Queens University Royals at BYU Cougars: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 PM ETMarriott Center · at BYU

#24BYUBYU AP #25

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Queens University Royals and BYU
QUC	This season	BYU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BYU 94–71 · win probability BYU 98%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 164.4

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BYU has more of the edges

QUC 0, BYU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

BYUBig

BYU offense vs QUC defense

Offense 24th of 366 against a defense 331st, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

QUC has played the 194th-hardest schedule, BYU the 14th. A record against a soft schedule means less

BYUBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: QUC 30.2%, BYU 34.3%. Defensive: QUC 66.4%, BYU 70.3%

BYUSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: QUC 35.4, BYU 34.4. Allowed: QUC 38.1, BYU 28.9

BYUSmall

QUC offense vs BYU defense

Offense 102nd of 366 against a defense 33rd, on the model’s ratings

BYUSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: QUC 0%, BYU 35%. Transfers in: QUC 0, BYU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

BYUSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: QUC 56.4 and allows 54.6; BYU 54.4 and allows 51.2

BYUSmall

Home court

BYU at home. This season: BYU 0-0 at home, QUC 0-0 away

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: QUC 14.8%, BYU 15.2%. Forced: QUC 15.1%, BYU 16.4%

Context

Tempo

About 71 possessions: QUC plays 71.2 a game (65th fastest), BYU 70.6 (90th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Three-pointers

QUC hits 35.7% and allows 36.5%; BYU hits 34.5% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 46.5% and 39.8% of their shots

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	BYU -22.8	—
Total	—	164.4	—
Projected score	—	QUC 70.8 · BYU 93.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	BYU -13.4	—
1H total	76.8	—
1H projected score	QUC 31.7 · BYU 45.1	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
QUC LLWWL	15-19	44%	5-11	—
BYU WWWWL	16-19	46%	8-9	—

Venue/role: QUC away; BYU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
QUC UUOOO	22-12	65%	20-14
BYU UOUUU	18-17	51%	23-12

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
QUC	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	8-2 80%
BYU	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Queens University Royals

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs WOF	No recent meeting
Nov 21	@ LSU	No recent meeting
Nov 24	@ WOF	No recent meeting

BYU

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 12	vs MTST	No recent meeting
Nov 18	vs UNCO	No recent meeting
Nov 23	vs WASH	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

QUC 0–1 BYUBYU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · QUC 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 13, 2024-25	QUC 55 @ BYU 99	BYU -31.5	BYU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Queens University Royals

34 games played

Straight up

20-14

59% wins

Against the spread

15-19

44% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

22-12

65% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

20-1459%

L L L W W L L W W L L L W W W W W W W L L L W W L W W W W L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1944%

L L W W L L W W W L L L L W W L W L W L L L W W L W L L W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

22-1265%

U O O U O O O O O O O U O O U U U O U U O U O U O O O O O U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsWIN	L 74-81	+3.5	L −3.5	163.5	U 155
Nov 8	@VILL	L 74-94	+17.5	L −2.5	150.5	O 168
Nov 11	@DUQ	L 81-87	+12.5	W +6.5	162.5	O 168
Nov 15	vsSHU	W 81-64	-5.5	W +11.5	165.5	U 145
Nov 20	vsUNCG	W 101-94	-7.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 195
Nov 23	@FUR	L 79-90	+8.5	L −2.5	153.5	O 169
Nov 28	@UVA	L 69-94	+25.5	W +0.5	160.5	O 163
Dec 3	vsGWEB	W 107-74	-14.5	W +18.5	161.5	O 181
Dec 12	vsSCST	W 102-78	-18.5	W +5.5	157.5	O 180
Dec 14	@WAKE	L 73-111	+18.5	L −19.5	165.5	O 184
Dec 16	@ARK	L 80-108	+23.5	L −4.5	169.5	O 188
Dec 29	@AUB	L 65-106	+25.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 171
Jan 1	vsEKU	W 91-89	-4.5	L −2.5	164.5	O 180
Jan 3	vsBELL	W 98-76	-7.5	W +14.5	169.5	O 174
Jan 8	@JAX	W 77-51	-4.5	W +21.5	154.5	U 128
Jan 10	@UNF	W 89-82	-11.5	L −4.5	173.5	U 171
Jan 15	@FGCU	W 85-74	+1.5	W +12.5	166.5	U 159
Jan 17	@STET	W 87-81	-10.5	L −4.5	162.5	O 168
Jan 21	vsUNA	W 87-62	-12.5	W +12.5	162.5	U 149
Jan 24	@WGA	L 66-74	-7.5	L −15.5	162.5	U 140
Jan 28	vsCARK	L 90-100	-5.5	L −15.5	158.5	O 190
Jan 31	@BELL	L 75-78	-5.5	L −8.5	163.5	U 153
Feb 5	vsJAX	W 93-84	-8.5	W +0.5	146.5	O 177
Feb 7	vsUNF	W 91-72	-15.5	W +3.5	178.5	U 163
Feb 11	vsAPSU	L 87-95	-2.5	L −10.5	161.5	O 182
Feb 14	vsLIP	W 87-81	-3.5	W +2.5	165.5	O 168
Feb 18	@UNA	W 85-78	-8.5	L −1.5	156.5	O 163
Feb 21	vsWGA	W 91-84	-11.5	L −4.5	161.5	O 175
Feb 25	@EKU	W 96-79	-2.5	W +14.5	165.5	O 175
Feb 28	@CARK	L 79-84	+2.5	L −2.5	163.5	U 163
Mar 6	vsWGA	W 71-63	-8.5	L −0.5	164.5	U 134
Mar 7	vsAPSU	W 90-83	+2.5	W +9.5	161.5	O 173
Mar 8	vsCARK	W 98-93	+1.5	W +6.5	157.5	O 191
Mar 20	vsPUR	L 71-104	+25.5	L −7.5	159.5	O 175

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WIN

L 74-81

−3.5

VILL

L 74-94

−2.5

DUQ

L 81-87

+6.5

SHU

W 81-64

+11.5

UNCG

W 101-94

−0.5

FUR

L 79-90

−2.5

UVA

L 69-94

+0.5

GWEB

W 107-74

+18.5

SCST

W 102-78

+5.5

WAKE

L 73-111

−19.5

ARK

L 80-108

−4.5

AUB

L 65-106

−15.5

EKU

W 91-89

−2.5

BELL

W 98-76

+14.5

JAX

W 77-51

+21.5

UNF

W 89-82

−4.5

FGCU

W 85-74

+12.5

STET

W 87-81

−4.5

UNA

W 87-62

+12.5

WGA

L 66-74

−15.5

CARK

L 90-100

−15.5

BELL

L 75-78

−8.5

JAX

W 93-84

+0.5

UNF

W 91-72

+3.5

APSU

L 87-95

−10.5

LIP

W 87-81

+2.5

UNA

W 85-78

−1.5

WGA

W 91-84

−4.5

EKU

W 96-79

+14.5

CARK

L 79-84

−2.5

WGA

W 71-63

−0.5

APSU

W 90-83

+9.5

CARK

W 98-93

+6.5

PUR

L 71-104

−7.5

covered 15didn’t cover 19avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WIN

L 74-81

−8.5

VILL

L 74-94

+17.5

DUQ

L 81-87

+5.5

SHU

W 81-64

−20.5

UNCG

W 101-94

+44.5

FUR

L 79-90

+15.5

UVA

L 69-94

+2.5

GWEB

W 107-74

+19.5

SCST

W 102-78

+22.5

WAKE

L 73-111

+18.5

ARK

L 80-108

+18.5

AUB

L 65-106

−0.5

EKU

W 91-89

+15.5

BELL

W 98-76

+4.5

JAX

W 77-51

−26.5

UNF

W 89-82

−2.5

FGCU

W 85-74

−7.5

STET

W 87-81

+5.5

UNA

W 87-62

−13.5

WGA

L 66-74

−22.5

CARK

L 90-100

+31.5

BELL

L 75-78

−10.5

JAX

W 93-84

+30.5

UNF

W 91-72

−15.5

APSU

L 87-95

+20.5

LIP

W 87-81

+2.5

UNA

W 85-78

+6.5

WGA

W 91-84

+13.5

EKU

W 96-79

+9.5

CARK

L 79-84

−0.5

WGA

W 71-63

−30.5

APSU

W 90-83

+11.5

CARK

W 98-93

+33.5

PUR

L 71-104

+15.5

over 22under 12avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

BYU

35 games played

Straight up

23-12

66% wins

Against the spread

16-19

46% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

18-17

51% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

23-1266%

W W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W W L W L L L L W W L W L L L W W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

16-1946%

L W L W W W L W L W W L L W W L L L L L L L L W L W W L L L W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

18-1751%

U U U O O U O U U U O O O U O O U U O O O O U O O U U O O O U O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsVILL	W 71-66	-9.5	L −4.5	153.5	U 137
Nov 8	vsHC	W 98-53	-38.5	W +6.5	165.5	U 151
Nov 11	vsDEL	W 85-68	-35.5	L −18.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 15	vsCONN	L 84-86	+6.5	W +4.5	156.5	O 170
Nov 21	vsWIS	W 98-70	-4.5	W +23.5	165.5	O 168
Nov 27	vsMIA	W 72-62	-7.5	W +2.5	165.5	U 134
Nov 28	vsDAY	W 83-79	-9.5	L −5.5	150.5	O 162
Dec 3	vsCBU	W 91-60	-18.5	W +12.5	153.5	U 151
Dec 9	vsCLEM	W 67-64	-4.5	L −1.5	152.5	U 131
Dec 13	vsUCR	W 100-53	-33.5	W +13.5	155.5	U 153
Dec 16	vsPAC	W 93-57	-23.5	W +12.5	149.5	O 150
Dec 19	vsACU	W 85-67	-33.5	L −15.5	146.5	O 152
Dec 22	vsEWU	W 109-81	-34.5	L −6.5	168.5	O 190
Jan 3	@KSU	W 83-73	-7.5	W +2.5	174.5	U 156
Jan 7	vsASU	W 104-76	-17.5	W +10.5	168.5	O 180
Jan 10	@UTAH	W 89-84	-14.5	L −9.5	168.5	O 173
Jan 14	vsTCU	W 76-70	-13.5	L −7.5	162.5	U 146
Jan 17	@TTU	L 71-84	+2.5	L −10.5	165.5	U 155
Jan 24	vsUTAH	W 91-78	-19.5	L −6.5	168.5	O 169
Jan 26	vsARIZ	L 83-86	+1.5	L −1.5	166.5	O 169
Jan 31	@KU	L 82-90	+2.5	L −5.5	159.5	O 172
Feb 4	@OKST	L 92-99	-8.5	L −15.5	167.5	O 191
Feb 7	vsHOU	L 66-77	+1.5	L −9.5	151.5	U 143
Feb 10	@BAY	W 99-94	-3.5	W +1.5	158.5	O 193
Feb 14	vsCOLO	W 90-86	-15.5	L −11.5	161.5	O 176
Feb 18	@ARIZ	L 68-75	+11.5	W +4.5	165.5	U 143
Feb 21	vsISU	W 79-69	+2.5	W +12.5	154.5	U 148
Feb 24	vsUCF	L 84-97	-14.5	L −27.5	162.5	O 181
Feb 28	@WVU	L 71-79	-2.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 150
Mar 3	@CIN	L 68-90	+1.5	L −20.5	151.5	O 158
Mar 7	vsTTU	W 82-76	-2.5	W +3.5	159.5	U 158
Mar 10	vsKSU	W 105-91	-11.5	W +2.5	168.5	O 196
Mar 11	vsWVU	W 68-48	-3.5	W +16.5	141.5	U 116
Mar 12	vsHOU	L 66-73	+9.5	W +2.5	146.5	U 139
Mar 19	vsTEX	L 71-79	-2.5	L −10.5	156.5	U 150

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

VILL

W 71-66

−4.5

W 98-53

+6.5

DEL

W 85-68

−18.5

CONN

L 84-86

+4.5

WIS

W 98-70

+23.5

MIA

W 72-62

+2.5

DAY

W 83-79

−5.5

CBU

W 91-60

+12.5

CLEM

W 67-64

−1.5

UCR

W 100-53

+13.5

PAC

W 93-57

+12.5

ACU

W 85-67

−15.5

EWU

W 109-81

−6.5

KSU

W 83-73

+2.5

ASU

W 104-76

+10.5

UTAH

W 89-84

−9.5

TCU

W 76-70

−7.5

TTU

L 71-84

−10.5

UTAH

W 91-78

−6.5

ARIZ

L 83-86

−1.5

L 82-90

−5.5

OKST

L 92-99

−15.5

HOU

L 66-77

−9.5

BAY

W 99-94

+1.5

COLO

W 90-86

−11.5

ARIZ

L 68-75

+4.5

ISU

W 79-69

+12.5

UCF

L 84-97

−27.5

WVU

L 71-79

−10.5

CIN

L 68-90

−20.5

TTU

W 82-76

+3.5

KSU

W 105-91

+2.5

WVU

W 68-48

+16.5

HOU

L 66-73

+2.5

TEX

L 71-79

−10.5

covered 16didn’t cover 19avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

VILL

W 71-66

−16.5

W 98-53

−14.5

DEL

W 85-68

−11.5

CONN

L 84-86

+13.5

WIS

W 98-70

+2.5

MIA

W 72-62

−31.5

DAY

W 83-79

+11.5

CBU

W 91-60

−2.5

CLEM

W 67-64

−21.5

UCR

W 100-53

−2.5

PAC

W 93-57

+0.5

ACU

W 85-67

+5.5

EWU

W 109-81

+21.5

KSU

W 83-73

−18.5

ASU

W 104-76

+11.5

UTAH

W 89-84

+4.5

TCU

W 76-70

−16.5

TTU

L 71-84

−10.5

UTAH

W 91-78

+0.5

ARIZ

L 83-86

+2.5

L 82-90

+12.5

OKST

L 92-99

+23.5

HOU

L 66-77

−8.5

BAY

W 99-94

+34.5

COLO

W 90-86

+14.5

ARIZ

L 68-75

−22.5

ISU

W 79-69

−6.5

UCF

L 84-97

+18.5

WVU

L 71-79

+8.5

CIN

L 68-90

+6.5

TTU

W 82-76

−1.5

KSU

W 105-91

+27.5

WVU

W 68-48

−25.5

HOU

L 66-73

−7.5

TEX

L 71-79

−6.5

over 18under 17avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

QUC84.4 #16

BYU83.5 #22

Points per possession

QUC1.19 #25

BYU1.18 #32

Pace (possessions)

QUC71.2 #65

BYU70.6 #90

Shooting

Effective FG%

QUC56.4 #15

BYU54.4 #54

3-point %

QUC35.7 #74

BYU34.5 #145

3-point attempt rate

QUC46.5 #38

BYU39.8 #177

Free throw rate

QUC35.4 #167

BYU34.4 #198

Possessions

Turnover rate

QUC14.8 #54

BYU15.2 #78

Offensive rebound rate

QUC30.2 #190

BYU34.3 #61

Assists per game

QUC16.0 #49

BYU13.3 #192

Defense

Points allowed

QUC83.8 #355

BYU75.4 #202

Points allowed per possession

QUC1.17 #346

BYU1.07 #133

Opponent effective FG%

QUC54.6 #319

BYU51.2 #174

Opponent 3-point %

QUC36.5 #325

BYU35.3 #269

Turnovers forced

QUC15.1 #276

BYU16.4 #194

Defensive rebound rate

QUC66.4 #308

BYU70.3 #145

Steals per game

QUC6.0 #238

BYU7.2 #109

Blocks per game

QUC2.9 #236

BYU4.4 #40

QUC		BYU
Scoring
84.4 #16	Points per game	83.5 #22
1.19 #25	Points per possession	1.18 #32
71.2 #65	Pace (possessions)	70.6 #90
Shooting
56.4 #15	Effective FG%	54.4 #54
35.7 #74	3-point %	34.5 #145
46.5 #38	3-point attempt rate	39.8 #177
35.4 #167	Free throw rate	34.4 #198
Possessions
14.8 #54	Turnover rate	15.2 #78
30.2 #190	Offensive rebound rate	34.3 #61
16.0 #49	Assists per game	13.3 #192
Defense
83.8 #355	Points allowed	75.4 #202
1.17 #346	Points allowed per possession	1.07 #133
54.6 #319	Opponent effective FG%	51.2 #174
36.5 #325	Opponent 3-point %	35.3 #269
15.1 #276	Turnovers forced	16.4 #194
66.4 #308	Defensive rebound rate	70.3 #145
6.0 #238	Steals per game	7.2 #109
2.9 #236	Blocks per game	4.4 #40

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Queens University Royals

20-14 in 2025-26 overall · 16-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Purdue71–104
Wvs C Arkansas98–93
Wvs Austin Peay90–83
Wvs West Georgia71–63
L@ C Arkansas79–84

A week or more of rest.

BYU

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Texas71–79
Lvs Houston66–73
Wvs West Virginia68–48
Wvs Kansas St105–91
Wvs Texas Tech82–76

A week or more of rest.

Queens University Royals at BYU Cougars

What could decide it: BYU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Queens University Royals

BYU

Matchup stats

Queens University Royals

BYU