Bon Secours Wellness Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
DUKE -28.5✓ SIE covered by 22.5
DUKE -28.5✓ SIE covered by 22.5Closing total137.5Under by 1.5
 SIE | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 23-11 | Record | 32-2 |
| 20-14 | ATS | 20-14 |
| 11-23 | O/U | 12-22 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIE 55–83 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (99%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 43 | 22 | 65 |
| DUKE | 32 | 39 | 71 |
1st half: SIE 43, DUKE 32 (SIE by 11). The model had DUKE by 16.7 and a total of 64.8 (actual 75).
Team stats
| SIE | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-65 38% | Field goals | 24-59 41% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 5-26 19% |
| 6-6 100% | Free throws | 18-21 86% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 43 16 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Mulvey C | 40 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Gavin Doty G | 40 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 7-20 | 3-12 |
| Justice Shoats G | 40 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4-11 | 0-1 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 40 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Francis Folefac F | 40 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 7-16 | 2-4 |
Did not play: Christian Jones, Owen Schlager, Antonio Chandler, Danny Murray, Isaiah Henderson, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 39 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 39 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 9-16 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 32 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 6-14 | 2-8 |
| Dame Sarr F | 31 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Maliq Brown F | 26 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nik Khamenia F | 24 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Darren Harris G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Cameron Sheffield, Brock Davis, Sebastian Wilkins, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Jack Scott, Patrick Ngongba II, Caleb Foster
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUKE -28.5
ModelDUKE -28.3
Model edgeSIE +0.2
W SIE covered
Total
Market137.5
Model138.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
SIE 55 · DUKE 83.3
SIE 65 · DUKE 71
Win probability
DUKE 99%
1st half
Spread
DUKE -16.7
SIE -11.0
Total
64.8
75 points
Projected score
SIE 24 · DUKE 40.7
SIE 43 · DUKE 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -25.5
3 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -28.5
3 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open137.5
no move
Close137.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SIE +3500 · DUKE -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -25.5 · closed DUKE -28.5 · moved 3 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -28.5 matches the line
model DUKE -28.5 = line ✓
Opened 137.5 · unchangedmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 1-9 10% |
| DUKE | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Siena
34 games played
Straight up
23-11
68% wins
Against the spread
20-14
59% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-23
32% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vs NIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs CAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @ IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @ RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs MRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @ MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vs FAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vs MRST | W 69-50 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 30 | @NIA | W 82-79 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | @CAN | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | vsIONA | W 79-72 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @ SPU | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 13 | vs QUIN | L 62-74 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 15 | @MRST | W 67-63 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 20 | @MRMK | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 22 | vsSPU | W 72-63 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 27 | @FAIR | L 58-72 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 1 | vsRID | W 76-61 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 7 | vsMSM | W 63-58 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 8 | vsFAIR | W 76-61 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 10 | vsMRMK | W 64-54 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 128.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
+17.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
−6.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+6.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
−1.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−6.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−15.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
+6.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
+3.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−15.5
1
vsRID
RIDW 76-61
+0.5
7
vsMSM
MSMW 63-58
+2.5
8
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-61
+13.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKW 64-54
+12.5
covered 20didn’t cover 14avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
−14.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
+32.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+5.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
+10.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−0.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−8.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
−3.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
+17.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
−0.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−12.5
1
vsRID
RIDW 76-61
−0.5
7
vsMSM
MSMW 63-58
−14.5
8
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-61
−1.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKW 64-54
−10.5
over 11under 23avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
34 games played
Straight up
32-2
94% wins
Against the spread
20-14
59% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-22
35% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vsNIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs GT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vs SMU | W 82-75 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ CAL | W 71-56 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ STAN | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs WAKE | W 90-69 | -19.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 26 | vsLOU | W 83-52 | -8.5 | W +22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VT | W 72-58 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 3 | vs BC | W 67-49 | -26.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | @ UNC | L 68-71 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @ PITT | W 70-54 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | vs CLEM | W 67-54 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 16 | vs SYR | W 101-64 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 21 | vs MICH | W 68-63 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | @ ND | W 100-56 | -16.5 | W +27.5 | 141.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vs UVA | W 77-51 | -9.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 2 | @ NCSU | W 93-64 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNC | W 76-61 | -18.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 12 | vsFSU | W 80-79 | -16.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 13 | vsCLEM | W 73-61 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 14 | vsUVA | W 74-70 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
−8.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
+0.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
+18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+1.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
+22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
+0.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−8.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−9.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−1.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
+0.5
16
vsSYR
SYRW 101-64
+16.5
21
vsMICH
MICHW 68-63
+8.5
24
@ND
NDW 100-56
+27.5
28
vsUVA
UVAW 77-51
+16.5
2
@NCSU
NCSUW 93-64
+20.5
7
vsUNC
UNCW 76-61
−3.5
12
vsFSU
FSUW 80-79
−15.5
13
vsCLEM
CLEMW 73-61
+1.5
14
vsUVA
UVAW 74-70
−2.5
covered 20didn’t cover 14avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
+1.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
−22.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
−18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+5.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
−22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
−18.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−25.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−13.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−12.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
−13.5
16
vsSYR
SYRW 101-64
+20.5
21
vsMICH
MICHW 68-63
−20.5
24
@ND
NDW 100-56
+14.5
28
vsUVA
UVAW 77-51
−15.5
2
@NCSU
NCSUW 93-64
+6.5
7
vsUNC
UNCW 76-61
−10.5
12
vsFSU
FSUW 80-79
+8.5
13
vsCLEM
CLEMW 73-61
−0.5
14
vsUVA
UVAW 74-70
+3.5
over 12under 22avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Siena
23-11 overall · 16-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Merrimack64–54
- Wvs Fairfield76–61
- Wvs Mount St Marys63–58
- Wvs Rider76–61
- L@ Fairfield58–72
A week or more of rest.
Duke
32-2 overall · 20-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Virginia74–70
- Wvs Clemson73–61
- Wvs Florida St80–79
- Wvs North Carolina76–61
- W@ NC State93–64
5 days since their last game.