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  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. DETM @ MARQ
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

Detroit Mercy Titans at Marquette Golden Eagles

Fiserv Forum · at Marquette
#277DETMDetroit Mercy
@
#42MARQMarquette
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DETMThis seasonMARQ
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MARQ 89–64 · win probability MARQ 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MARQ has more of the edges

DETM 2, MARQ 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MARQBig
MARQ offense vs DETM defense
Offense 46th of 366 against a defense 310th, on the model’s ratings
MARQBig
DETM offense vs MARQ defense
Offense 236th of 366 against a defense 36th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
DETM has played the 208th-hardest schedule, MARQ the 37th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MARQBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DETM 16.0%, MARQ 16.1%. Forced: DETM 14.4%, MARQ 19.3%
DETMBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DETM 33.3%, MARQ 29.7%. Defensive: DETM 69.2%, MARQ 65.3%
MARQSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: DETM 32.6, MARQ 32.8. Allowed: DETM 37.6, MARQ 32.0
DETMSmall
Three-pointers
DETM hits 35.1% and allows 33.3%; MARQ hits 31.7% and allows 32.7%. Threes are 30.7% and 42.2% of their shots
MARQSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: DETM 49.5 and allows 52.2; MARQ 50.5 and allows 50.6
MARQSmall
Home court
MARQ at home. This season: MARQ 0-0 at home, DETM 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DETM 49%, MARQ 64%. Transfers in: DETM 0, MARQ 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: DETM plays 69.7 a game (132nd fastest), MARQ 70.9 (79th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MARQ -24.5—
Total—153.1—
Projected score—DETM 64.3 · MARQ 88.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMARQ -14.4—
1H total71.5—
1H projected scoreDETM 28.5 · MARQ 43—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Marquette has the better starters

Position by position: Detroit Mercy 0, Marquette 2, even 3
Detroit MercyBetterMarquette
G T. Spratt10.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 54
Even
G C. Porter TR11.2 pts · 3 reb · 3.3 ast Score 45
G A. Carter11.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
No call
G N. Minessale TR19.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 4.2 ast Score 97
G L. Stone6.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.9 ast Score 9
MARQBig
G N. James16.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.9 ast Score 99
F L. Maiden6.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 28
MARQBig
G A. Stevens7.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.6 ast Score 65
C X. Istomin-Monroe1.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F R. Parham12.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 87
Detroit MercyBetterMarquette
DETM offense236th of 366 · -7.2
MARQBig
MARQ defense36th of 366 · +3.1
DETM defense310th of 366 · -8.1
MARQBig
MARQ offense46th of 366 · +4.2
Backcourt-2.0 · 3 players
MARQBig
Backcourt+8.9 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.9 · 2 players
MARQBig
Frontcourt+2.5 · 1 player
Bench-0.7 · 1 player
MARQBig
Bench+2.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDETM betterMARQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Detroit Mercy
Guards
T. Spratt25 minA. Carter21 minL. Stone21 minJ. Cotton7 minJ. BriggsNewE. PalssonNew
Forwards
L. Maiden16 minD. FavorNewV. SemerychNewC. HouserNewT. OwensNew
Centers
X. Istomin-Monroe8 min
Marquette
Guards
C. Porter35 min · TRN. Minessale32 min · TRN. James29 minA. Stevens26 minE. JohnstonNewN. WalkerNew
Forwards
R. Parham29 minS. Fru22 min · TRD. Owens16 minC. Hamilton13 minM. Phillips8 minJ. Clark6 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DETMMARQ
Scoring
76.3 #135Points per game75.2 #160
1.09 #153Points per possession1.06 #223
69.7 #132Pace (possessions)70.9 #79
Shooting
49.5 #267Effective FG%50.5 #215
35.1 #1083-point %31.7 #297
30.7 #3433-point attempt rate42.2 #133
32.6 #247Free throw rate32.8 #243
Possessions
16.0 #138Turnover rate16.1 #145
33.3 #81Offensive rebound rate29.7 #216
13.1 #208Assists per game15.5 #63
Defense
78.7 #285Points allowed75.8 #213
1.13 #290Points allowed per possession1.07 #125
52.2 #223Opponent effective FG%50.6 #131
33.3 #140Opponent 3-point %32.7 #104
14.4 #324Turnovers forced19.3 #39
69.2 #193Defensive rebound rate65.3 #331
5.8 #264Steals per game9.3 #5
3.3 #182Blocks per game3.1 #207
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Detroit Mercy

15-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-9 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wright St63–66
  • Wvs Robert Morris70–64
  • Wvs Milwaukee84–63
  • W@ Oakland95–89
  • L@ Robert Morris62–73

A week or more of rest.

Marquette

12-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-14 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Xavier87–89
  • Wvs UConn68–62
  • W@ Providence78–56
  • Lvs DePaul51–62
  • W@ Georgetown76–60

A week or more of rest.