When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
27 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 69.5–77.5 · pick one to list those games
44% went over. Of the 12 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 46% of games.
All 27 games
2023–2026 · Totals 69.5–77.5 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
TXST -15.5 | 69.5 | 21669393 | Q3 | TXST Q1 | 27–66 |
 MUR @  OKST2026 · Week 3 |
OKST -56.5 | 70.5 | 14315259 | U | OKST Q4 | 0–59 |
 PRST @  ORE2026 · Week 3 |
ORE -58.5 | 71.5 | 28496384 | Q4 | ORE Q3 | 0–84 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNT -17.5 | 69.5 | 21386477 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 53–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CIN -3.5 | 69.5 | 14303961 | U | CIN Q1 | 20–41 |
2025 · Week 8 |
USF -20.5 | 72.5 | 10274461 | U | USF Q4 | 13–48 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UNT -2.5 | 73.5 | 14285968 | U | ECU Q3 | 40–28 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WSU -11.5 | 71.5 | 21425673 | Q4 | UNM Q3 Late over |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UTSA -1.5 | 71.5 | 14345075 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 Late over |
27–48 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TCU -10.5 | 69.5 | 10243751 | U | TCU Q2 | 13–38 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TULN -7.5 | 69.5 | 24486982 | Q4 | TULN Q1 Late over |
45–37 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UNM -0.5 | 77.5 | 14396795 | Q4 | UNM Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
50–45 |
 SFA @  UNT2024 · Week 2 |
UNT -21.5 | 72.5 | 24384855 | U | SFA Q1 | 20–35 |
2023 · Postseason |
ORE -18.5 | 71 | 9374451 | U | ORE Q2 | 6–45 |
2023 · Week 13 |
UNT -2 | 72 | 20425387 | Q4 | UNT Q4 | 42–45 |
2023 · Week 12 |
LSU -32.5 | 74 | 21495670 | U | LSU Q4 | 14–56 |
2023 · Week 11 |
USF -7 | 70 | 17303750 | U | TEM Q4 | 23–27 |
2023 · Week 10 |
WASH -3 | 75.5 | 21638494 | Q3 | WASH Q4 Late cover flip |
52–42 |
2023 · Week 10 |
UTSA -8 | 70 | 10404366 | U | Push | 37–29 |
2023 · Week 9 |
MEM -6.5 | 69.5 | 21415287 | Q4 | UNT Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
45–42 |
 ACU @ UNT2023 · Week 5 |
UNT -15.5 | 70.5 | 31486976 | Q4 | ACU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
31–45 |
2023 · Week 5 |
USC -22.5 | 74 | 14487589 | Q3 | COLO Q1 | 48–41 |
2023 · Week 4 |
ORE -21.5 | 70.5 | 13354248 | U | ORE Q2 | 6–42 |
 TAR @  TTU2023 · Week 3 |
TTU -36.5 | 75.5 | 21243444 | U | TTU Q4 | 3–41 |
2023 · Week 2 |
USC -28.5 | 70.5 | 21525266 | U | USC Q2 | 10–56 |
2023 · Week 2 |
ORE -4.5 | 70 | 22314568 | U | ORE Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
38–30 |
2023 · Week 2 |
OU -16 | 70 | 10171739 | U | OU Q4 | 11–28 |
CSU
TXST
UAB
BAY
CIN
FAU
USF
ECU
WSU
UNM
UTSA
TCU
TULN
USU
LIB
GAST
LSU
TEM
WASH
USC
MEM
COLO
STAN
SMU
OUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 26% 7
Q2 15% 4
Q3 11% 3
Q4 44% 12
OT 0% 0
Push 4% 1
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 63% of 27 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 64% of 25 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 5 | 40% 2 |
| 22+ | 12 | 8% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.