Coleman Coliseum · at Alabama · Conference game
Closing line
ALA -5.5✓ ALA covered by 6.5
ALA -5.5✓ ALA covered by 6.5Closing total175.5Over by 4.5
 AUB | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 16-14 | Record | 22-8 |
| 13-17 | ATS | 13-17 |
| 18-12 | O/U | 17-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AUB 86–92 ALA · ✓ ALA (70%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 31 | 53 | 84 |
| ALA | 50 | 46 | 96 |
1st half: AUB 31, ALA 50 (ALA by 19). The model had ALA by 3.4 and a total of 82.9 (actual 81).
Team stats
| AUB | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-59 51% | Field goals | 36-69 52% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 7-27 26% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 17-26 65% |
| 28 9 off | Rebounds | 42 19 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 58 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 35 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 7-16 | 1-3 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Kevin Overton G | 33 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 9-15 | 4-10 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 31 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 24 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 22 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Filip Jovic C | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Simon Walker, Kaden Magwood, Reed Trapp, CJ Williams
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 29 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 8-16 | 2-7 |
| Aden Holloway G | 28 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 6-14 | 3-7 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 26 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-5 |
| Amari Allen G | 24 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 23 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Houston Mallette G | 20 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| London Jemison F | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Noah Williamson C | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Preston Murphy Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Martin, Collins Onyejiaka, Jack Fagan, Klark James, Davion Hannah, Keitenn Bristow
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALA -5.5
ModelALA -5.9
Model edgeALA +0.4
W ALA covered
Total
Market175.5
Model177.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
AUB 85.9 · ALA 91.8
AUB 84 · ALA 96
Win probability
ALA 70%
1st half
Spread
ALA -3.4
ALA -19.0
Total
82.9
81 points
Projected score
AUB 39.8 · ALA 43.2
AUB 31 · ALA 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -8.5
3 → AUB
CloseALA -5.5
3 pts toward AUB
Total
Open176.5
▼ 1
Close175.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
AUB +225 · ALA -278
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -8.5 · closed ALA -5.5 · moved 3 toward AUBmodel ALA -6
model ALA -6
Opened 176.5 · closed 175.5 · moved 1 downmodel 177.5
model 177.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 3-7 30% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% |
| ALA | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
AUB 4–5 ALAALA leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ALA has won the last 2 meetings · AUB 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | ALA 96 @ AUB 92 | AUB -2.5 | ALA W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | ALA 93 @ AUB 91 | AUB -7.5 | ALA W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | AUB 94 @ ALA 85 | ALA -1.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | ALA 81 @ AUB 99 | AUB -5.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | AUB 75 @ ALA 79 | ALA -2.5 | ALA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Auburn
30 games played
Straight up
16-14
53% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-12
60% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs TA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @ MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs SC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ FLA | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vs TEX | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ TENN | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vsALA | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 10 | vs VAN | L 76-84 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ARK | L 75-88 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ MSST | L 85-91 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vs UK | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @ OU | L 79-91 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vsMISS | L 79-85 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | vs LSU | W 88-74 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
+20.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
−0.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−2.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
−6.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−11.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−5.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
−11.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−2.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
−15.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
−16.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 88-74
+3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
−16.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
+15.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
+12.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−1.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−2.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
+20.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−4.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
+12.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 88-74
+6.5
over 18under 12avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
30 games played
Straight up
22-8
73% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-13
57% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vsPUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vsARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vsUK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | @VAN | L 90-96 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vsTEX | L 88-92 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 13 | @MSST | W 97-82 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | @OU | W 83-81 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 24 | vsTENN | L 73-79 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 27 | vsMIZ | W 90-64 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 1 | @FLA | L 77-100 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 176.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 4 | vsTA&M | W 100-97 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | @AUB | W 96-92 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 11 | @MISS | W 93-74 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsSC | W 89-75 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 170.5 | U 164 |
| Feb 18 | vsARK | W 117-115 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | @LSU | W 90-83 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 172.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 25 | vsMSST | W 100-75 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 176.5 | U 175 |
| Feb 28 | @TENN | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 3 | @UGA | L 88-98 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 179.5 | O 186 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
−2.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
−15.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+10.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−3.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−10.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
+15.5
1
@FLA
FLAL 77-100
−13.5
4
vsTA&M
TA&MW 100-97
−5.5
7
@AUB
AUBW 96-92
+6.5
11
@MISS
MISSW 93-74
+12.5
14
vsSC
SCW 89-75
−3.5
18
vsARK
ARKW 117-115
−1.5
21
@LSU
LSUW 90-83
−0.5
25
vsMSST
MSSTW 100-75
+12.5
28
@TENN
TENNW 71-69
+7.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 88-98
−11.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
+9.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
+2.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+7.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−13.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−15.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
−13.5
1
@FLA
FLAL 77-100
+0.5
4
vsTA&M
TA&MW 100-97
+16.5
7
@AUB
AUBW 96-92
+12.5
11
@MISS
MISSW 93-74
+2.5
14
vsSC
SCW 89-75
−6.5
18
vsARK
ARKW 117-115
+50.5
21
@LSU
LSUW 90-83
+0.5
25
vsMSST
MSSTW 100-75
−1.5
28
@TENN
TENNW 71-69
−22.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 88-98
+6.5
over 17under 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Auburn
16-14 overall · 7-10 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs LSU88–74
- Lvs Ole Miss79–85
- L@ Oklahoma79–91
- Wvs Kentucky75–74
- L@ Mississippi St85–91
4 days since their last game.
Alabama
22-8 overall · 12-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgia88–98
- W@ Tennessee71–69
- Wvs Mississippi St100–75
- W@ LSU90–83
- Wvs Arkansas117–115
4 days since their last game.