When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
90 games · 2025 · Week 1 · pick one to list those games
44% went over. Of the 40 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 20% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 12% of games.
All 90 games
2025 · Week 1 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 1 |
TCU -3.5 | 54.5 | 14275562 | Q3 | TCU Q2 | 48–14 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ND -2.5 | 50.5 | 0212851 | Q4 | MIA Q1 Late over |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 1 |
SC -7.5 | 51.5 | 9181835 | U | SC Q4 | 11–24 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UTAH -6.5 | 48.5 | 13304053 | Q4 | UTAH Q1 | 43–10 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WASH -22.5 | 51.5 | 14284959 | Q4 | CSU Q1 | 21–38 |
2025 · Week 1 |
CAL -2.5 | 48.5 | 14203349 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
34–15 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ARIZ -15.5 | 55.5 | 10233746 | U | ARIZ Q3 | 6–40 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ASU -29.5 | 52.5 | 14234457 | Q4 | NAU Q1 Late over |
19–38 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WSU -16.5 | 50.5 | 071023 | U | IDHO Q1 | 10–13 |
2025 · Week 1 |
GASO -1.5 | 51.5 | 17274256 | Q4 | FRES Q1 | 14–42 |
2025 · Week 1 |
SMU -50.5 | 64.5 | 14243155 | U | ETAM Q1 | 13–42 |
2025 · Week 1 |
NMSU -19.5 | 52.5 | 9121222 | U | BRY Q1 | 3–19 |
2025 · Week 1 |
BYU -44.5 | 62.5 | 14495569 | Q4 | BYU Q2 Late over |
0–69 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UL -9.5 | 48.5 | 3202626 | U | RICE Q1 | 14–12 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TXST -13.5 | 56.5 | 17415579 | Q4 | TXST Q3 | 27–52 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UNT -27.5 | 62.5 | 13375151 | U | UNT Q2 | 0–51 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TLSA -5.5 | 59.5 | 7102142 | U | TLSA Q1 | 7–35 |
2025 · Week 1 |
MISS -33.5 | 61.5 | 7324970 | Q4 | MISS Q3 | 7–63 |
2025 · Week 1 |
CLEM -5.5 | 55.5 | 3132027 | U | LSU Q3 | 17–10 |
2025 · Week 1 |
MICH -34.5 | 49.5 | 14344451 | Q4 | UNM Q1 | 17–34 |
2025 · Week 1 |
USC -36.5 | 60.5 | 17526986 | Q3 | USC Q3 | 13–73 |
2025 · Week 1 |
LT -14.5 | 50.5 | 032424 | U | LT Q3 | 0–24 |
2025 · Week 1 |
USU -4.5 | 58.5 | 17303844 | U | USU Q2 | 16–28 |
2025 · Week 1 |
FLA -46.5 | 56.5 | 14384855 | U | FLA Q3 | 0–55 |
2025 · Week 1 |
KSU -27.5 | 55.5 | 17385273 | Q4 | UND Q1 | 35–38 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TA&M -23.5 | 59.5 | 10315266 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
24–42 |
2025 · Week 1 |
VAN -38.5 | 50.5 | 14283548 | U | VAN Q4 | 3–45 |
2025 · Week 1 |
MTSU -16.5 | 53.5 | 14283848 | U | APSU Q1 | 34–14 |
2025 · Week 1 |
WKU -27.5 | 60.5 | 20485161 | Q4 | WKU Q2 | 6–55 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ARST -15.5 | 59.5 | 14384566 | Q4 | ARST Q2 Late over |
24–42 |
2025 · Week 1 |
USA -28.5 | 50.5 | 14243859 | Q4 | MORG Q1 | 21–38 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TROY -16.5 | 46.5 | 0172758 | Q4 | TROY Q4 Late cover flip |
20–38 |
2025 · Week 1 |
OU -38.5 | 60.5 | 7212438 | U | ILST Q1 | 3–35 |
2025 · Week 1 |
IOWA -39.5 | 48.5 | 3243141 | U | ALB Q1 | 7–34 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UVA -13.5 | 54.5 | 7284955 | Q4 | UVA Q2 | 7–48 |
2025 · Week 1 |
JMU -27.5 | 54.5 | 14354155 | Q4 | JMU Q4 Late over |
10–45 |
2025 · Week 1 |
MEM -30.5 | 55.5 | 14314155 | U | MEM Q3 Late cover flip |
10–45 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ARK -45.5 | 62.5 | 17385259 | U | AAMU Q1 | 7–52 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ORE -28.5 | 55.5 | 17415872 | Q3 | ORE Q2 | 13–59 |
2025 · Week 1 |
LIB -25.5 | 50.5 | 0141435 | U | ME Q1 | 7–28 |
2025 · Week 1 |
PSU -43.5 | 54.5 | 10304257 | Q4 | NEV Q1 Late over |
11–46 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UGA -38.5 | 51.5 | 14243852 | Q4 | MRSH Q1 | 7–45 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ALA -13.5 | 46.5 | 14243448 | Q4 | FSU Q1 | 17–31 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ISU -13.5 | 47.5 | 21344862 | Q3 | ISU Q2 | 7–55 |
2025 · Week 1 |
AFA -30.5 | 53.5 | 14355262 | Q4 | AFA Q3 | 13–49 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TEM -2.5 | 48.5 | 17383852 | Q4 | TEM Q2 | 42–10 |
2025 · Week 1 |
NIU -13.5 | 48.5 | 39936 | U | HC Q1 | 17–19 |
2025 · Week 1 |
LOU -37.5 | 57.5 | 21485568 | Q4 | EKU Q4 | 17–51 |
2025 · Week 1 |
IU -23.5 | 53.5 | 14243441 | U | ODU Q1 | 14–27 |
2025 · Week 1 |
BC -34.5 | 52.5 | 17244876 | Q4 | BC Q3 | 10–66 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 48% 43
Q2 19% 17
Q3 21% 19
Q4 12% 11
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 92% and covered 63% of 86 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 96% and covered 61% of 85 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 8 | 100% 8 |
| 1–3 | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 4–7 | 6 | 100% 6 |
| 8–10 | 9 | 89% 8 |
| 11–14 | 14 | 57% 8 |
| 15–17 | 6 | 33% 2 |
| 18–21 | 11 | 18% 2 |
| 22+ | 31 | 3% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.