1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. OMA @ BYU
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

Omaha Mavericks at BYU Cougars

Marriott Center · at BYU
#279OMAOmaha
@
#24BYUBYU AP #25
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
OMAThis seasonBYU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BYU 92–63 · win probability BYU 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 154.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BYU has more of the edges

OMA 1, BYU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BYUBig
BYU offense vs OMA defense
Offense 24th of 366 against a defense 306th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
OMA has played the 287th-hardest schedule, BYU the 14th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BYUBig
OMA offense vs BYU defense
Offense 247th of 366 against a defense 33rd, on the model’s ratings
BYUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: OMA 25.5%, BYU 34.3%. Defensive: OMA 71.3%, BYU 70.3%
BYUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: OMA 16.1%, BYU 15.2%. Forced: OMA 14.1%, BYU 16.4%
BYUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: OMA 52.2 and allows 52.7; BYU 54.4 and allows 51.2
OMASmall
Three-pointers
OMA hits 34.0% and allows 32.9%; BYU hits 34.5% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 40.9% and 39.8% of their shots
BYUSmall
Home court
BYU at home. This season: BYU 0-0 at home, OMA 0-0 away
BYUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: OMA 34.5, BYU 34.4. Allowed: OMA 33.6, BYU 28.9
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: OMA plays 68.9 a game (184th fastest), BYU 70.6 (90th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: OMA 23%, BYU 35%. Transfers in: OMA 4, BYU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BYU -29.0—
Total—154.9—
Projected score—OMA 63 · BYU 92

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBYU -17.1—
1H total72.4—
1H projected scoreOMA 27.6 · BYU 44.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

BYU has the better starters

Position by position: Omaha 0, BYU 2, even 3
OmahaBetterBYU
G G. Stubblefield9.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 64
BYUSmall
G R. Wright18.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 97
G C. Crosby TR2.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast Score 24
BYUBig
G C. Chandler TR9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.3 ast Score 84
G A. Skradis0.4 pts · 0.3 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Kohler TR12.5 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 96
F C. Dockery TR7.3 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 41
Even
F J. Wahlin TR5.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44
F B. Scholl3.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 26
No call
F D. Baker7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
OmahaBetterBYU
OMA offense247th of 366 · -7.5
BYUBig
BYU defense33rd of 366 · +3.5
OMA defense306th of 366 · -7.8
BYUBig
BYU offense24th of 366 · +7.2
Backcourt-0.7 · 3 players
BYUBig
Backcourt+6.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
BYUBig
Frontcourt+4.5 · 3 players
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
Even
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestOMA betterBYU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Omaha
Guards
G. Stubblefield29 minC. Crosby9 min · TRA. Skradis2 minD. Thompson1 min · TRB. OrgilboldNewC. CurtisNew
Forwards
C. Dockery22 min · TRB. Scholl14 minJ. Bolis2 min · TRD. PleasantNewE. SheatsNewG. BakerNew
Centers
I. OndekaneNewH. BukingaNew
BYU
Guards
R. Wright35 minC. Chandler27 min · TRN. PickensNew
Forwards
J. Kohler28 min · TRJ. Wahlin21 min · TRD. Baker20 minT. Betsey18 min · TRK. Mboup16 minB. KozlowskiNew
Centers
A. Stewart1 min · TRP. OstojicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
OMABYU
Scoring
73.9 #202Points per game83.5 #22
1.07 #201Points per possession1.18 #32
68.9 #184Pace (possessions)70.6 #90
Shooting
52.2 #139Effective FG%54.4 #54
34.0 #1693-point %34.5 #145
40.9 #1503-point attempt rate39.8 #177
34.5 #196Free throw rate34.4 #198
Possessions
16.1 #146Turnover rate15.2 #78
25.5 #331Offensive rebound rate34.3 #61
12.1 #276Assists per game13.3 #192
Defense
77.7 #259Points allowed75.4 #202
1.13 #278Points allowed per possession1.07 #133
52.7 #258Opponent effective FG%51.2 #174
32.9 #114Opponent 3-point %35.3 #269
14.1 #333Turnovers forced16.4 #194
71.3 #90Defensive rebound rate70.3 #145
5.7 #277Steals per game7.2 #109
3.0 #234Blocks per game4.4 #40
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Omaha

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St50–74
  • Wvs South Dakota76–62
  • L@ St Thomas53–68
  • L@ South Dakota72–89
  • Wvs Oral Roberts80–71

A week or more of rest.

BYU

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas71–79
  • Lvs Houston66–73
  • Wvs West Virginia68–48
  • Wvs Kansas St105–91
  • Wvs Texas Tech82–76

A week or more of rest.