1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. UNCA @ GT
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

UNC Asheville Bulldogs at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

McCamish Pavilion · at Georgia Tech
#271UNCAUNC Asheville
@
#94GTGeorgia Tech
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNCAThis seasonGT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GT 84–66 · win probability GT 94%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GT has more of the edges

UNCA 0, GT 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
GTBig
UNCA offense vs GT defense
Offense 294th of 366 against a defense 123rd, on the model’s ratings
GTBig
GT offense vs UNCA defense
Offense 71st of 366 against a defense 230th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UNCA has played the 214th-hardest schedule, GT the 78th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: UNCA plays 68.0 a game (230th fastest), GT 71.9 (38th). Faster games mean more points
GTSmall
Home court
GT at home. This season: GT 0-0 at home, UNCA 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNCA 17.4%, GT 18.6%. Forced: UNCA 15.5%, GT 15.6%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNCA 30%, GT 16%. Transfers in: UNCA 4, GT 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNCA 40.0, GT 33.3. Allowed: UNCA 38.7, GT 34.2
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNCA 51.0 and allows 51.3; GT 50.0 and allows 49.9
Even
Three-pointers
UNCA hits 35.1% and allows 32.6%; GT hits 35.1% and allows 33.1%. Threes are 33.6% and 33.1% of their shots
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNCA 29.8%, GT 29.9%. Defensive: UNCA 68.7%, GT 69.3%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—GT -17.8—
Total—149.6—
Projected score—UNCA 65.9 · GT 83.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadGT -10.5—
1H total70.0—
1H projected scoreUNCA 29.7 · GT 40.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Georgia Tech has the better starters

Position by position: UNC Asheville 0, Georgia Tech 3, even 2
UNC AshevilleBetterGeorgia Tech
G K. Phipps TR4.1 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 15
GTBig
G N. Whitlock TR20.4 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.3 ast Score 87
G K. Dunn TR7.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.7 ast Score 9
GTBig
G C. Garland TR20.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.6 ast Score 98
G J. Anderson TR1.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G K. Craft7.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 43
F M. Mayfield4 pts · 4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 5
GTBig
F V. Valdes TR14.9 pts · 4 reb · 4.5 ast Score 74
F D. Thomas2.6 pts · 5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 5
No call
F J. Fields TR4.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Not ranked
UNC AshevilleBetterGeorgia Tech
UNCA offense294th of 366 · -9.1
GTBig
GT defense123rd of 366 · -2.1
UNCA defense230th of 366 · -6.1
GTBig
GT offense71st of 366 · +1.7
Backcourt-4.7 · 3 players
GTBig
Backcourt+7.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-5.8 · 2 players
GTBig
Frontcourt+2.6 · 2 players
Bench-2.6 · 3 players
GTSmall
Bench-1.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestUNCA betterGT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UNC Asheville
Guards
K. Phipps18 min · TRK. Dunn17 min · TRJ. Anderson17 min · TRC. Jones7 minT. ChatmanNewC. DubskyNew
Forwards
M. Mayfield23 minD. Thomas21 minA. Magassa10 min · TRS. Tolentino8 minB. RiversNewQ. MansfieldNew
Georgia Tech
Guards
N. Whitlock35 min · TRC. Garland35 min · TRK. Craft21 minC. Muldrew14 min · TRK. BaileyNewK. AllenNew
Forwards
V. Valdes30 min · TRJ. Fields14 min · TRT. JordanNewM. DiopNewI. KurucsNew
Centers
C. Kirouac12 minJ. McVeyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNCAGT
Scoring
71.9 #248Points per game73.8 #208
1.06 #236Points per possession1.03 #292
68.0 #230Pace (possessions)71.9 #38
Shooting
51.0 #194Effective FG%50.0 #234
35.1 #1103-point %35.1 #109
33.6 #3073-point attempt rate33.1 #313
40.0 #60Free throw rate33.3 #229
Possessions
17.4 #230Turnover rate18.6 #306
29.8 #211Offensive rebound rate29.9 #203
10.1 #358Assists per game15.8 #55
Defense
74.2 #161Points allowed77.4 #247
1.09 #203Points allowed per possession1.08 #148
51.3 #175Opponent effective FG%49.9 #94
32.6 #93Opponent 3-point %33.1 #134
15.5 #251Turnovers forced15.6 #244
68.7 #218Defensive rebound rate69.3 #189
5.1 #324Steals per game6.1 #229
3.5 #133Blocks per game3.9 #80
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UNC Asheville

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs High Point71–75
  • Wvs Longwood85–82
  • Lvs Charleston So75–92
  • W@ Gardner-Webb77–71
  • Wvs Radford74–73

A week or more of rest.

Georgia Tech

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 2-16 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Clemson76–79
  • Lvs California65–76
  • Lvs Florida St71–80
  • L@ Louisville70–87
  • Lvs Virginia68–94

A week or more of rest.