XFINITY Center · at Maryland · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -15.5✓ PUR covered by 14.5
PUR -15.5✓ PUR covered by 14.5Closing total148.5Over by 7.5
| PUR | This season | MD |
|---|---|---|
| 17-4 | Record | 8-12 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 8-13 | O/U | 13-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PUR 83–67 MD · ✓ PUR (91%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 49 | 44 | 93 |
| MD | 28 | 35 | 63 |
1st half: PUR 49, MD 28 (PUR by 21). The model had PUR by 9.5 and a total of 70.1 (actual 77).
Team stats
| PUR | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-55 53% | Field goals | 19-49 39% |
| 15-30 50% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 18 | Assists | 5 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 27 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 27 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 9-14 | 7-10 |
| Braden Smith G | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Cox G | 18 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gicarri Harris G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Omer Mayer G | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Jack Benter G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Liam Murphy F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Aaron Fine G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Lusk G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Raleigh Burgess, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Sam King
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Washington F | 37 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Darius Adams G | 33 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 6-14 | 2-5 |
| David Coit G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Myles Rice G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Mills G | 30 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Aleks Alston F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Guillermo Del Pino, Lukas Sotell, Nick Blake, Jaziah Harper, Rakease Passmore, Pharrel Payne
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPUR -15.5
ModelPUR -15.7
Model edgePUR +0.2
W PUR covered
Total
Market148.5
Model149.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
W Over
Projected score
PUR 82.7 · MD 67.1
PUR 93 · MD 63
Win probability
PUR 91%
1st half
Spread
PUR -9.5
PUR -21.0
Total
70.1
77 points
Projected score
PUR 39.8 · MD 30.3
PUR 49 · MD 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -14.5
1 → PUR
ClosePUR -15.5
1 pt toward PUR
Total
Open150.5
▼ 2
Close148.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PUR -1650 · MD +950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -14.5 · closed PUR -15.5 · moved 1 toward PURmodel PUR -15.5 matches the line
model PUR -15.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| MD | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PUR 4–1 MDPUR leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · PUR has won the last 2 meetings · PUR 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | MD 78 @ PUR 83 | PUR -4.5 | PUR W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | PUR 67 @ MD 53 | MD +6.5 | PUR W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | PUR 54 @ MD 68 | MD -0.5 | MD W |
| Jan 22, 2022-23 | MD 55 @ PUR 58 | PUR -9.5 | MD W |
| Feb 13, 2021-22 | MD 61 @ PUR 62 | PUR -16.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue
21 games played
Straight up
17-4
81% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-13
38% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs AUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vs WASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs PSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs IOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ USC | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @ UCLA | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs ILL | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 27 | @ IU | L 67-72 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−4.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−7.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
−11.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−22.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−11.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
+17.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−11.5
over 8under 13avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maryland
20 games played
Straight up
8-12
40% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-7
65% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vsALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs MICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vsIU | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @UCLA | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @USC | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vsPSU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 21 | @ILL | L 70-89 | +18.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSU | L 48-91 | +18.5 | L −24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
−10.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
+1.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
−7.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+21.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
−0.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−24.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
+2.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
−25.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
+8.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+20.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
+6.5
24
@MSU
MSUL 48-91
−2.5
over 13under 7avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue
17-4 overall · 7-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana67–72
- Lvs Illinois82–88
- L@ UCLA67–69
- W@ USC69–64
- Wvs Iowa79–72
5 days since their last game.
Maryland
8-12 overall · 1-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan St48–91
- L@ Illinois70–89
- Wvs Penn State96–73
- L@ USC71–88
- L@ UCLA55–67
A week or more of rest.