1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 19
  3. NE @ BTLR
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 19

Northeastern Huskies at Butler Bulldogs

Hinkle Fieldhouse · at Butler
#228NENortheastern
@
#72BTLRButler
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NEThis seasonBTLR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BTLR 88–69 · win probability BTLR 95%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 157.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BTLR has more of the edges

NE 0, BTLR 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BTLRBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: NE 29.4, BTLR 42.1. Allowed: NE 41.9, BTLR 24.9
BTLRBig
BTLR offense vs NE defense
Offense 56th of 366 against a defense 263rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NE has played the 185th-hardest schedule, BTLR the 56th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BTLRBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NE 27.3%, BTLR 34.5%. Defensive: NE 69.8%, BTLR 70.0%
BTLRSmall
NE offense vs BTLR defense
Offense 194th of 366 against a defense 107th, on the model’s ratings
BTLRSmall
Home court
BTLR at home. This season: BTLR 0-0 at home, NE 0-0 away
BTLRSmall
Three-pointers
NE hits 33.7% and allows 35.8%; BTLR hits 32.7% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 37.8% and 35.0% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NE 16.3%, BTLR 15.9%. Forced: NE 16.8%, BTLR 15.1%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NE 43%, BTLR 22%. Transfers in: NE 3, BTLR 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: NE 52.4 and allows 56.4; BTLR 50.9 and allows 51.9
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: NE plays 69.9 a game (120th fastest), BTLR 71.1 (69th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BTLR -18.8—
Total—157.6—
Projected score—NE 69.4 · BTLR 88.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBTLR -11.1—
1H total73.6—
1H projected scoreNE 31.3 · BTLR 42.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Butler has the better starters

Position by position: Northeastern 0, Butler 2, even 3
NortheasternBetterButler
G M. Loughnane10.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 3.8 ast Score 45
BTLRSmall
G J. Ellerbee TR13.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 66
G R. King TR5.8 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 46
No call
G J. Jackson9.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.8 ast Not ranked
G M. Newton5.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
F C. Moore TR11.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast Score 46
G R. Williams7.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 89
Even
F T. Anderson TR10.8 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 92
C P. Pinter3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 5
BTLRBig
C D. Jones6.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 76
NortheasternBetterButler
NE offense194th of 366 · -6.0
BTLRSmall
BTLR defense107th of 366 · -1.1
NE defense263rd of 366 · -6.8
BTLRBig
BTLR offense56th of 366 · +3.1
Backcourt-0.9 · 4 players
BTLRSmall
Backcourt+1.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player
BTLRBig
Frontcourt+3.5 · 3 players
Bench-1.8 · 3 players
BTLRSmall
Bench+0.9 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestNE betterBTLR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Northeastern
Guards
M. Loughnane31 minR. King19 min · TRM. Newton17 minR. Williams15 minL. Bond14 min · TRD. GrosberNew
Forwards
B. Young5 min · TRJ. IcitovicNewD. JungNewS. BaptisteNew
Centers
P. Pinter14 minL. Koelsch9 min
Butler
Guards
J. Ellerbee28 min · TRJ. Jackson23 minE. Klafke15 min · TRE. McComb1 minB. WalkerNewS. AdlerNew
Forwards
C. Moore26 min · TRT. Anderson19 min · TRS. Calderon4 min · TRH. BrutusNewB. CardinalNewM. MaricNew
Centers
D. Jones20 minK. NdzieNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NEBTLR
Scoring
74.9 #168Points per game79.4 #75
1.07 #210Points per possession1.12 #106
69.9 #120Pace (possessions)71.1 #69
Shooting
52.4 #130Effective FG%50.9 #199
33.7 #1873-point %32.7 #242
37.8 #2183-point attempt rate35.0 #276
29.4 #324Free throw rate42.1 #29
Possessions
16.3 #159Turnover rate15.9 #131
27.3 #286Offensive rebound rate34.5 #58
15.3 #75Assists per game15.5 #64
Defense
80.9 #331Points allowed77.5 #252
1.16 #335Points allowed per possession1.09 #195
56.4 #351Opponent effective FG%51.9 #208
35.8 #297Opponent 3-point %33.3 #142
16.8 #163Turnovers forced15.1 #272
69.8 #169Defensive rebound rate70.0 #163
7.0 #131Steals per game6.5 #178
3.0 #229Blocks per game3.2 #191
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Northeastern

7-24 in 2025-26 overall · 3-17 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drexel77–84
  • Wvs NC A&T88–72
  • Lvs Monmouth83–89
  • L@ Hampton65–76
  • L@ William & Mary77–84

A week or more of rest.

Butler

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-14 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Providence81–91
  • W@ DePaul81–71
  • Lvs Creighton59–76
  • L@ Villanova73–82
  • Wvs Xavier80–75

A week or more of rest.