1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 23
  3. DEN @ KU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 23

Denver Pioneers at Kansas Jayhawks

Allen Fieldhouse · at Kansas
#263DENDenver
@
#16KUKansas AP #17
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DENThis seasonKU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects KU 94–63 · win probability KU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 156.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: KU has more of the edges

DEN 0, KU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
KUBig
KU offense vs DEN defense
Offense 17th of 366 against a defense 337th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
DEN has played the 249th-hardest schedule, KU the 2nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
KUBig
DEN offense vs KU defense
Offense 184th of 366 against a defense 15th, on the model’s ratings
KUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: DEN 53.6 and allows 56.0; KU 51.2 and allows 45.0
KUSmall
Three-pointers
DEN hits 36.8% and allows 36.7%; KU hits 34.6% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 38.6% and 35.2% of their shots
KUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: DEN 34.1, KU 32.2. Allowed: DEN 36.8, KU 27.4
KUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DEN 29.8%, KU 29.3%. Defensive: DEN 67.2%, KU 70.1%
KUSmall
Home court
KU at home. This season: KU 0-0 at home, DEN 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DEN 14.2%, KU 15.6%. Forced: DEN 13.0%, KU 13.8%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DEN 27%, KU 9%. Transfers in: DEN 6, KU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: DEN plays 69.4 a game (151st fastest), KU 68.8 (193rd). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—KU -30.6—
Total—156.6—
Projected score—DEN 63 · KU 93.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadKU -18.1—
1H total73.2—
1H projected scoreDEN 27.5 · KU 45.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Kansas has the better starters

Position by position: Denver 0, Kansas 4, even 1
DenverBetterKansas
G C. Johnson19.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast Score 73
Even
G L. Blyden TR16.5 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.5 ast Score 85
G K. Martin TR5.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 24
KUBig
G D. Parker TR18.6 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 94
G C. Hyland TR5 pts · 1.3 reb · 1 ast Score 20
KUBig
F K. Dawes TR12.5 pts · 8.8 reb · 2.2 ast Score 91
F J. Rogers TR5.7 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 27
KUBig
F T. Kaufman-Renn TR14.2 pts · 8.3 reb · 2.5 ast Score 98
F S. Wysocki5.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 14
KUBig
C C. Reeves TR11 pts · 7.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 94
DenverBetterKansas
DEN offense184th of 366 · -5.7
KUBig
KU defense15th of 366 · +6.3
DEN defense337th of 366 · -8.9
KUBig
KU offense17th of 366 · +8.6
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
KUBig
Backcourt+5.7 · 2 players
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
KUBig
Frontcourt+13.0 · 3 players
Bench-2.4 · 3 players
KUSmall
Bench+0.1 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestDEN betterKU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Denver
Guards
C. Johnson36 minK. Martin16 min · TRC. Hyland15 min · TRT. Cady11 min · TRL. ThreattNewJ. NelsonNew
Forwards
J. Rogers27 min · TRS. Wysocki19 minS. Mahoney5 min · TRH. BatesNewC. DimmockNewO. Wickstrom StumerNew
Centers
B. Mbengue9 min · TR
Kansas
Guards
L. Blyden34 min · TRD. Parker30 min · TRK. Rosario12 minW. Thengvall2 minT. StokesNewT. PerryNew
Forwards
K. Dawes31 min · TRT. Kaufman-Renn28 min · TRD. AdkinsNewA. RichmondNewG. MordiniNew
Centers
C. Reeves21 min · TRP. Mbiya5 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DENKU
Scoring
80.3 #61Points per game75.1 #161
1.16 #53Points per possession1.09 #152
69.4 #151Pace (possessions)68.8 #193
Shooting
53.6 #79Effective FG%51.2 #186
36.8 #323-point %34.6 #139
38.6 #1993-point attempt rate35.2 #268
34.1 #203Free throw rate32.2 #255
Possessions
14.2 #30Turnover rate15.6 #111
29.8 #213Offensive rebound rate29.3 #227
11.2 #327Assists per game13.9 #150
Defense
84.0 #357Points allowed69.1 #47
1.21 #360Points allowed per possession1.00 #28
56.0 #344Opponent effective FG%45.0 #2
36.7 #338Opponent 3-point %30.6 #24
13.0 #355Turnovers forced13.8 #340
67.2 #291Defensive rebound rate70.1 #152
4.5 #356Steals per game5.4 #310
1.9 #348Blocks per game5.8 #6
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Denver

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-9 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs North Dakota67–83
  • L@ Oral Roberts80–102
  • Wvs St Thomas82–80
  • Wvs South Dakota90–70
  • L@ Omaha76–83

A week or more of rest.

Kansas

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 13-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs St John's65–67
  • Wvs CA Baptist68–60
  • Lvs Houston47–69
  • Wvs TCU78–73
  • Wvs Kansas St104–85

A week or more of rest.