82-92

+18.5

W 82-62

−6.5

MICH

L 61-82

−18.5

USC

W 89-82

+18.5

UVA

L 66-70

−10.5

WIS

W 86-69

−2.5

MSU

L 60-66

−20.5

IOWA

L 57-74

−10.5

PUR

W 82-74

+6.5

PSU

W 94-62

+3.5

W 91-78

+20.5

IOWA

W 72-69

+0.5

MICH

L 67-71

−17.5

TCU

L 64-66

−15.5

over 16under 18avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Ohio State has the better starters

Position by position: Prairie View 0, Ohio State 3, even 2

Prairie ViewBetterOhio State

G D. Williams TR7.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 14

OSUBig

G J. Mobley15.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.8 ast Score 93

G M. Eley TR13 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 98

Even

G J. Pippen TR13.9 pts · 4 reb · 4.6 ast Score 90

G S. Tidor TR4.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 21

OSUBig

G J. Williams TR14.9 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 92

G E. Mitchell2.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7

OSUBig

G C. Givens TR9.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 65

F J. Wharton TR1.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked

No call

F A. Bynum9.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73

Prairie ViewBetterOhio State

PV offense310th of 366 · -9.7

OSUBig

OSU defense35th of 366 · +3.3

PV defense359th of 366 · -10.4

OSUBig

OSU offense36th of 366 · +5.2

Backcourt-2.4 · 4 players

OSUBig

Backcourt+9.1 · 4 players

Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player

OSUSmall

Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player

Bench+0.0 · 1 player

Even

Bench+1.0 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestPV betterOSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Prairie View

Guards

D. Williams26 min · TRM. Eley19 min · TRS. Tidor12 min · TRE. Mitchell12 minJ. LeeNewM. BellNew

Forwards

J. Wharton7 min · TRJ. Fazande1 min · TRE. PageNewD. BynumNewB. AjieroNew

Ohio State

Guards

J. Mobley32 minJ. Pippen31 min · TRJ. Williams30 min · TRC. Givens26 min · TRB. Nash2 minM. HerroNew

Forwards

A. Bynum29 minA. Jelavic16 min · TRJ. OjianwunaNewA. ThompsonNewA. SmithNewV. LazarevicNew

Centers

I. Njegovan11 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

PV74.8 #170

OSU79.3 #76

Points per possession

PV1.03 #286

OSU1.18 #31

Pace (possessions)

PV72.7 #20

OSU67.2 #275

Shooting

Effective FG%

PV47.4 #330

OSU56.2 #19

3-point %

PV32.9 #237

OSU35.7 #72

3-point attempt rate

PV30.6 #348

OSU40.1 #170

Free throw rate

PV41.6 #35

OSU37.2 #122

Possessions

Turnover rate

PV15.8 #122

OSU15.3 #91

Offensive rebound rate

PV26.7 #305

OSU30.4 #185

Assists per game

PV10.8 #341

OSU14.5 #117

Defense

Points allowed

PV78.9 #295

OSU72.6 #120

Points allowed per possession

PV1.08 #182

OSU1.08 #164

Opponent effective FG%

PV50.9 #149

OSU50.2 #114

Opponent 3-point %

PV35.0 #247

OSU31.9 #57

Turnovers forced

PV19.0 #49

OSU15.6 #243

Defensive rebound rate

PV64.6 #344

OSU70.0 #160

Steals per game

PV7.0 #127

OSU4.8 #340

Blocks per game

PV4.9 #19

OSU2.4 #311

PV		OSU
Scoring
74.8 #170	Points per game	79.3 #76
1.03 #286	Points per possession	1.18 #31
72.7 #20	Pace (possessions)	67.2 #275
Shooting
47.4 #330	Effective FG%	56.2 #19
32.9 #237	3-point %	35.7 #72
30.6 #348	3-point attempt rate	40.1 #170
41.6 #35	Free throw rate	37.2 #122
Possessions
15.8 #122	Turnover rate	15.3 #91
26.7 #305	Offensive rebound rate	30.4 #185
10.8 #341	Assists per game	14.5 #117
Defense
78.9 #295	Points allowed	72.6 #120
1.08 #182	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #164
50.9 #149	Opponent effective FG%	50.2 #114
35.0 #247	Opponent 3-point %	31.9 #57
19.0 #49	Turnovers forced	15.6 #243
64.6 #344	Defensive rebound rate	70.0 #160
7.0 #127	Steals per game	4.8 #340
4.9 #19	Blocks per game	2.4 #311

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Prairie View

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Florida55–114
Wvs Lehigh67–55
Wvs Southern72–66
Wvs Alabama A&M74–55
Wvs Bethune71–67

A week or more of rest.

Ohio State

21-13 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs TCU64–66
Lvs Michigan67–71
Wvs Iowa72–69
Wvs Indiana91–78
W@ Penn State94–62

A week or more of rest.

Prairie View A&M Panthers at Ohio State Buckeyes

What could decide it: OSU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Prairie View

Ohio State

Ohio State has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Prairie View

Ohio State