Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern · Conference game
Closing line
NU -7.5✓ MD covered by 3.5
NU -7.5✓ MD covered by 3.5Closing total142.5Over by 9.5
 MD | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-15 | Record | 10-16 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 12-14 |
| 15-10 | O/U | 13-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 69–76 NU · ✓ NU (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 34 | 40 | 74 |
| NU | 35 | 43 | 78 |
1st half: MD 34, NU 35 (NU by 1). The model had NU by 4.2 and a total of 68.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| MD | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-54 44% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 12-21 57% |
| 18-21 86% | Free throws | 16-25 64% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 24 6 off |
| 15 | Assists | 20 |
| 4 | Steals | 12 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Washington F | 39 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Andre Mills G | 33 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 12-17 | 6-9 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 30 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 26 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Darius Adams G | 25 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Coit G | 26 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-14 | 0-7 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aleks Alston F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Nick Blake, Jaziah Harper, George Turkson Jr., Lukas Sotell, Rakease Passmore, Pharrel Payne, Myles Rice
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 39 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 9-17 | 3-6 |
| Jake West G | 33 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Jayden Reid G | 22 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Tre Singleton F | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 31 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-1 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 6-8 | 6-7 |
| Arrinten Page F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: K.J. Windham, Phoenix Gill, Max Green, Gus Hurlburt, Cade Bennerman, Justin Mullins, Blake Smith
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNU -7.5
ModelNU -7.2
Model edgeMD +0.3
W MD covered
Total
Market142.5
Model145.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
W Over
Projected score
MD 69.2 · NU 76.4
MD 74 · NU 78
Win probability
NU 74%
1st half
Spread
NU -4.2
NU -1.0
Total
68.2
69 points
Projected score
MD 32 · NU 36.2
MD 34 · NU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -8.5
1 → MD
CloseNU -7.5
1 pt toward MD
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MD +300 · NU -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -8.5 · closed NU -7.5 · moved 1 toward MDmodel NU -7
model NU -7
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| NU | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MD 3–4 NUNU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MD 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | NU 61 @ MD 74 | MD -11.5 | MD W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | MD 74 @ NU 76 | NU +2.5 | NU W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | NU 68 @ MD 61 | MD -5.5 | NU W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | MD 69 @ NU 72 | NU -4.5 | MD W |
| Feb 26, 2022-23 | NU 59 @ MD 75 | MD -7.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
25 games played
Straight up
10-15
40% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs MICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs IU | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCLA | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @ USC | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vs PSU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 21 | @ ILL | L 70-89 | +18.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSU | L 48-91 | +18.5 | L −24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vs PUR | L 63-93 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | vs OSU | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | @ MINN | W 67-62 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 11 | vsIOWA | W 77-70 | +10.5 | W +17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 15 | @ RUTG | L 57-68 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
−10.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
+1.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
−7.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+21.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
−0.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−24.5
1
vsPUR
PURL 63-93
−14.5
5
vsOSU
OSUL 62-82
−13.5
8
@MINN
MINNW 67-62
+15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 77-70
+17.5
15
@RUTG
RUTGL 57-68
−8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
+2.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
−25.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
+8.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+20.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
+6.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−2.5
1
vsPUR
PURL 63-93
+7.5
5
vsOSU
OSUL 62-82
−6.5
8
@MINN
MINNW 67-62
−9.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 77-70
+8.5
15
@RUTG
RUTGL 57-68
−19.5
over 15under 10avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
26 games played
Straight up
10-16
38% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vsUVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vsOSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs JKST | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs VAL | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs BTLR | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 30 | vs HOW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vsMINN | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 8 | @MSU | L 66-76 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | @RUTG | L 75-77 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 14 | vsILL | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs NEB | L 58-77 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @USC | W 74-68 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @UCLA | L 64-71 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsPSU | W 94-73 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | vs WASH | L 62-76 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ILL | L 44-84 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 8 | @IOWA | L 70-76 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | vsMICH | L 75-87 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @NEB | L 49-68 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
+9.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+1.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
+0.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
−10.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
+3.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
−6.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−1.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
+12.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
+0.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+13.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−15.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−23.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+4.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+3.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
−0.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+10.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
−35.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
−8.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
+23.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
−1.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
+7.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−4.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
−7.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
−8.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+18.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−8.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−21.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+8.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−29.5
over 13under 13avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
10-15 overall · 3-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rutgers57–68
- Wvs Iowa77–70
- W@ Minnesota67–62
- Lvs Ohio State62–82
- Lvs Purdue63–93
3 days since their last game.
Northwestern
10-16 overall · 2-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nebraska49–68
- Lvs Michigan75–87
- L@ Iowa70–76
- L@ Illinois44–84
- Lvs Washington62–76
4 days since their last game.