Farris Center · at C Arkansas
#305ORUOral Roberts
@
#240CARKC Arkansas
LineCARK -8.5no move
Total154.5no move
Season records: Oral Roberts and C Arkansas
ORUThis seasonCARK
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CARK 78–70 · win probability CARK 77%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
CARK -8.5
no move since the open
Total
154.5
model 148.4 · Under by 6
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public on the spread
93% ORU
33% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CARK has more of the edges

ORU 0, CARK 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CARKBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ORU 18.4%, CARK 15.4%. Forced: ORU 14.7%, CARK 19.1%
CARKBig
Three-pointers
ORU hits 32.0% and allows 37.4%; CARK hits 35.5% and allows 35.2%. Threes are 45.6% and 48.7% of their shots
CARKSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ORU 28.4%, CARK 28.8%. Defensive: ORU 68.2%, CARK 72.6%
CARKSmall
CARK offense vs ORU defense
Offense 231st of 366 against a defense 326th, on the model’s ratings
CARKSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: ORU 49.6 and allows 53.6; CARK 54.0 and allows 54.9
CARKSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: ORU 34.8, CARK 31.2. Allowed: ORU 39.1, CARK 30.1
CARKSmall
Home court
CARK at home. This season: CARK 0-0 at home, ORU 0-0 away
Even
ORU offense vs CARK defense
Offense 279th of 366 against a defense 241st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ORU 54%, CARK 62%. Transfers in: ORU 2, CARK 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: ORU plays 69.7 a game (134th fastest), CARK 70.2 (105th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
ORU has played the 246th-hardest schedule, CARK the 241st. A record against a soft schedule means less

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 7 to 9.5180678%49%50%
Non-conference games at this spread83279%51%51%
Games with a total of 150 to 154.5275575%51%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
No change since the open
Total
No change since the open
Moneyline
ORU +313 · CARK -420
Line movement
Median of 7 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened CARK -8.5 · unchangedmodel CARK -8.5 matches the line
Opened 154.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
ORU +8.5SpreadCARK -8.5
Bets
Money
Money leans CARK -8.5 · 60 pts more of the money than of the bets
Over 154.5TotalUnder 154.5
Bets
Money
ORUWinnerCARK
Bets
Money

Books

7 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
ORUCARKOverUnderORUCARK
BetMGMMGM-8.5-110+8.5-110154.5-115154.5-105+310-400
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-8-102+8-118154.5-115154.5-105——
BetRiversBetRivers-8.5-118+8.5-108154.5-114154.5-112+295-420
BetUSBetUS-8+100+8-120154.5-115154.5-105——
BovadaBovada-9-115+9-105155-110155-110+315-420
DraftKingsDK-8.5-110+8.5-110154.5-115154.5-105+330-425
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-8+102+8-114154.5-113154.5-103——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadCARK -8.5CARK -8.5—
Total154.5148.4Under 6.1
Projected score—ORU 70 · CARK 78.4

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadCARK -4.9—
1H total69.4—
1H projected scoreORU 32.2 · CARK 37.2—

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Oral Roberts 2, C Arkansas 2, even 1
Oral RobertsBetterC Arkansas
G C. Dow12.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 50
ORUSmall
G L. Moore9.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.5 ast Score 28
G C. Furnish3.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 10
CARKBig
G T. Robinson14.2 pts · 5.6 reb · 2 ast Score 89
G C. Martin2.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 8
CARKBig
G C. McCormick9.1 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 44
G M. Kilups3.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 9
Even
G H. Beauchamp4.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 1 ast Score 8
F L. Gray7.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 57
ORUBig
F M. Marable3.7 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 3
Oral RobertsBetterC Arkansas
ORU offense279th of 366 · -8.5
Even
CARK defense241st of 366 · -6.4
ORU defense326th of 366 · -8.4
CARKSmall
CARK offense231st of 366 · -7.1
Backcourt-7.9 · 4 players
CARKBig
Backcourt-2.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt0.0 · 1 player
ORUSmall
Frontcourt-3.0 · 1 player
Bench-1.5 · 2 players
Even
Bench-1.8 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestORU betterCARK betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Oral Roberts
Guards
C. Dow33 minC. Furnish21 minC. Martin20 minM. Kilups18 minC. Haffner13 min · TRA. Robinson9 min · TR
Forwards
L. Gray17 minT. ZorbasNewM. PavlovicNewM. GavazovNewA. BlancoNew
C Arkansas
Guards
L. Moore30 minT. Robinson28 minC. McCormick23 minH. Beauchamp15 minO. Dehrmann3 minJ. Shulman3 min
Forwards
M. Marable21 minT. Anderson12 min · TRS. Saadi9 min · TRA. HoernerNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ORUCARK
Scoring
71.8 #250Points per game79.3 #77
1.03 #291Points per possession1.13 #90
69.7 #134Pace (possessions)70.2 #105
Shooting
49.6 #256Effective FG%54.0 #68
32.0 #2823-point %35.5 #89
45.6 #563-point attempt rate48.7 #21
34.8 #187Free throw rate31.2 #278
Possessions
18.4 #293Turnover rate15.4 #92
28.4 #249Offensive rebound rate28.8 #240
11.5 #312Assists per game16.0 #46
Defense
79.7 #312Points allowed76.0 #216
1.15 #319Points allowed per possession1.08 #180
53.6 #289Opponent effective FG%54.9 #328
37.4 #348Opponent 3-point %35.2 #262
14.7 #310Turnovers forced19.1 #45
68.2 #247Defensive rebound rate72.6 #48
5.7 #268Steals per game8.5 #18
3.4 #154Blocks per game1.9 #351

Oral Roberts

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-13 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St65–76
  • Wvs Kansas City84–62
  • W@ Kansas City94–70
  • Wvs Denver102–80
  • Wvs South Dakota67–62

A week or more of rest.

C Arkansas

20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 17-4 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Queens University Royals93–98
  • Wvs FGCU73–63
  • Wvs Bellarmine86–73
  • Wvs Queens University Royals84–79
  • W@ Austin Peay93–88

A week or more of rest.