Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Tulsa Golden Hurricane: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ETReynolds Center · at Tulsa

#108TLSATulsa

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Oral Roberts and Tulsa
ORU	This season	TLSA
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TLSA 85–67 · win probability TLSA 93%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 151.8

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TLSA has more of the edges

ORU 1, TLSA 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

TLSABig

Three-pointers

ORU hits 32.0% and allows 37.4%; TLSA hits 38.5% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 45.6% and 46.7% of their shots

TLSABig

TLSA offense vs ORU defense

Offense 99th of 366 against a defense 326th, on the model’s ratings

TLSABig

Shooting

Effective FG%: ORU 49.6 and allows 53.6; TLSA 55.4 and allows 49.5

TLSABig

Free throws

Free throw rate: ORU 34.8, TLSA 41.4. Allowed: ORU 39.1, TLSA 32.0

TLSABig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: ORU 28.4%, TLSA 32.8%. Defensive: ORU 68.2%, TLSA 71.0%

TLSABig

ORU offense vs TLSA defense

Offense 279th of 366 against a defense 133rd, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

ORU has played the 246th-hardest schedule, TLSA the 111th. A record against a soft schedule means less

TLSABig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: ORU 18.4%, TLSA 15.6%. Forced: ORU 14.7%, TLSA 15.4%

ORUSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: ORU 54%, TLSA 18%. Transfers in: ORU 2, TLSA 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

TLSASmall

Home court

TLSA at home. This season: TLSA 0-0 at home, ORU 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 70 possessions: ORU plays 69.7 a game (134th fastest), TLSA 70.1 (115th). Faster games mean more points

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	TLSA -17.1	—
Total	—	151.8	—
Projected score	—	ORU 67.3 · TLSA 84.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	TLSA -10.1	—
1H total	71.0	—
1H projected score	ORU 30.4 · TLSA 40.5	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORU WWWWW	14-16	47%	6-8	—
TLSA LWLWL	19-17	53%	9-7	—

Venue/role: ORU away; TLSA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORU UOOUU	13-17	43%	7-23
TLSA OUOUO	24-12	67%	28-8

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORU	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
TLSA	8-2 80%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Oral Roberts

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 17	@ SMU	No recent meeting
Nov 21	vs AMCC	No recent meeting
Nov 24	@ UTA	L57–69LU

Tulsa

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 16	vs WKU	W82–81LO
Nov 20	vs MSST	No recent meeting
Nov 23	vs ORST	L70–73LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

ORU 3–2 TLSAORU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · TLSA has won the last 2 meetings · ORU 5-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 12, 2025-26	TLSA 88 @ ORU 87	ORU +5.5	ORU W
Nov 13, 2024-25	ORU 76 @ TLSA 85	TLSA -9.5	ORU W
Dec 2, 2023-24	TLSA 70 @ ORU 79	ORU -3.5	ORU W
Dec 3, 2022-23	ORU 77 @ TLSA 66	TLSA +4.5	ORU W
Nov 29, 2021-22	TLSA 80 @ ORU 87	ORU -2	ORU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Oral Roberts

30 games played

Straight up

7-23

23% wins

Against the spread

14-16

47% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-17

43% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-2323%

L L L L L W L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1647%

L W L W W W L L W W W L L W L L L L L L L L W L L W W W W W

5 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-1743%

O O U U O O U O U U U U U O O O U U U U O O U O U U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@OKST	L 71-95	+20.5	L −3.5	165.5	O 166
Nov 12	vsTLSA	L 87-88	+5.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 15	vsBEL	L 60-83	+7.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 143
Nov 20	@OU	L 71-95	+24.5	W +0.5	166.5	U 166
Nov 24	@FGCU	L 88-93	+11.5	W +6.5	153.5	O 181
Nov 25	vsKENN	W 91-83	+8.5	W +16.5	166.5	O 174
Nov 26	vsRICE	L 62-81	+5.5	L −13.5	150.5	U 143
Dec 3	@WEB	L 66-92	+7.5	L −18.5	157.5	O 158
Dec 6	vsMTST	W 72-68	+6.5	W +10.5	150.5	U 140
Dec 16	@MOST	L 62-63	+4.5	W +3.5	146.5	U 125
Dec 18	@TCU	L 53-72	+23.5	W +4.5	147.5	U 125
Dec 22	vsUTA	L 57-69	+3.5	L −8.5	136.5	U 126
Jan 1	@UND	L 61-72	+1.5	L −9.5	148.5	U 133
Jan 3	@NDSU	L 77-79	+13.5	W +11.5	146.5	O 156
Jan 10	vsSTMN	L 71-82	+8.5	L −2.5	152.5	O 153
Jan 14	@DEN	L 87-98	+6.5	L −4.5	156.5	O 185
Jan 17	vsOMA	L 62-73	-1.5	L −12.5	149.5	U 135
Jan 22	vsUND	L 62-79	-1.5	L −18.5	149.5	U 141
Jan 24	vsNDSU	L 58-86	+10.5	L −17.5	151.5	U 144
Jan 29	@SDAK	L 69-77	+3.5	L −4.5	154.5	U 146
Jan 31	@SDST	L 72-95	+13.5	L −9.5	150.5	O 167
Feb 7	@STMN	L 75-92	+15.5	L −1.5	151.5	O 167
Feb 12	vsKC	W 69-60	-6.5	W +2.5	150.5	U 129
Feb 14	vsSDST	L 69-87	+5.5	L −12.5	147.5	O 156
Feb 18	@OMA	L 71-80	+6.5	L −2.5	151.5	U 151
Feb 21	vsSDAK	W 67-62	-1.5	W +3.5	151.5	U 129
Feb 26	vsDEN	W 102-80	+2.5	W +24.5	156.5	O 182
Feb 28	@KC	W 94-70	-3.5	W +20.5	149.5	O 164
Mar 4	vsKC	W 84-62	-8.5	W +13.5	149.5	U 146
Mar 5	vsNDSU	L 65-76	+12.5	W +1.5	147.5	U 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

−3.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+4.5

BEL

L 60-83

−15.5

L 71-95

+0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+6.5

KENN

W 91-83

+16.5

RICE

L 62-81

−13.5

WEB

L 66-92

−18.5

MTST

W 72-68

+10.5

MOST

L 62-63

+3.5

TCU

L 53-72

+4.5

UTA

L 57-69

−8.5

UND

L 61-72

−9.5

NDSU

L 77-79

+11.5

STMN

L 71-82

−2.5

DEN

L 87-98

−4.5

OMA

L 62-73

−12.5

UND

L 62-79

−18.5

NDSU

L 58-86

−17.5

SDAK

L 69-77

−4.5

SDST

L 72-95

−9.5

STMN

L 75-92

−1.5

W 69-60

+2.5

SDST

L 69-87

−12.5

OMA

L 71-80

−2.5

SDAK

W 67-62

+3.5

DEN

W 102-80

+24.5

W 94-70

+20.5

W 84-62

+13.5

NDSU

L 65-76

+1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

+0.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+14.5

BEL

L 60-83

−28.5

L 71-95

−0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+27.5

KENN

W 91-83

+7.5

RICE

L 62-81

−7.5

WEB

L 66-92

+0.5

MTST

W 72-68

−10.5

MOST

L 62-63

−21.5

TCU

L 53-72

−22.5

UTA

L 57-69

−10.5

UND

L 61-72

−15.5

NDSU

L 77-79

+9.5

STMN

L 71-82

+0.5

DEN

L 87-98

+28.5

OMA

L 62-73

−14.5

UND

L 62-79

−8.5

NDSU

L 58-86

−7.5

SDAK

L 69-77

−8.5

SDST

L 72-95

+16.5

STMN

L 75-92

+15.5

W 69-60

−21.5

SDST

L 69-87

+8.5

OMA

L 71-80

−0.5

SDAK

W 67-62

−22.5

DEN

W 102-80

+25.5

W 94-70

+14.5

W 84-62

−3.5

NDSU

L 65-76

−6.5

over 13under 17avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Tulsa

36 games played

Straight up

28-8

78% wins

Against the spread

19-17

53% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

24-12

67% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

28-878%

W W L W W W W W W W W W L L W W W W W W W L L L W W W W W W L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1753%

W L W W W W W W W L L W L L W W W L W W L L L L L W W W L L L L W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

24-1267%

U O O O U U O O O O O U O O O O U O O O U U U O O O U O O O U O U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsURI	W 82-65	+3.5	W +20.5	153.5	U 147
Nov 12	@ORU	W 88-87	-5.5	L −4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 17	@KSU	L 83-84	+12.5	W +11.5	160.5	O 167
Nov 21	vsAPSU	W 84-75	-8.5	W +0.5	148.5	O 159
Nov 25	vsSJSU	W 81-51	-5.5	W +24.5	149.5	U 132
Nov 26	vsUNI	W 63-60	+2.5	W +5.5	137.5	U 123
Dec 6	vsMOST	W 98-74	-7.5	W +16.5	142.5	O 172
Dec 10	vsUAPB	W 117-84	-25.5	W +7.5	155.5	O 201
Dec 13	vsNMSU	W 83-70	-4.5	W +8.5	146.5	O 153
Dec 19	@WKU	W 82-81	-2.5	L −1.5	158.5	O 163
Dec 22	vsDEN	W 90-85	-16.5	L −11.5	160.5	O 175
Dec 31	vsRICE	W 97-48	-12.5	W +36.5	152.5	U 145
Jan 4	@UNT	L 67-72	-2.5	L −7.5	138.5	O 139
Jan 10	vsUSF	L 78-93	-1.5	L −16.5	163.5	O 171
Jan 14	@CLT	W 86-74	-3.5	W +8.5	146.5	O 160
Jan 18	@UAB	W 99-77	+1.5	W +23.5	159.5	O 176
Jan 21	vsMEM	W 83-66	-6.5	W +10.5	153.5	U 149
Jan 24	@RICE	W 87-81	-8.5	L −2.5	152.5	O 168
Jan 28	vsUNT	W 82-66	-8.5	W +7.5	141.5	O 148
Feb 1	vsWICH	W 93-83	-5.5	W +4.5	154.5	O 176
Feb 4	@FAU	W 78-76	-3.5	L −1.5	162.5	U 154
Feb 8	@USF	L 74-80	+4.5	L −1.5	170.5	U 154
Feb 11	vsUAB	L 63-68	-10.5	L −15.5	161.5	U 131
Feb 14	@WICH	L 77-81	+1.5	L −2.5	152.5	O 158
Feb 18	vsCLT	W 79-74	-12.5	L −7.5	151.5	O 153
Feb 22	vsUTSA	W 100-74	-21.5	W +4.5	159.5	O 174
Feb 25	@TULN	W 90-56	-5.5	W +28.5	156.5	U 146
Mar 5	@ECU	W 93-66	-8.5	W +18.5	156.5	O 159
Mar 8	vsTEM	W 78-76	-11.5	L −9.5	149.5	O 154
Mar 13	vsUNT	W 90-84	-7.5	L −1.5	141.5	O 174
Mar 14	vsWICH	L 68-81	-1.5	L −14.5	152.5	U 149
Mar 17	vsSFA	W 89-84	-5.5	L −0.5	149.5	O 173
Mar 22	vsUNLV	W 77-66	-4.5	W +6.5	161.5	U 143
Mar 24	vsWICH	W 83-79	-4.5	L −0.5	154.5	O 162
Apr 2	vsUNM	W 74-69	+2.5	W +7.5	161.5	U 143
Apr 5	vsAUB	L 86-92	+5.5	L −0.5	158.5	O 178

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

URI

W 82-65

+20.5

ORU

W 88-87

−4.5

KSU

L 83-84

+11.5

APSU

W 84-75

+0.5

SJSU

W 81-51

+24.5

UNI

W 63-60

+5.5

MOST

W 98-74

+16.5

UAPB

W 117-84

+7.5

NMSU

W 83-70

+8.5

WKU

W 82-81

−1.5

DEN

W 90-85

−11.5

RICE

W 97-48

+36.5

UNT

L 67-72

−7.5

USF

L 78-93

−16.5

CLT

W 86-74

+8.5

UAB

W 99-77

+23.5

MEM

W 83-66

+10.5

RICE

W 87-81

−2.5

UNT

W 82-66

+7.5

WICH

W 93-83

+4.5

FAU

W 78-76

−1.5

USF

L 74-80

−1.5

UAB

L 63-68

−15.5

WICH

L 77-81

−2.5

CLT

W 79-74

−7.5

UTSA

W 100-74

+4.5

TULN

W 90-56

+28.5

ECU

W 93-66

+18.5

TEM

W 78-76

−9.5

UNT

W 90-84

−1.5

WICH

L 68-81

−14.5

SFA

W 89-84

−0.5

UNLV

W 77-66

+6.5

WICH

W 83-79

−0.5

UNM

W 74-69

+7.5

AUB

L 86-92

−0.5

covered 19didn’t cover 17avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

URI

W 82-65

−6.5

ORU

W 88-87

+14.5

KSU

L 83-84

+6.5

APSU

W 84-75

+10.5

SJSU

W 81-51

−17.5

UNI

W 63-60

−14.5

MOST

W 98-74

+29.5

UAPB

W 117-84

+45.5

NMSU

W 83-70

+6.5

WKU

W 82-81

+4.5

DEN

W 90-85

+14.5

RICE

W 97-48

−7.5

UNT

L 67-72

+0.5

USF

L 78-93

+7.5

CLT

W 86-74

+13.5

UAB

W 99-77

+16.5

MEM

W 83-66

−4.5

RICE

W 87-81

+15.5

UNT

W 82-66

+6.5

WICH

W 93-83

+21.5

FAU

W 78-76

−8.5

USF

L 74-80

−16.5

UAB

L 63-68

−30.5

WICH

L 77-81

+5.5

CLT

W 79-74

+1.5

UTSA

W 100-74

+14.5

TULN

W 90-56

−10.5

ECU

W 93-66

+2.5

TEM

W 78-76

+4.5

UNT

W 90-84

+32.5

WICH

L 68-81

−3.5

SFA

W 89-84

+23.5

UNLV

W 77-66

−18.5

WICH

W 83-79

+7.5

UNM

W 74-69

−18.5

AUB

L 86-92

+19.5

over 24under 12avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Tulsa has the better starters

Position by position: Oral Roberts 1, Tulsa 3, even 1

Oral RobertsBetterTulsa

G C. Dow12.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 50

Even

G K. Williams TR14.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 46

G C. Furnish3.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 10

TLSABig

G J. Johnson TR15 pts · 3.5 reb · 2 ast Score 69

G C. Martin2.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 8

TLSABig

G B. Moss TR9.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 54

G M. Kilups3.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 9

TLSASmall

F M. Emory TR11.3 pts · 6.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 27

F L. Gray7.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 57

ORUSmall

F C. Loofe TR7.1 pts · 6.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 26

Oral RobertsBetterTulsa

ORU offense279th of 366 · -8.5

TLSABig

TLSA defense133rd of 366 · -2.5

ORU defense326th of 366 · -8.4

TLSABig

TLSA offense99th of 366 · -0.8

Backcourt-7.9 · 4 players

TLSABig

Backcourt-0.9 · 3 players

Frontcourt0.0 · 1 player

ORUBig

Frontcourt-3.8 · 2 players

Bench-1.5 · 2 players

TLSASmall

Bench+1.3 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestORU betterTLSA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Oral Roberts

Guards

C. Dow33 minC. Furnish21 minC. Martin20 minM. Kilups18 minC. Haffner13 min · TRA. Robinson9 min · TR

Forwards

L. Gray17 minT. ZorbasNewM. PavlovicNewM. GavazovNewA. BlancoNew

Tulsa

Guards

K. Williams36 min · TRJ. Johnson33 min · TRB. Moss27 min · TRM. Williams21 min · TRM. Rigsby19 minJ. Lawal13 min

Forwards

M. Emory37 min · TRC. Loofe26 min · TRK. Banks16 min · TRD. DesireNewA. DimitrijevicNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

ORU71.8 #250

TLSA83.9 #20

Points per possession

ORU1.03 #291

TLSA1.20 #16

Pace (possessions)

ORU69.7 #134

TLSA70.1 #115

Shooting

Effective FG%

ORU49.6 #256

TLSA55.4 #29

3-point %

ORU32.0 #282

TLSA38.5 #10

3-point attempt rate

ORU45.6 #56

TLSA46.7 #37

Free throw rate

ORU34.8 #187

TLSA41.4 #39

Possessions

Turnover rate

ORU18.4 #293

TLSA15.6 #109

Offensive rebound rate

ORU28.4 #249

TLSA32.8 #95

Assists per game

ORU11.5 #312

TLSA15.1 #79

Defense

Points allowed

ORU79.7 #312

TLSA74.4 #172

Points allowed per possession

ORU1.15 #319

TLSA1.06 #111

Opponent effective FG%

ORU53.6 #289

TLSA49.5 #82

Opponent 3-point %

ORU37.4 #348

TLSA32.4 #85

Turnovers forced

ORU14.7 #310

TLSA15.4 #260

Defensive rebound rate

ORU68.2 #247

TLSA71.0 #108

Steals per game

ORU5.7 #268

TLSA6.6 #170

Blocks per game

ORU3.4 #154

TLSA2.5 #306

ORU		TLSA
Scoring
71.8 #250	Points per game	83.9 #20
1.03 #291	Points per possession	1.20 #16
69.7 #134	Pace (possessions)	70.1 #115
Shooting
49.6 #256	Effective FG%	55.4 #29
32.0 #282	3-point %	38.5 #10
45.6 #56	3-point attempt rate	46.7 #37
34.8 #187	Free throw rate	41.4 #39
Possessions
18.4 #293	Turnover rate	15.6 #109
28.4 #249	Offensive rebound rate	32.8 #95
11.5 #312	Assists per game	15.1 #79
Defense
79.7 #312	Points allowed	74.4 #172
1.15 #319	Points allowed per possession	1.06 #111
53.6 #289	Opponent effective FG%	49.5 #82
37.4 #348	Opponent 3-point %	32.4 #85
14.7 #310	Turnovers forced	15.4 #260
68.2 #247	Defensive rebound rate	71.0 #108
5.7 #268	Steals per game	6.6 #170
3.4 #154	Blocks per game	2.5 #306

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Oral Roberts

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-13 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs N Dakota St65–76
Wvs Kansas City84–62
W@ Kansas City94–70
Wvs Denver102–80
Wvs South Dakota67–62

A week or more of rest.

Tulsa

28-8 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Auburn86–92
Wvs New Mexico74–69
Wvs Wichita St83–79
Wvs UNLV77–66
Wvs SF Austin89–84

A week or more of rest.

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

What could decide it: TLSA has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Oral Roberts

Tulsa

Tulsa has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Oral Roberts

Tulsa