Beasley Coliseum · at Washington St
#115DAVDavidson
@
#139WSUWashington St
LineWSU -2.5moved 1 toward DAV
Total149.5no move
Season records: Davidson and Washington St
DAVThis seasonWSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WSU 73–73 · win probability WSU 51%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
WSU -2.5
moved 1 toward DAV
Total
149.5
model 145.3 · Under by 4
Model edge
DAV by 2.5
model vs market
Public on the spread
88% DAV
87% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DAV has more of the edges

DAV 4, WSU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DAVBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DAV 15.8%, WSU 18.5%. Forced: DAV 17.5%, WSU 14.5%
DAVSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DAV 49%, WSU 1%. Transfers in: DAV 2, WSU 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: DAV plays 65.0 a game (347th fastest), WSU 68.9 (183rd). Faster games mean more points
WSUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DAV 28.1%, WSU 29.5%. Defensive: DAV 70.0%, WSU 71.8%
DAVSmall
Three-pointers
DAV hits 35.4% and allows 32.6%; WSU hits 36.5% and allows 35.4%. Threes are 44.5% and 44.8% of their shots
WSUSmall
Home court
WSU at home. This season: WSU 0-0 at home, DAV 0-0 away
DAVSmall
WSU offense vs DAV defense
Offense 130th of 366 against a defense 84th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DAV 31.0, WSU 30.2. Allowed: DAV 37.1, WSU 33.0
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: DAV 52.6 and allows 50.6; WSU 54.7 and allows 52.6
Even
DAV offense vs WSU defense
Offense 149th of 366 against a defense 166th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
DAV has played the 91st-hardest schedule, WSU the 100th. A record against a soft schedule means less

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of under 3193856%51%49%
Non-conference games at this spread109454%49%50%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the underdog451374%51%50%
Games with a total of 145 to 149.5354774%49%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward DAV
Total
No change since the open
Moneyline
DAV +125 · WSU -148
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened WSU -3.5 · now WSU -3 · moved 1 toward DAVmodel WSU -0
Opened 149.5 · now 149.5 · moved 0.5 downmodel 145.5
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
DAV +2.5SpreadWSU -2.5
Bets
Money
Over 149.5TotalUnder 149.5
Bets
Money
DAVWinnerWSU
Bets
Money
Money is 18 pts ahead of bets on DAV

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DAVWSUOverUnderDAVWSU
BetMGMMGM-2.5-105+2.5-115149.5-105149.5-115+125-150
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-3-115+3-105149-110149-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-2.5-104+2.5-122150.5-103150.5-125+130-167
BetUSBetUS-3-115+3-105149-110149-110——
BovadaBovada-3-110+3-110149-110149-110+125-145
DraftKingsDK-2.5-105+2.5-115149.5-105149.5-115+124-148
FanDuelFD-2.5-110+2.5-110149.5-110149.5-110+118-142
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-3-111+3-101149-108149-108——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadWSU -2.5WSU -0.2DAV +2.3
Total149.5145.3Under 4.2
Projected score—DAV 72.5 · WSU 72.8

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadWSU -0.0—
1H total68.0—
1H projected scoreDAV 34 · WSU 34—

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Davidson 1, Washington St 1, even 3
DavidsonBetterWashington St
G N. Janowski TR16.7 pts · 5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 81
DAVSmall
G S. Akins TR5.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 57
G S. Brown7.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.1 ast Score 33
Even
F F. Roxburgh TR10.9 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 21
G N. Coval6.2 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 49
WSUSmall
F R. Harrison TR14.2 pts · 6.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 67
F J. Scovens11.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 2 ast Score 88
No call
F L. Dembele TR5.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
C I. Platteeuw3.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 43
Even
F T. Kropp TR3.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 48
DavidsonBetterWashington St
DAV offense149th of 366 · -4.5
Even
WSU defense166th of 366 · -3.7
DAV defense84th of 366 · +0.0
Even
WSU offense130th of 366 · -3.5
Backcourt-0.2 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-0.2 · 1 player
Frontcourt+2.2 · 2 players
DAVBig
Frontcourt-2.6 · 4 players
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestDAV betterWSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Davidson
Guards
N. Janowski32 min · TRS. Brown24 minN. Coval19 minP. Kavu1 minJ. CarterNewE. HeinonenNew
Forwards
J. Scovens25 minJ. Roberts12 minJ. Keith9 min · TRJ. Nowland1 minQ. BashiruNewT. StoiberNew
Centers
I. Platteeuw15 min
Washington St
Guards
S. Akins15 min · TRJ. Phillips11 min · TRJ. Harrell9 min · TRR. Jones7 min · TRD. Blakely1 minC. JonesNew
Forwards
F. Roxburgh31 min · TRR. Harrison31 min · TRL. Dembele20 min · TRT. Kropp12 min · TRM. SankheNewB. KymanNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DAVWSU
Scoring
69.9 #289Points per game75.7 #152
1.08 #189Points per possession1.10 #136
65.0 #347Pace (possessions)68.9 #183
Shooting
52.6 #121Effective FG%54.7 #48
35.4 #923-point %36.5 #40
44.5 #793-point attempt rate44.8 #73
31.0 #283Free throw rate30.2 #305
Possessions
15.8 #124Turnover rate18.5 #295
28.1 #265Offensive rebound rate29.5 #221
13.4 #184Assists per game13.8 #163
Defense
68.5 #40Points allowed77.3 #245
1.05 #94Points allowed per possession1.12 #266
50.6 #132Opponent effective FG%52.6 #248
32.6 #92Opponent 3-point %35.4 #273
17.5 #121Turnovers forced14.5 #322
70.0 #157Defensive rebound rate71.8 #71
6.4 #189Steals per game5.5 #299
4.1 #66Blocks per game2.9 #242

Davidson

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Oklahoma St80–84
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's58–70
  • Wvs Loyola Chicago64–59
  • W@ St Bonaventure68–63
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's67–70

A week or more of rest.

Washington St

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Portland68–74
  • L@ Pepperdine79–88
  • L@ LMU66–67
  • Lvs Saint Mary's67–83
  • Wvs Pacific87–70

A week or more of rest.