1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 19
  3. COFC @ DRKE
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 19

Charleston Cougars at Drake Bulldogs

Knapp Center · at Drake
#117COFCCharleston
@
#144DRKEDrake
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
COFCThis seasonDRKE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DRKE 75–74 · win probability DRKE 54%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 149.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

COFC 2, DRKE 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
COFCBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: COFC 41.2, DRKE 33.5. Allowed: COFC 26.1, DRKE 32.0
COFCSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: COFC 50.5 and allows 49.2; DRKE 51.4 and allows 52.6
DRKESmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: COFC 21%, DRKE 51%. Transfers in: COFC 8, DRKE 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
COFC has played the 200th-hardest schedule, DRKE the 147th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DRKESmall
Home court
DRKE at home. This season: DRKE 0-0 at home, COFC 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
COFC hits 30.6% and allows 32.6%; DRKE hits 34.0% and allows 36.4%. Threes are 38.1% and 45.7% of their shots
Even
DRKE offense vs COFC defense
Offense 168th of 366 against a defense 143rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
COFC offense vs DRKE defense
Offense 108th of 366 against a defense 132nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: COFC 15.7%, DRKE 15.0%. Forced: COFC 14.8%, DRKE 14.6%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: COFC plays 68.8 a game (192nd fastest), DRKE 68.4 (209th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: COFC 29.9%, DRKE 26.6%. Defensive: COFC 67.7%, DRKE 70.1%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DRKE -1.2—
Total—149.7—
Projected score—COFC 74.3 · DRKE 75.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDRKE -0.6—
1H total70.0—
1H projected scoreCOFC 34.7 · DRKE 35.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Charleston has the better starters

Position by position: Charleston 2, Drake 0, even 3
CharlestonBetterDrake
G T. Johnson TR19.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 5 ast Score 96
COFCBig
G A. Alia6.8 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 27
G B. Bradford TR13.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 77
COFCBig
G O. Larson10 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.8 ast Score 42
G E. Ellis TR8.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Score 61
Even
G E. Shetlar9 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 57
G M. Kalu8.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 33
Even
F G. Oldham TR5.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 1 ast Score 21
G X. Abreu TR12.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast Score 83
Even
F J. Carroll TR10.7 pts · 8.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 78
CharlestonBetterDrake
COFC offense108th of 366 · -1.6
Even
DRKE defense132nd of 366 · -2.5
COFC defense143rd of 366 · -3.1
Even
DRKE offense168th of 366 · -5.1
Backcourt+5.0 · 5 players
COFCBig
Backcourt-3.7 · 3 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-0.5 · 2 players
Bench-2.7 · 5 players
DRKESmall
Bench+0.1 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestCOFC betterDRKE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Charleston
Guards
T. Johnson32 min · TRB. Bradford28 min · TRE. Ellis27 min · TRM. Kalu27 minX. Abreu21 min · TRM. Green15 min · TR
Forwards
T. Scott21 min · TRW. Mortimore9 minN. VirginioNew
Centers
B. Pierce7 min · TR
Drake
Guards
A. Alia32 minO. Larson29 minE. Shetlar28 minD. Kindell17 min · TRD. IjadimbolaNewL. RushNew
Forwards
G. Oldham26 min · TRJ. Carroll25 min · TRG. Goodbary13 minJ. BurnsNewM. FlemonsNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
COFCDRKE
Scoring
75.3 #157Points per game73.9 #200
1.09 #155Points per possession1.08 #182
68.8 #192Pace (possessions)68.4 #209
Shooting
50.5 #212Effective FG%51.4 #179
30.6 #3313-point %34.0 #172
38.1 #2133-point attempt rate45.7 #53
41.2 #43Free throw rate33.5 #223
Possessions
15.7 #118Turnover rate15.0 #64
29.9 #204Offensive rebound rate26.6 #310
13.5 #180Assists per game13.1 #202
Defense
73.9 #153Points allowed76.3 #225
1.08 #146Points allowed per possession1.12 #261
49.2 #74Opponent effective FG%52.6 #246
32.6 #90Opponent 3-point %36.4 #323
14.8 #308Turnovers forced14.6 #315
67.7 #273Defensive rebound rate70.1 #155
5.7 #280Steals per game5.2 #319
4.6 #29Blocks per game2.9 #241
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Charleston

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Towson56–81
  • W@ UNC Wilmington79–76
  • W@ Hampton85–71
  • Wvs Monmouth74–63
  • W@ NC A&T74–61

A week or more of rest.

Drake

12-20 in 2025-26 overall · 8-15 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UIC51–72
  • Wvs Belmont100–79
  • Wvs S Illinois67–63
  • Lvs Northern Iowa53–75
  • L@ Valparaiso71–74

A week or more of rest.