Big Ten ConferencePower #837-3 SU19-21 ATS17-23 O/U
Michigan went 37-3 straight up, 19-21 against the spread (48% covers, average cover margin +3.7 points), 17-23 on over/unders in 2025-26, including 17-21 ATS as a favorite and 2-0 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):WWO·WWU·WWO·WWO·WLU
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which MICH beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
+18.5
OAK−14.5
WAKE−3.5
@TCU−2.5
MTSU+33.5
SDSU+25.5
AUB+43.5
GONZ+15.5
RUTG+10.5
VILL−1.5
@MD+11.5
LAS+16.5
MCN+7.5
USC−22.5
@PSU−22.5
WIS−2.5
@WASH−8.5
@ORE−1.5
IU−4.5
OSU−8.5
NEB+9.5
@MSU+14.5PSU+12.5@OSU−3.5
@NU+14.5
UCLA+8.5
@PUR−8.5
DUKE−12.5
MINN+12.5
@ILL−6.5
@IOWA−0.5MSU−8.5OSU−9.5WIS−12.5PUR−9.5
HOW+10.5
SLU+3.5
ALA+24.5
TENN+19.5
ARIZ−0.5
CONN
OAK−14.5WAKE−3.5@TCU−2.5MTSU+33.5SDSU+25.5AUB+43.5GONZ+15.5RUTG+10.5VILL−1.5@MD+11.5LAS+16.5MCN+7.5USC−22.5@PSU−22.5WIS−2.5@WASH−8.5@ORE−1.5IU−4.5OSU−8.5NEB+9.5@MSU+14.5PSU+12.5@OSU−3.5@NU+14.5UCLA+8.5@PUR−8.5DUKE−12.5MINN+12.5@ILL−6.5@IOWA−0.5MSU−8.5OSU−9.5WIS−12.5PUR−9.5HOW+10.5SLU+3.5ALA+24.5TENN+19.5ARIZ−0.5CONNcovered 19didn’t cover 21avg +3.7 ptstaller = bigger margin
+42.5OAK+0.5WAKE−34.5@TCU−12.5MTSU−0.5SDSU+10.5AUB−3.5GONZ+7.5RUTG−6.5VILL+20.5@MD−3.5LAS+21.5MCN−11.5USC−23.5@PSU+9.5WIS−11.5@WASH−5.5@ORE−5.5IU−29.5OSU−10.5NEB+4.5@MSU+17.5PSU−18.5@OSU+8.5@NU−14.5UCLA+14.5@PUR−20.5DUKE−1.5MINN−5.5@ILL−7.5@IOWA+17.5MSU−17.5OSU−28.5WIS+2.5PUR+29.5HOW+5.5SLU−5.5ALA+10.5TENN+6.5ARIZ−14.5CONN
OAK+0.5WAKE−34.5@TCU−12.5MTSU−0.5SDSU+10.5AUB−3.5GONZ+7.5RUTG−6.5VILL+20.5@MD−3.5LAS+21.5MCN−11.5USC−23.5@PSU+9.5WIS−11.5@WASH−5.5@ORE−5.5IU−29.5OSU−10.5NEB+4.5@MSU+17.5PSU−18.5@OSU+8.5@NU−14.5UCLA+14.5@PUR−20.5DUKE−1.5MINN−5.5@ILL−7.5@IOWA+17.5MSU−17.5OSU−28.5WIS+2.5PUR+29.5HOW+5.5SLU−5.5ALA+10.5TENN+6.5ARIZ−14.5CONNover 17under 23avg −1.6 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
37-3
93% wins
Against the spread
19-21
48% covers
Avg cover margin
+3.7
points vs the line
Over / Under
17-23
43% overs
Points for / against
87.3 / 69.5
per game
Michigan 2025-26 team stats
40 games · rank among 365 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game87.3 #4
Points per possession1.21 #8
Pace (possessions)71.7 #48
Shooting
Effective FG%58.3 #8
3-point %36.8 #33
3-point attempt rate41.5 #141
Free throw rate38.0 #102
Possessions
Turnover rate16.3 #157
Offensive rebound rate34.7 #55
Assists per game18.6 #5
Defense
Points allowed69.5 #55
Points allowed per possession0.97 #8
Opponent effective FG%44.6 #1
Opponent 3-point %30.4 #18
Turnovers forced15.2 #270
Defensive rebound rate71.8 #70
Steals per game5.6 #286
Blocks per game6.0 #2
Michigan 2025-26 schedule, lines & results
40 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Oakland non-conf | -24.5 | 156.5 | W 121-78 | W +18.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | Wake Forest non-conf (N) | -15.5 | 168.5 | W 85-84 | L -14.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU non-conf | -7.5 | 164.5 | W 67-63 | L -3.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | MTSU non-conf | -27.5 | 159.5 | W 86-61 | L -2.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | San Diego St non-conf (N) | -6.5 | 148.5 | W 94-54 | W +33.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | #21Auburn non-conf (N) | -4.5 | 163.5 | W 102-72 | W +25.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | #12Gonzaga non-conf (N) | +3.5 | 165.5 | W 101-61 | W +43.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | Rutgers | -25.5 | 153.5 | W 101-60 | W +15.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | Villanova non-conf | -17.5 | 156.5 | W 89-61 | W +10.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ Maryland | -19.5 | 163.5 | W 101-83 | L -1.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | La Salle non-conf | -40.5 | 155.5 | W 102-50 | W +11.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | McNeese non-conf | -24.5 | 161.5 | W 112-71 | W +16.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | #24USC | -22.5 | 173.5 | W 96-66 | W +7.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ Penn State | -24.5 | 169.5 | W 74-72 | L -22.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | Wisconsin | -19.5 | 169.5 | L 88-91 | L -22.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @ Washington | -12.5 | 165.5 | W 82-72 | L -2.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ Oregon | -18.5 | 157.5 | W 81-71 | L -8.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | Indiana | -15.5 | 163.5 | W 86-72 | L -1.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | Ohio State | -16.5 | 165.5 | W 74-62 | L -4.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | #5Nebraska | -11.5 | 157.5 | W 75-72 | L -8.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @ #7Michigan St | -2.5 | 149.5 | W 83-71 | W +9.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | Penn State | -26.5 | 161.5 | W 110-69 | W +14.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @ Ohio State | -8.5 | 161.5 | W 82-61 | W +12.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @ Northwestern | -15.5 | 153.5 | W 87-75 | L -3.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | UCLA | -15.5 | 156.5 | W 86-56 | W +14.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @ #7Purdue | -2.5 | 156.5 | W 91-80 | W +8.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 21 | #3Duke non-conf (N) | -3.5 | 151.5 | L 63-68 | L -8.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | Minnesota | -22.5 | 145.5 | W 77-67 | L -12.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @ #10Illinois | -1.5 | 159.5 | W 84-70 | W +12.5 | U 154 |
| Mar 5 | @ Iowa | -9.5 | 146.5 | W 71-68 | L -6.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 8 | #8Michigan St | -10.5 | 152.5 | W 90-80 | L -0.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 13 | Ohio State (N) | -12.5 | 155.5 | W 71-67 | L -8.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 14 | #23Wisconsin (N) | -12.5 | 161.5 | W 68-65 | L -9.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 15 | #18Purdue (N) | -4.5 | 149.5 | L 72-80 | L -12.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 19 | #16Howard non-conf (N) | -30.5 | 151.5 | W 101-80 | L -9.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 21 | #9Saint Louis non-conf (N) | -12.5 | 161.5 | W 95-72 | W +10.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 27 | #4Alabama non-conf (N) | -9.5 | 172.5 | W 90-77 | W +3.5 | U 167 |
| Mar 29 | #6Tennessee non-conf (N) | -8.5 | 146.5 | W 95-62 | W +24.5 | O 157 |
| Apr 4 | #1Arizona non-conf (N) | +1.5 | 157.5 | W 91-73 | W +19.5 | O 164 |
| Apr 6 | #2UConn non-conf (N) | -6.5 | 146.5 | W 69-63 | L -0.5 | U 132 |
Michigan 2025-26 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 37-3 | 19-21 | 48% | +3.7 | 17-23 | 87.3 | 69.5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-7 | 53% | +3.8 | 6-9 | 92.9 | 67.7 |
| Away | 11-0 | 4-7 | 36% | -0.5 | 4-7 | 82.1 | 71.5 |
| Neutral site | 12-2 | 7-7 | 50% | +6.9 | 7-7 | 85.5 | 69.9 |
| As favorite | 35-3 | 17-21 | 45% | +2.2 | 16-22 | 86.9 | 69.6 |
| As underdog | 2-0 | 2-0 | 100% | +31.5 | 1-1 | 96.0 | 67.0 |
| In conference | 21-2 | 8-15 | 35% | -1.3 | 9-14 | 83.9 | 70.9 |
| Non-conference | 16-1 | 11-6 | 65% | +10.5 | 8-9 | 91.9 | 67.6 |
How Michigan’s games played out
By the score at halftime
Led at halftime30 games · won 29 · covered 18
Trailed at halftime7 games · won 6 · covered 1
Tied at halftime3 games · won 2 · covered 0