Farris Center · at C Arkansas
Line
CARK -8.5no move
Total154.5no move
| This season | CARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects CARK 78–70 · win probability CARK 77%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
CARK -8.5
no move since the open
Total
154.5
model 148.4 · Under by 6
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public on the spread
93% ORU
33% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: CARK has more of the edges
ORU 0, CARK 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ORU 18.4%, CARK 15.4%. Forced: ORU 14.7%, CARK 19.1%
Three-pointers
ORU hits 32.0% and allows 37.4%; CARK hits 35.5% and allows 35.2%. Threes are 45.6% and 48.7% of their shots
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ORU 28.4%, CARK 28.8%. Defensive: ORU 68.2%, CARK 72.6%
CARK offense vs ORU defense
Offense 231st of 366 against a defense 326th, on the model’s ratings
Shooting
Effective FG%: ORU 49.6 and allows 53.6; CARK 54.0 and allows 54.9
Free throws
Free throw rate: ORU 34.8, CARK 31.2. Allowed: ORU 39.1, CARK 30.1
Home court
CARK at home. This season: CARK 0-0 at home, ORU 0-0 away
Even
ORU offense vs CARK defense
Offense 279th of 366 against a defense 241st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ORU 54%, CARK 62%. Transfers in: ORU 2, CARK 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: ORU plays 69.7 a game (134th fastest), CARK 70.2 (105th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
ORU has played the 246th-hardest schedule, CARK the 241st. A record against a soft schedule means less
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 7 to 9.5 | 1806 | 78% | 49% | 50% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 832 | 79% | 51% | 51% |
| Games with a total of 150 to 154.5 | 2755 | 75% | 51% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenCARK -8.5
no move
NowCARK -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
no move
Now154.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ORU +313 · CARK -420
Line movement
Median of 7 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened CARK -8.5 · unchangedmodel CARK -8.5 matches the line
model CARK -8.5 = line ✓
Opened 154.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Money leans CARK -8.5 · 60 pts more of the money than of the bets
Over 154.5TotalUnder 154.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
7 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORU | CARK | Over | Under | ORU | CARK | |
| BetMGMMGM | -8.5-110 | +8.5-110 | 154.5-115 | 154.5-105 | +310 | -400 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -8-102 | +8-118 | 154.5-115 | 154.5-105 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -8.5-118 | +8.5-108 | 154.5-114 | 154.5-112 | +295 | -420 |
| BetUSBetUS | -8+100 | +8-120 | 154.5-115 | 154.5-105 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -9-115 | +9-105 | 155-110 | 155-110 | +315 | -420 |
| DraftKingsDK | -8.5-110 | +8.5-110 | 154.5-115 | 154.5-105 | +330 | -425 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -8+102 | +8-114 | 154.5-113 | 154.5-103 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CARK -8.5 | CARK -8.5 | — |
| Total | 154.5 | 148.4 | Under 6.1 |
| Projected score | — | ORU 70 · CARK 78.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CARK -4.9 | — |
| 1H total | 69.4 | — |
| 1H projected score | ORU 32.2 · CARK 37.2 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | |
| 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ORU 1–1 CARKSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · ORU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | CARK 78 @ ORU 111 | ORU -18.5 | ORU W |
| Nov 20, 2021-22 | ORU 67 @ CARK 70 | CARK +12.5 | CARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oral Roberts
30 games played
Straight up
7-23
23% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 71-95 | +20.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs | L 87-88 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 71-95 | +24.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 88-93 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 91-83 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 166.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 62-81 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 66-92 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 72-68 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 62-63 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 53-72 | +23.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 22 | vs | L 57-69 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 61-72 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 77-79 | +13.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 71-82 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 87-98 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 22 | vs | L 62-79 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 58-86 | +10.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 29 | @ | L 69-77 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 72-95 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 75-92 | +15.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 12 | vs | W 69-60 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 69-87 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 71-80 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 67-62 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 26 | vs | W 102-80 | +2.5 | W +24.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 94-70 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 4 | vs | W 84-62 | -8.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 5 | vs | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
OKST
L 71-95
−3.5
12
vs
TLSA
L 87-88
+4.5
15
vs
BEL
L 60-83
−15.5
20
@
OU
L 71-95
+0.5
24
@
FGCU
L 88-93
+6.5
25
vs
KENN
W 91-83
+16.5
26
vs
RICE
L 62-81
−13.5
3
@
WEB
L 66-92
−18.5
6
vs
MTST
W 72-68
+10.5
16
@
MOST
L 62-63
+3.5
18
@
TCU
L 53-72
+4.5
22
vs
UTA
L 57-69
−8.5
1
@
UND
L 61-72
−9.5
3
@
NDSU
L 77-79
+11.5
10
vs
STMN
L 71-82
−2.5
14
@
DEN
L 87-98
−4.5
17
vs
OMA
L 62-73
−12.5
22
vs
UND
L 62-79
−18.5
24
vs
NDSU
L 58-86
−17.5
29
@
SDAK
L 69-77
−4.5
31
@
SDST
L 72-95
−9.5
7
@
STMN
L 75-92
−1.5
12
vs
KC
W 69-60
+2.5
14
vs
SDST
L 69-87
−12.5
18
@
OMA
L 71-80
−2.5
21
vs
SDAK
W 67-62
+3.5
26
vs
DEN
W 102-80
+24.5
28
@
KC
W 94-70
+20.5
4
vs
KC
W 84-62
+13.5
5
vs
NDSU
L 65-76
+1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
OKST
L 71-95
+0.5
12
vs
TLSA
L 87-88
+14.5
15
vs
BEL
L 60-83
−28.5
20
@
OU
L 71-95
−0.5
24
@
FGCU
L 88-93
+27.5
25
vs
KENN
W 91-83
+7.5
26
vs
RICE
L 62-81
−7.5
3
@
WEB
L 66-92
+0.5
6
vs
MTST
W 72-68
−10.5
16
@
MOST
L 62-63
−21.5
18
@
TCU
L 53-72
−22.5
22
vs
UTA
L 57-69
−10.5
1
@
UND
L 61-72
−15.5
3
@
NDSU
L 77-79
+9.5
10
vs
STMN
L 71-82
+0.5
14
@
DEN
L 87-98
+28.5
17
vs
OMA
L 62-73
−14.5
22
vs
UND
L 62-79
−8.5
24
vs
NDSU
L 58-86
−7.5
29
@
SDAK
L 69-77
−8.5
31
@
SDST
L 72-95
+16.5
7
@
STMN
L 75-92
+15.5
12
vs
KC
W 69-60
−21.5
14
vs
SDST
L 69-87
+8.5
18
@
OMA
L 71-80
−0.5
21
vs
SDAK
W 67-62
−22.5
26
vs
DEN
W 102-80
+25.5
28
@
KC
W 94-70
+14.5
4
vs
KC
W 84-62
−3.5
5
vs
NDSU
L 65-76
−6.5
over 13under 17avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Arkansas
32 games played
Straight up
20-12
63% wins
Against the spread
20-12
63% covers · avg +5.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-16
50% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 54-94 | +31.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 56-93 | +35.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 77-84 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 56-74 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 92-65 | +4.5 | W +31.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 85-47 | -3.5 | W +34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 68-75 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 72-83 | +36.5 | W +25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 82-99 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 85-83 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 93-73 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 78-84 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 75-79 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 62-60 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 98-69 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 22 | @ | W 86-65 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 100-90 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 90-81 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 81-60 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 86-78 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 9 | @ | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 84-76 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 79-62 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 19 | @ | W 88-76 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 71-75 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 25 | @ | W 93-88 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 84-79 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 86-73 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 73-63 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 8 | vs | L 93-98 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | O 191 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UNC
L 54-94
−8.5
11
@
ARK
L 56-93
−1.5
16
vs
SAM
L 77-84
−0.5
20
@
UNT
L 56-74
−1.5
23
vs
EWU
W 92-65
+31.5
25
vs
EIU
W 81-60
+15.5
29
@
ETSU
L 57-80
−10.5
3
vs
LR
W 85-47
+34.5
7
@
ETAM
L 68-75
−4.5
13
@
VAN
L 72-83
+25.5
21
@
SMU
L 82-99
+7.5
1
vs
FGCU
W 85-83
+4.5
3
vs
STET
W 93-73
+8.5
8
@
BELL
L 78-84
−8.5
10
@
EKU
L 75-79
−5.5
15
vs
JAX
W 62-60
−5.5
17
vs
UNF
W 98-69
+16.5
22
@
WGA
W 86-65
+17.5
28
@
QUC
W 100-90
+15.5
31
vs
EKU
W 90-81
+4.5
4
vs
UNA
W 81-60
+10.5
7
@
LIP
W 86-78
+11.5
9
@
UNA
W 72-65
+0.5
11
vs
BELL
W 84-76
−0.5
14
vs
WGA
W 79-62
+6.5
19
@
STET
W 88-76
+2.5
21
@
FGCU
L 71-75
−5.5
25
@
APSU
W 93-88
+9.5
28
vs
QUC
W 84-79
+2.5
6
vs
BELL
W 86-73
+6.5
7
vs
FGCU
W 73-63
+5.5
8
vs
QUC
L 93-98
−6.5
covered 20didn’t cover 12avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
UNC
L 54-94
−9.5
11
@
ARK
L 56-93
−9.5
16
vs
SAM
L 77-84
+9.5
20
@
UNT
L 56-74
−4.5
23
vs
EWU
W 92-65
+2.5
25
vs
EIU
W 81-60
+1.5
29
@
ETSU
L 57-80
−7.5
3
vs
LR
W 85-47
−6.5
7
@
ETAM
L 68-75
−2.5
13
@
VAN
L 72-83
−3.5
21
@
SMU
L 82-99
+24.5
1
vs
FGCU
W 85-83
+11.5
3
vs
STET
W 93-73
+18.5
8
@
BELL
L 78-84
+7.5
10
@
EKU
L 75-79
−2.5
15
vs
JAX
W 62-60
−14.5
17
vs
UNF
W 98-69
+2.5
22
@
WGA
W 86-65
−3.5
28
@
QUC
W 100-90
+31.5
31
vs
EKU
W 90-81
+19.5
4
vs
UNA
W 81-60
−6.5
7
@
LIP
W 86-78
+8.5
9
@
UNA
W 72-65
−8.5
11
vs
BELL
W 84-76
+9.5
14
vs
WGA
W 79-62
−9.5
19
@
STET
W 88-76
+14.5
21
@
FGCU
L 71-75
−6.5
25
@
APSU
W 93-88
+28.5
28
vs
QUC
W 84-79
−0.5
6
vs
BELL
W 86-73
+4.5
7
vs
FGCU
W 73-63
−8.5
8
vs
QUC
L 93-98
+33.5
over 16under 16avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The starting fives are even
Position by position: Oral Roberts 2, C Arkansas 2, even 1
Oral RobertsBetterC Arkansas
G C. Dow12.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 50
←ORUSmall
G L. Moore9.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 28
G C. Furnish3.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 10
→CARKBig
G T. Robinson14.2 pts · 5.6 reb · 2 ast
Score 89
G C. Martin2.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 8
→CARKBig
G C. McCormick9.1 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 44
G M. Kilups3.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 9
=Even
G H. Beauchamp4.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 1 ast
Score 8
F L. Gray7.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.3 ast
Score 57
←ORUBig
F M. Marable3.7 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 3
Oral RobertsBetterC Arkansas
ORU offense279th of 366 · -8.5
=Even
CARK defense241st of 366 · -6.4
ORU defense326th of 366 · -8.4
→CARKSmall
CARK offense231st of 366 · -7.1
Backcourt-7.9 · 4 players
→CARKBig
Backcourt-2.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt0.0 · 1 player
←ORUSmall
Frontcourt-3.0 · 1 player
Bench-1.5 · 2 players
=Even
Bench-1.8 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestORU betterCARK betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
C. Dow33 minC. Furnish21 minC. Martin20 minM. Kilups18 minC. Haffner13 min · TRA. Robinson9 min · TR
Forwards
L. Gray17 minT. ZorbasNewM. PavlovicNewM. GavazovNewA. BlancoNew
Guards
L. Moore30 minT. Robinson28 minC. McCormick23 minH. Beauchamp15 minO. Dehrmann3 minJ. Shulman3 min
Forwards
M. Marable21 minT. Anderson12 min · TRS. Saadi9 min · TRA. HoernerNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 71.8 #250 | Points per game | 79.3 #77 |
| 1.03 #291 | Points per possession | 1.13 #90 |
| 69.7 #134 | Pace (possessions) | 70.2 #105 |
| Shooting | ||
| 49.6 #256 | Effective FG% | 54.0 #68 |
| 32.0 #282 | 3-point % | 35.5 #89 |
| 45.6 #56 | 3-point attempt rate | 48.7 #21 |
| 34.8 #187 | Free throw rate | 31.2 #278 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.4 #293 | Turnover rate | 15.4 #92 |
| 28.4 #249 | Offensive rebound rate | 28.8 #240 |
| 11.5 #312 | Assists per game | 16.0 #46 |
| Defense | ||
| 79.7 #312 | Points allowed | 76.0 #216 |
| 1.15 #319 | Points allowed per possession | 1.08 #180 |
| 53.6 #289 | Opponent effective FG% | 54.9 #328 |
| 37.4 #348 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.2 #262 |
| 14.7 #310 | Turnovers forced | 19.1 #45 |
| 68.2 #247 | Defensive rebound rate | 72.6 #48 |
| 5.7 #268 | Steals per game | 8.5 #18 |
| 3.4 #154 | Blocks per game | 1.9 #351 |
Oral Roberts
7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-13 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs N Dakota St65–76
- Wvs Kansas City84–62
- W@ Kansas City94–70
- Wvs Denver102–80
- Wvs South Dakota67–62
A week or more of rest.
C Arkansas
20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 17-4 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Queens University Royals93–98
- Wvs FGCU73–63
- Wvs Bellarmine86–73
- Wvs Queens University Royals84–79
- W@ Austin Peay93–88
A week or more of rest.